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Trainer profile

Mark Wellings

186 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2012 96% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
11–186
Wins / Runs
5.9%
Strike rate
n=186
38 (20%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=185 · 0.78 incl. margin
−90.75
£1 level stake
n=186 at SP · −48.8%
£35,238
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 186 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also read well off a 8-14-day break (12%, n=50) and in Class 6 (9.3%, n=107). The market has also underrated the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 1.20 across 51 runners (9.8% strike, +9.50 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly in Class 5 — 0% over 66 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.27 across 61 runners (1.6% strike, −58.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Little Richard (IRE) — 11 wins from 69 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.9
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
37.5%
n=8 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +3.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%−1.4
n=44 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −32.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 0% vs 5.9% · n=66
With Adam Kirby 12.5% vs 5.9% · n=40
Off a 8-14-day break 12% vs 5.9% · n=50
Off a 15-30-day break 1.6% vs 5.9% · n=61
In Class 6 9.3% vs 5.9% · n=107
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 9.8% vs 5.9% · n=51
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 178 11 6.2% −82.75
Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 124 9 7.3% −65.75
Good to Firm 31 1 3.2% −5.00
Good 22 1 4.5% −11.00
Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 73 4 5.5% −50.50
Kempton (AW) 24 3 12.5% +0.50
Lingfield (AW) 19 2 10.5% −7.75
Leicester 10 0 0% −10.00
Yarmouth 8 0 0% −8.00
Chelmsford (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Warwick 5 0 0% −5.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Bath 4 1 25% +22.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Newmarket 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Salisbury 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 107 10 9.3% −18.75
Class 5 66 0 0% −66.00
Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 7 5 1 20% +2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 3 33.3% 1.58 +2.25
2nd–3rd fav 26 4 15.4% 1.07 +0.00
4th–6th fav 45 3 6.7% 0.86 −13.00
7th+ in betting 106 1 0.9% 0.36 −80.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
King of Connacht (GB)from James Unett 51 4 14 8 Mar 12
Little Richard (IRE) 31 4 13 13 Apr 11
Cut And Thrust (IRE)from Michael Jarvis 22 2 6 26 Mar 12
Spin Again (IRE)from David Nicholls · then Daniel Kubler 15 1 4 9 Feb 12
Jimmy Dean (GB) 12 0 0 12 Jan 09
Direct Debit (IRE)from Michael Bell 9 0 1 6 Jul 09
Whispering Ridge (GB) 7 0 0 27 Nov 10
Sally's Swansong (GB)then Eric Alston 7 0 0 24 Jul 09
Follow The Buzz (GB)from Milton Bradley 7 0 0 12 Dec 08
Bagenalstown (IRE) 6 0 0 13 Aug 08
John The Glass (GB) 5 0 0 30 May 11
Yurchenko (GB) 5 0 0 27 Mar 08
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James Unett (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
8511013001400016
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAdam Kirby
22% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.40
RiderRWSR£1
Adam Kirby 40 5 12.5% −11.50
Liam Jones 30 2 6.7% +2.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
26
Archived wins
£84,676
Prize money
2006
Best season · 9 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Back In The Red (IRE) — John Garbutt Racegoers Club Nursery Handicap Redcar · Sep 2006 · Class 6
£3,239
Going Skint (GB) — Go Pontin's Maiden Stakes Southwell (AW) · Jan 2007 · Class 5
£2,817
Little Richard (IRE) — wbx.com World Bet Exchange Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Dec 2006 · Class 6
£2,730

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Polish Precedent (USA) 7.8% · 4–51
Progeny have won 7.3% of 838 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11% from 145.
Alhaarth (IRE) 12.9% · 4–31
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Haafhd (GB) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 11% of 4,748 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Intikhab (USA) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Ishiguru (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.
Dansili (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,841 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 456 · newest first

The latest 50 of 456 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 26 March 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Jan 12 Kempton (AW) Spin Again (IRE)J: Lucy K Barry 32Red HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 9/1
22 Jan 12 Kempton (AW) Cut And Thrust (IRE)J: Adam Kirby 32Red HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 9/2J
19 Dec 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Spin Again (IRE)J: Adam Kirby totequadpot HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 25/1
03 Dec 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Spin Again (IRE)J: Liam Jones toteplacepot HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 100/1
18 May 11 Kempton (AW) Cut And Thrust (IRE)J: Adam Kirby rewards4racing.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mark Wellings's strike rate?
Mark Wellings has won 11 of 186 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Wellings do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 73 runners (5.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mark Wellings's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).