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Trainer profile

M Nigge

443 runners in the last 5 seasons · 59 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
28–443
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=443
106 (24%)
Placed
0.84
Fair A/E
n=443 · 0.70 incl. margin
−228.90
£1 level stake
n=443 at SP · −51.7%
£823k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
1.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (89 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 443 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 9% Aurelien Lemaitre: 6.3% from 143 Claiming riders: 8.2%
The read

The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (11.1%, n=90), clear of the yard's 6.3% baseline. It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (3.2% over 155 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). Aurelien Lemaitre rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.3%, A/E 0.78). The yard also reads well on Soft going (12.7%, n=110). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.56 across 205 runners (3.9% strike, −144.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Lyphard at Deauville (FR) (Dec 2009, £26,699). The stable star of the record: Tertius (FR) — 6 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9%+2.7
n=89 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −40.90
New recruits · first run for the yard
22.2%+15.9
n=9 · A/E 2.59 · £1 +1.10
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.3
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.3
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
30.8%
n=26 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +1.70
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.2%+1.9
n=97 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −33.20
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.3
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 12.7% vs 6.3% · n=110
With Mlle Marie Velon 12.2% vs 6.3% · n=82
With debutants 0% vs 6.3% · n=37
At Saint-Cloud 11.1% vs 6.3% · n=90
At Deauville (FR) 3.2% vs 6.3% · n=155
On Standard (AW) going 3.9% vs 6.3% · n=205
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 205 8 3.9% −144.30
Soft 110 14 12.7% +11.50
Good to Soft 77 3 3.9% −61.70
Heavy 26 2 7.7% −13.20
Good 22 1 4.5% −18.20
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 155 5 3.2% −127.40
Chantilly (FR) 125 9 7.2% −60.70
Saint-Cloud 90 10 11.1% +0.50
Longchamp (FR) 48 3 6.3% −23.90
Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 3 1 33.3% +4.60
Clairefontaine (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Le Mans (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Compiegne (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Craon (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Touquet (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Amiens (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 23 0 0% −23.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 27 8 29.6% 1.26 +0.70
2nd–3rd fav 73 11 15.1% 1.07 −7.10
4th–6th fav 106 5 4.7% 0.61 −64.40
7th+ in betting 237 4 1.7% 0.47 −158.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Happy Hunter (FR) 36 0 3 5 Sep 26
Hollyhock (FR)then Sofie Lanslots 36 2 10 19 Dec 25
Black Lives Matter (FR)from S Kobayashi · then G Nakouzi 22 2 5 27 Dec 25
Apax (FR)from H-A Pantall · then Mme S Gavilan 21 4 7 16 Jan 26
Imperial Beauty (FR) 21 1 2 3 Feb 24
La Diva D'Alben (FR) 20 1 7 16 Jan 26
Poschiavo (FR) 17 3 8 3 Oct 26
Sixtus (FR)then Davy Bonilla 16 0 5 13 Dec 24
Chiareggio (FR)then Yoann Bonnefoy 15 1 4 13 Mar 25
Bella Memoria (FR) 13 2 3 13 Oct 26
Elkabier (FR)then Josef Stadelmann 12 0 2 4 Apr 25
Mexican Dream (FR)then F Pardon 12 1 5 4 Feb 23
All 59 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 59 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from S Wattel (2); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for D Windrif (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
391161811442752
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAurelien Lemaitre
32% of all rides
6.3% SR · A/E 0.78
RiderRWSR£1
Aurelien Lemaitre 143 9 6.3% −92.70
Mlle Marie Velon 82 10 12.2% +9.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
139
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£3.69m
Prize money
2016
Best season · 14 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sky Crusader (GB) — Prix Lyphard () (All-Weather) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2009 · Listed
£26,699
Irska (FR) — Prix de Lieurey (3yo Fillies) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2020 · Group 3
£26,695
Tertius (FR) — Prix Ronde de Nuit () (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2019 · Listed
£24,775
Notable horses
Tertius (FR) Come Say Hi (FR) Gag (FR) Pretorio (IRE) Apax (FR) Happy Approach (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Hunter's Light (IRE) 2.9% · 2–69
Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,326 runs since 2008 (153 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.4% from 167. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 159. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.6% from 206. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 132.
Attendu (FR) 5.6% · 2–36
Progeny have won 3.9% of 410 runs since 2008 (64 horses).
El Kabeir (USA) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,231 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 173. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 10.1% from 426. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.7% from 348.
Le Havre (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 12.5% of 5,858 runs since 2008 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Wings Of Eagles (FR) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,011 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.4% from 291. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 134.
Panis (USA) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,976 runs since 2008 (211 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 146. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 116.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,931 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,931 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 April 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Codrea (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De Caen7.5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 14/1
15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Koelle Alaaf (FR)J: D Santiago Prix Du Chene Des Gres9f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 15/2
14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Septimus (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Des Boucles De La Seine10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 10/1
13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Bella Memoria (FR)J: D Santiago Prix D'argentine9.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 14/1
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Persian Heroe (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix De Champagne8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 33/1
03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Poschiavo (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Qatar Prix de la Place de la ConcordeClass 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 14/1
27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Miss Dya (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'union Moreuil (Prix Des Jardins Flottants)8f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 50/1
23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Codrea (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix Des Terriers Du Houx8f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/1
23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Septimus (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix De Noisy-sur-oise8f · Good · 15 ran 5th 33/1
18 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Vicuniya (FR)J: D Santiago Prix Tenebreuse7.5f · Good · 15 ran 15th 50/1
17 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Persian Heroe (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix De Pau9f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 33/1
11 Sep 26 Le Mans (FR) Koelle Alaaf (FR)J: D Santiago Prix De La Societe Des Courses De La Chartre-sur-le-loir9.5f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 14/1
06 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Bella Memoria (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Qatar Prix De Madrid Presente Par RmcClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 8/1
05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Happy Hunter (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Equidia - Bar Des Halles (Prix De La Touche)Class 4 · 11f · Heavy · 16 ran 13th 16/1
04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Poschiavo (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Du Bois FrancClass 3 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 13/2
27 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Silver Rush (GB)J: D Santiago Prix Du Chateau De Canon7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 22/1
21 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Silver Rush (GB)J: D Santiago Prix Ville De Pont-l'eveque (Prix De La Cour Rectangle)Class 2 · 7f · Very Soft · 12 ran 10th 33/1
20 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Koelle Alaaf (FR)J: P Cheyer Prix Du Cheval De Dressage (Prix Des Hetres)6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 9/1
13 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Persian Heroe (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix Des Bergeries9.5f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 40/1
11 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Miss Dya (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Du Chateau De Miromesnil7.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Nigge's strike rate?
M Nigge has won 28 of 443 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Nigge do best at?
Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 10 wins from 90 runners (11.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Nigge?
Aurelien Lemaitre, with 143 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.3%).
Is M Nigge in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Nigge's Fair A/E?
0.84, from 443 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).