Mark Savage
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode 174 times in our archive record (2005), almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.88). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 12% (77 rides). Rode mostly for Ronald Harris — 59% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Wolverhampton (3.1% over 32 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a positive signal at 11.7% (n=77, Fair A/E 1.49). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 7.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −42.75 to a £1 stake over 156 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ronald Harris supplied 59% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.82). The rider also read well at trips under 6f (15.6%, n=32). The record read poorly over 6f – 7f — 1.7% over 58 rides, 6.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.55 across 57 rides (5.3% strike, −17.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 2005Riding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 174 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 174 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 20 October 2005.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mark Savage's strike rate?
- Mark Savage has won 15 of 174 rides in 2005, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
- Which course does Mark Savage do best at?
- Wolverhampton by strike rate: 1 wins from 32 rides (3.1%) in 2005. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mark Savage ride most for?
- Ronald Harris, with 103 rides in 2005 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (8.7%).
- What is Mark Savage's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 174 rides with a computed fair probability in 2005. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.