Martin Burke
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77).
The record is strongest at Kilbeggan (8.6%, n=35), clear of the rider's 3.6% baseline. It is weakest at Tramore (0% over 40 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.35 and −128.00 to a £1 stake over 153 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. John M Burke supplied 33% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 0.88). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (12.8%, n=39) and in Chase races (9.9%, n=71). The record read poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 33 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Boreen Belle Mares Novice Hurdle at Thurles (Dec 2017, £19,988). Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 826 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 826 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 March 2005 to 19 December 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Martin Burke's strike rate?
- Martin Burke has won 28 of 774 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Martin Burke do best at?
- Kilbeggan by strike rate: 3 wins from 35 rides (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Martin Burke ride most for?
- John M Burke, with 254 rides since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (3.9%).
- What is Martin Burke's Fair A/E?
- 0.77, from 774 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.