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Trainer profile

John Spearing

69 runners in the last 5 seasons · 11 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2023
from 1 Jan 2022
5–69
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=69
12 (17%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=68 · 0.88 incl. margin
−4.00
£1 level stake
n=69 at SP · −5.8%
£47,663
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8%+0.8
n=25 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +5.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 3% vs 7.2% · n=33
In Flat races 9.6% vs 7.2% · n=52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 52 5 9.6% +13.00
Hurdle 13 0 0% −13.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 25 2 8% −11.00
Good to Firm 13 2 15.4% +12.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Soft 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Windsor 10 2 20% +15.00
Chepstow 9 2 22.2% +21.50
Brighton 8 0 0% −8.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Bath 5 1 20% +4.50
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Nottingham 3 0 0% −3.00
Ffos Las 3 0 0% −3.00
Salisbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Epsom Downs 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 34 3 8.8% +16.50
Class 4 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 5 13 1 7.7% −8.50
Class 3 7 1 14.3% +3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.70 −5.50
4th–6th fav 15 2 13.3% 1.67 +4.50
7th+ in betting 40 2 5% 1.86 +1.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
It's How We Roll (IRE)from Charles Hills · then Henry Oliver 13 2 4 17 Oct 22
Pillar Of Steel (GB)then Henry Oliver 9 0 3 8 Jan 23
A Sure Welcome (GB)then Henry Oliver 9 1 2 9 Oct 22
Danny Bleu (IRE)from Clare Ellam 8 1 1 13 Oct 22
Captain Sedgwick (IRE) 7 0 1 29 Oct 22
Hy Eales (IRE) 7 1 1 26 Oct 22
Shutthegate (IRE)then Henry Oliver 6 0 0 5 Jan 23
Caramello (IRE)then Danny Brooke 4 0 0 30 Jul 22
Mayz (IRE)then John Gallagher 3 0 0 12 Nov 22
Calisson (GB) 2 0 0 5 Jan 23
Kinz (IRE)then John Gallagher 1 0 0 10 May 22
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Henry Oliver (4) and John Gallagher (2); 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00000300220000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jamie Moore 14 0 0% −14.00
Georgia Dobie 12 2 16.7% +18.50
Dylan Hogan 8 2 25% +16.50
Luke Morris 3 1 33.3% +7.00
Callum Hutchinson 3 0 0% −3.00
Liam Keniry 3 0 0% −3.00
Shane Kelly 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Lewis Kent 2 0 0% −2.00
Aidan Keeley 2 0 0% −2.00
Charles Bishop 2 0 0% −2.00
Alex Jary 2 0 0% −2.00
Tyler Heard 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
263
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.96m
Prize money
2006
Best season · 33 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Simon (GB) — Racing Post Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Kempton · Feb 2007 · Class 1
£57,020
Jacks Craic (IRE) — Red Rum Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2006 · Class 1
£39,914
Hakim (NZ) — Totepool Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Aintree · Nov 2005 · Class 3
£37,578

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fastnet Rock (AUS) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 12.1% of 5,477 runs since 2008 (556 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 210.
Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,215 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,154 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Clodovil (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 9.8% of 6,512 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
Approve (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,685 runs since 2008 (179 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.7% from 503. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 552.
Passing Glance (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,522 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 221. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 289. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 110. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,805 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,805 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 8 January 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Jan 23 Ffos Las Shutthegate (IRE)J: Jamie Moore Cazoo Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 16/1
30 Nov 22 Ludlow Shutthegate (IRE)J: Jamie Moore Flowfit Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 18/1
13 Oct 22 Brighton Danny Bleu (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Cazoo HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 14/1
09 Oct 22 Goodwood A Sure Welcome (GB)J: Georgia Dobie William Hill HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 33/1
01 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) A Sure Welcome (GB)J: Shane Kelly bet365 HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Spearing's strike rate?
John Spearing has won 5 of 69 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John Spearing's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 68 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).