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Trainer profile

Bill Turner

354 runners in the last 5 seasons · 50 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2025
from 1 Jan 2022
28–354
Wins / Runs
7.9%
Strike rate
n=354
66 (19%)
Placed
1.30
Fair A/E
n=354 · 1.12 incl. margin
−53.34
£1 level stake
n=354 at SP · −15.1%
£241k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.30). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (177 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 354 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Harry Kimber: 12.1% from 99 Claiming riders: 9.6%
The read

Harry Kimber rides 28% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.1% vs 7.9%, A/E 2.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (19.6%, n=56). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 51 runners, 7.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.73 across 69 runners (2.9% strike, −50.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Racing Post Mobile App Pavilion Stakes at Ascot (Apr 2014, £20,983). The stable star of the record: Little Boy Blue (GB) — 9 wins from 65 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6%−1.9
n=67 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +4.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.9
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.9
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.9
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+12.1
n=10 · A/E 3.58 · £1 +22.00
When favourite
45.5%
n=11 · A/E 1.88 · £1 +8.21
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.6%+1.7
n=177 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −33.84

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 19.6% vs 7.9% · n=56
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 7.9% · n=51
On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 7.9% · n=30
With C&D winners 15% vs 7.9% · n=40
In Hurdle races 2.9% vs 7.9% · n=69
Off a 31-60-day break 2.6% vs 7.9% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 215 15 7% −59.04
Hurdle 69 2 2.9% −50.50
Chase 56 11 19.6% +70.20
NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 99 6 6.1% −9.25
Standard (AW) 83 5 6% −49.67
Good to Soft 60 5 8.3% +13.75
Good to Firm 49 6 12.2% +28.25
Soft 43 4 9.3% −27.42
Heavy 13 2 15.4% −2.00
Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Brighton 37 3 8.1% −21.75
Wolverhampton (AW) 37 4 10.8% −20.67
Lingfield (AW) 23 1 4.3% −6.00
Ludlow 19 2 10.5% +10.75
Bath 19 1 5.3% −8.00
Taunton 16 3 18.8% +25.00
Chepstow 15 1 6.7% −5.00
Newton Abbot 15 0 0% −15.00
Wincanton 13 2 15.4% +19.75
Plumpton 12 3 25% +8.70
Lingfield 12 0 0% −12.00
Windsor 12 1 8.3% +29.00
Kempton (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Hereford 9 0 0% −9.00
Leicester 8 1 12.5% −0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 125 10 8% −13.17
Class 4 116 10 8.6% −13.75
Class 6 104 8 7.7% −17.42
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 9 60% 2.42 +17.96
2nd–3rd fav 41 5 12.2% 0.72 −19.80
4th–6th fav 115 9 7.8% 1.29 −4.50
7th+ in betting 183 5 2.7% 1.27 −47.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Little Boy Blue (GB) 26 3 5 3 Aug 25
Major Gatsby (IRE) 25 5 10 21 Mar 24
Bbob Alula (GB) 23 2 7 5 Jul 24
Umming N' Ahing (GB) 21 3 4 1 Jul 25
Marettimo (IRE)from Charles Hills 20 4 5 30 Dec 24
Ede'iffs Rock (GB)then Kathy Turner 19 4 11 25 Mar 25
My Mate Polly (GB) 17 1 3 28 Jan 25
By Pass (GB) 15 0 2 28 Jun 23
Born At Midnight (GB)then Kathy Turner 14 4 8 23 Feb 25
It's Life (GB)then Kathy Turner 12 0 2 27 Jul 25
Holdenhurst (GB)from Ali Stronge 11 0 0 14 Jan 23
Lion's Vigil (USA)from Richard Fahey 10 0 1 21 Jul 24
All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 50 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Kathy Turner (9) and Keiran Burke (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
8915184123004108
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderHarry Kimber
28% of all rides
12.1% SR · A/E 2.10
RiderRWSR£1
Harry Kimber 99 12 12.1% +56.20
William Carson 47 4 8.5% −21.50
Gina Mangan 33 3 9.1% −16.25
Luke Morris 30 1 3.3% −19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
273
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.62m
Prize money
2012
Best season · 32 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Always Win (GB) — Racing Post Mobile App Pavilion Stakes (Listed) Ascot · Apr 2014 · Listed
£20,983
The Lord (GB) — Peters Plc Stakes (Listed) Goodwood · May 2006 · Listed
£17,034
Westbrook Blue (GB) — Bank Of Scotland Handicap Chester · May 2005 · Class 2
£13,447

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Hellvelyn (GB) 7.3% · 4–55
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,952 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.7% from 256.
Saddler's Rock (IRE) 12.9% · 4–31
Progeny have won 18.9% of 132 runs since 2008 (16 horses).
The Grey Gatsby (IRE) 20% · 5–25
Progeny have won 11.9% of 1,008 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 18.2% from 137.
Showcasing (GB) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,556 runs since 2008 (995 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Lightning Spear (GB) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 11.1% of 601 runs since 2008 (53 horses).
Harbour Watch (IRE) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,550 runs since 2008 (236 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.5% from 321. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 463.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,522 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,522 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 14 August 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Jul 25 Bath Spuddling (GB)J: Harry Kimber Harrow Inn At Wanborough HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Firm · 11 ran 4th 9/2
01 Jul 25 Brighton Umming N' Ahing (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis starsports.bet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Bill Turner's strike rate?
Bill Turner has won 28 of 354 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bill Turner do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 runners (10.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Bill Turner?
Harry Kimber, with 99 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (12.1%).
What is Bill Turner's Fair A/E?
1.30, from 354 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).