What is P De Chevigny's strike rate?

P De Chevigny has won 34 of 263 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P De Chevigny do best at?

Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 8 wins from 55 runners (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P De Chevigny?

Axel Baron, with 57 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (10.5%).

Is P De Chevigny in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is P De Chevigny's Fair A/E?

1.19, from 262 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P De Chevigny

263 runners in the last 5 seasons · 72 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

34–263

Wins / Runs

12.9%

Strike rate

n=263

88 (34%)

Placed

1.19

Fair A/E

n=262 · 0.97 incl. margin

−11.04

£1 level stake

n=263 at SP · −4.2%

£812k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.19). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 15% off breaks of two months or more (80 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 263 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 15% 29% when favourite Axel Baron: 10.5% from 57 Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 7.5% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.97). Axel Baron rides 22% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (10.5% vs 12.9%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well on Soft going (18.3%, n=82) and off a 61-180-day break (17.2%, n=58). The market has also underrated the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 1.19 across 91 runners (9.9% strike, +11.20 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 6.7% over 75 runners, 6.2pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Handicap de Deauville at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2025, £39,669).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

15%+2.1

n=80 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +26.70

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%−5.2

n=13 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −2.30

Debutants · first career start

7.5%−5.4

n=53 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −9.12

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.9%−5.0

n=38 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +9.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

25%+12.1

n=4 · A/E 3.62 · £1 +4.50

When favourite

29%

n=31 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −2.30

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.8%−3.1

n=61 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −18.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

19.2%+6.3

n=26 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −6.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Standard (AW) going 6.7% vs 12.9% · n=75

On Soft going 18.3% vs 12.9% · n=82

With debutants 7.5% vs 12.9% · n=53

With first-time headgear 7.9% vs 12.9% · n=38

Off a 61-180-day break 17.2% vs 12.9% · n=58

Over 1m – 1m1f 9.9% vs 12.9% · n=91

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 262 34 13% −10.04

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 82 15 18.3% +24.40

Standard (AW) 75 5 6.7% −22.40

Good to Soft 66 10 15.2% −11.24

Heavy 21 3 14.3% +7.50

Good 19 1 5.3% −9.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 73 10 13.7% +10.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 70 9 12.9% −19.74

Longchamp (FR) 55 8 14.5% +18.20

Chantilly (FR) 27 0 0% −27.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 6 1 16.7% −3.70

Dieppe (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 5 1 20% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 4 4 100% +31.40

Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Le Mans (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Nantes (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Craon (FR) 2 1 50% +1.80

Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Auteuil (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 27 5 18.5% −7.70

Class 3 9 1 11.1% −5.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 33 10 30.3% 1.18 −0.50

2nd–3rd fav 66 10 15.2% 1.00 −24.94

4th–6th fav 87 10 11.5% 1.42 +12.40

7th+ in betting 77 4 5.2% 1.33 +2.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Morisot (FR)from S Wattel 15 1 6 27 Oct 24

Star Of The Night (FR) 14 2 5 19 Mar 26

Chica De Ciudad (IRE) 13 4 8 10 Oct 26

Wedgewood Pearl (FR) 12 2 5 19 Oct 26

Contentious Soul (FR) 12 2 5 15 May 26

Montussan (FR) 12 1 5 14 Jun 23

Haviassor (FR)from Nicolas Le Roch 11 2 5 13 Oct 26

Bel Et Bien (FR) 11 4 9 13 Nov 25

Looking At Me (FR) 11 1 6 18 Aug 24

Lovely Laura (FR)then J-M Baudrelle 7 0 2 3 Feb 24

Harmony In Blue (FR) 6 2 3 5 Oct 26

Saskia Des Places (FR) 6 0 1 24 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 72 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from S Wattel (3); 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for A Baron (2) and Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

14020101341528991712

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAxel Baron

22% of all rides
10.5% SR · A/E 0.84

RiderRWSR£1

Axel Baron 57 6 10.5% −22.10

A Molins 43 5 11.6% +12.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.27m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 15 wins

Contentious Soul (FR) — Grand Handicap de Deauville (Handicap) (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2025

£39,669

Looking At Me (FR) — Prix de la Fontaine Carpeaux (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Moyenne Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2024

£23,043

Mormona (FR) — Prix Denisy () (3yo+) (Turf) Fontainebleau (FR) · Nov 2023 · Listed

£23,009

Notable horses

Chica De Ciudad (IRE) Bel Et Bien (FR) Ma Philosophie (FR) Jazz Melodie (FR) Montussan (FR) Star Of The Night (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

City Light (FR) 20.5% · 8–39

Progeny have won 12.9% of 931 runs since 2008 (154 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.9% from 302. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 16% from 407. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 173.

Hunter's Light (IRE) 25% · 6–24

Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,319 runs since 2008 (152 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.4% from 167. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 158. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.6% from 205. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 129.

Dabirsim (FR) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,127 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 142.

Iffraaj (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,950 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.

Manduro (GER) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 10.4% of 4,214 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 1,095.

The Grey Gatsby (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 11.9% of 1,017 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 18.1% from 138.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 461 · newest first

The latest 50 of 461 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 June 2012 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Quiet Sea (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De La Foret D'eawy9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 11th 25/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Wedgewood Pearl (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De La Foret De Lyons9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 40/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Trabuco (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De Bolivar12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 9/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Haviassor (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De Bolivar12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 15/2

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Chica De Ciudad (IRE)J: Axel Baron Prix De CoyeClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 20/1

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Harmony In Blue (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix Reine Berengere7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 10/1

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Rougegarde (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix De La Chapelle-Saint-AubinClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 22/1

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Ellyra (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix D'allonnes9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 22/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Karismatik (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Juge Tp (Prix Volney)8f · Very Soft · 12 ran 7th 9/1

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Blanquette (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De Vignemont8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 12/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Ellyra (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Brantome8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 15/2

18 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Harmony In Blue (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Fast Fox6f · Good · 12 ran 4th 7/2

15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Haviassor (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Des Bords De L'oise14f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 22/1

13 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Naidee (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De Ponthieu8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 7/2F

11 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Nuence'k (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Du Lieu Feral7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 28/1

04 Sep 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Matia (IRE)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De Cloture De La Saison 2026 (Prix Des Espoirs)7f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 15/8

03 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Chica De Ciudad (IRE)J: Axel Baron Prix De La CochereClass 1 · 8f · Very Soft · 13 ran 10th 20/1

29 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Trabuco (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix du Public de la Ville de Deauville 2026 (Prix de Ricarville)Class 3 · 11f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 3/1

25 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Haviassor (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De BrevedentClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 10th 17/2

24 Aug 26 Dieppe (FR) Saskia Des Places (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix IlletesClass 3 · 12f · Very Soft · 12 ran 7th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P De Chevigny's strike rate?: P De Chevigny has won 34 of 263 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P De Chevigny do best at?: Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 8 wins from 55 runners (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P De Chevigny?: Axel Baron, with 57 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (10.5%).
Is P De Chevigny in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P De Chevigny's Fair A/E?: 1.19, from 262 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.