What is J Bourgeais's strike rate?

J Bourgeais has won 5 of 79 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does J Bourgeais do best at?

Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 runners (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is J Bourgeais in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is J Bourgeais's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 78 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

J Bourgeais

79 runners in the last 5 seasons · 5 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

5–79

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=79

26 (33%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=78 · 0.71 incl. margin

−2.70

£1 level stake

n=78 at SP · −3.5%

£104k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

0%−6.3

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

Debutants · first career start

33.3%+27.0

n=3 · A/E 19.52 · £1 +39.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

20%+13.7

n=5 · A/E 4.56 · £1 +37.00

When favourite

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.5%+6.2

n=24 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +3.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m – 1m1f 2.3% vs 6.3% · n=43

Off a 15-30-day break 9.4% vs 6.3% · n=32

With a new jockey booking 8.6% vs 6.3% · n=35

On Standard (AW) going 5.8% vs 6.3% · n=52 · A/E 0.80

In Flat races 6.3% vs 6.3% · n=79 · A/E 0.85

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 52 3 5.8% +11.80

Good to Soft 11 1 9.1% −5.50

Soft 11 1 9.1% −4.00

Good 3 0 0% −3.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 37 2 5.4% +11.70

Chantilly (FR) 17 1 5.9% −1.90

Saint-Cloud 11 2 18.2% +1.50

Longchamp (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00

2nd–3rd fav 18 2 11.1% 0.82 −6.80

4th–6th fav 16 1 6.3% 0.78 −9.00

7th+ in betting 41 2 4.9% 1.36 +16.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Great Charlie (FR) 38 2 12 24 Sep 26

Zippere (FR) 26 2 11 21 Oct 26

Preferencia (FR) 8 0 1 22 Jan 26

Linterprete (FR) 6 1 2 20 Sep 26

Grinta (FR)then Mlle M Bourgeais 1 0 0 12 Jun 22

All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 5 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 5 had their first archived run here.

1 has since run for another yard; 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0033014000200010

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Mlle Maryline Eon 15 2 13.3% +5.80

Hugo Lebouc 9 0 0% −9.00

Sebastien Maillot 8 1 12.5% −2.50

Mlle Melanie Bourgeais 7 0 0% −7.00

Pierre Remoue 5 0 0% −5.00

Alexandre Roussel 4 0 0% −3.00

Thomas Trullier 4 0 0% −4.00

Clement Lecoeuvre 3 0 0% −3.00

Leo Roussel 3 1 33.3% +39.00

Mme Ambre Molins 2 0 0% −2.00

Benjamin Marie 2 0 0% −2.00

Mr Baptiste Bourgeais 2 1 50% +5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£114k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 4 wins

Linterprete (FR) — Prix du Sentier du Littoral (Maiden) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2023

£9,735

Great Charlie (FR) — Prix des Forsythias (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2022

£7,983

Great Charlie (FR) — Prix de Massy - iJockey GPA Handicap Challenge (Handicap) (4yo+) (Amateur Riders) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Sep 2023

£7,965

Notable horses

Great Charlie (FR) Zippere (FR) Linterprete (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Myboycharlie (IRE) 5.3% · 2–38

Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,299 runs since 2008 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.

Soul City (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 5.5% of 453 runs since 2008 (62 horses).

Youmzain (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,738 runs since 2008 (211 horses).

Elm Park (GB) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 8.5% of 176 runs since 2008 (45 horses).

Wootton Bassett (GB) 0% · 0–1

Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,640 runs since 2008 (788 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 135 · newest first

The latest 50 of 135 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 December 2013 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Zippere (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix De La Foret De Roumare7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 7/1

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Great Charlie (FR)J: Mme Melanie Bourgeais Prix Des Dauphines - Handicap ChallengeClass 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 10/1

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Linterprete (FR)J: Mme Melanie Bourgeais Prix De L'imperatrice Eugenie - Handicap Challenge10f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 2/1F

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Zippere (FR)J: Mme Melanie Bourgeais Prix Aktem - Prix Marquise D'andigne - Challenge France SireClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 10/1

26 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Great Charlie (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Mc Donald's Bassin D'arcachonClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 16/1

26 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Linterprete (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Gilbert MogaClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 12/1

13 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Zippere (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix De La Maison Des QuatransClass 3 · 6.5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 12/1

06 Aug 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Linterprete (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Prix Talmont Saint-hilaireClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 20/1

02 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Great Charlie (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Des Soirees Des Estivales Du Lion D'angers (Prix Etienne Frachon)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 25/1

22 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Zippere (FR)J: Mme Melanie Bourgeais Grand Prix Des Cavalieres De VichyClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 15/2

16 Jul 26 Compiegne (FR) Linterprete (FR)J: Maxence Marquette Prix Du Puits De BerneClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 9/1

05 Jul 26 Saint-Cloud Zippere (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix De L'aqueduc De L'avre Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 5th 12/1

04 Jun 26 Longchamp (FR) Great Charlie (FR)J: Mme Melanie Bourgeais Prix Sth Hipavia - Handicap Challenge (Prix des Deesses) (Turf)10.5f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 16/1

29 May 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Zippere (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix de la Vallee du Lot (Handicap) (Turf)7f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 63/1

19 May 26 Chantilly (FR) Great Charlie (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Bois du Guey (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 24/1

30 Mar 26 Chantilly (FR) Great Charlie (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix de l'Amandier (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 13/1

03 Mar 26 Chantilly (FR) Great Charlie (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix des Ronds de Marche (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 17/1

22 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Preferencia (FR)J: Enzo Crublet Prix de l'Epave du Cerons (Handicap) (All Weather)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 2nd 67/10

10 Nov 25 Chantilly (FR) Great Charlie (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix de la Salle de la Smalah (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 19/1

07 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Preferencia (FR)J: Mr Rowan Gabard Prix Guy du Faur de Pibrac - Handicap Challenge (Gentlemen Amateur Riders) (4yo+) (AW) (Polytrack)12.5f · Slow · 14 ran 6th 38/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J Bourgeais's strike rate?: J Bourgeais has won 5 of 79 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J Bourgeais do best at?: Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 runners (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is J Bourgeais in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is J Bourgeais's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 78 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.