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Trainer profile

Timothy Doyle

677 runners in the last 5 seasons · 53 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
35–677
Wins / Runs
5.2%
Strike rate
n=677
148 (22%)
Placed
0.84
n=677 · 0.66 incl. margin
−347.08
£1 level stake
n=677 at SP · −51.3%
£494k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (447 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 677 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 29% when favourite Mr D Doyle: 3.6% from 248 Claiming riders: 6.9% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races
The read

It is weakest at Cork (1.6% over 62 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Mr D Doyle rides 37% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.6%, A/E 0.56). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (9.4%, n=32). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.3% over 77 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 0.29 across 70 runners (1.4% strike, −66.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Underwriting Exchange Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse (Jan 2015, £60,000). The stable star of the record: Northern Surprise (IRE) — 7 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.1%−1.1
n=147 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −55.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.2
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.2
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.2
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.2
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
29%
n=31 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −1.08
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.9%+1.7
n=447 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −169.08
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.2
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Wayne Hassett 11.4% vs 5.2% · n=88
With Cian Quirke 11.1% vs 5.2% · n=45
Off a 61-180-day break 1.3% vs 5.2% · n=77
In NH Flat races 1.4% vs 5.2% · n=70
At Cork 1.6% vs 5.2% · n=62
Off a 0-7-day break 9.4% vs 5.2% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 341 20 5.9% −150.38
Hurdle 245 14 5.7% −109.20
NH Flat 70 1 1.4% −66.50
Chase 21 0 0% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 239 15 6.3% −132.88
Good 209 7 3.3% −133.80
Heavy 93 6 6.5% −44.40
Good to Soft 88 5 5.7% −0.50
Standard (AW) 33 1 3% −28.50
Good to Firm 15 1 6.7% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 89 6 6.7% −40.50
Thurles 77 6 7.8% −56.08
Cork 62 1 1.6% −58.50
Punchestown 56 3 5.4% −33.00
Curragh 45 3 6.7% +11.50
Clonmel 38 3 7.9% +2.50
Dundalk (AW) 33 1 3% −28.50
Naas 32 1 3.1% −24.00
Killarney 26 0 0% −26.00
Fairyhouse 25 2 8% −11.50
Leopardstown 24 1 4.2% −7.00
Roscommon 22 1 4.5% +7.00
Galway 21 2 9.5% −8.00
Limerick 17 0 0% −17.00
Listowel 17 1 5.9% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 39 11 28.2% 1.29 +1.42
2nd–3rd fav 84 14 16.7% 1.21 +11.50
4th–6th fav 155 3 1.9% 0.27 −120.00
7th+ in betting 399 7 1.8% 0.65 −240.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Thats All (IRE) 33 1 8 9 Jun 26
Pink Socks (IRE)then Ian Williams 32 1 10 20 Oct 25
Von Krolock (IRE)then James Owen 32 1 7 10 Sep 25
Beauforts Storm (IRE) 30 2 8 4 Oct 26
Getaway Charlie (IRE) 29 2 9 13 Oct 26
Alfalfa (IRE) 26 2 10 15 Oct 26
Answering (IRE) 26 1 4 20 Nov 25
No Fussing (IRE) 26 1 6 8 Aug 25
Simply Sideways (IRE) 26 6 10 3 Nov 24
Wrist Art (IRE)then James Owen 25 2 6 6 Oct 25
Maralinga (IRE) 24 1 2 23 Aug 26
Lisabetta (IRE)from W McCreery · then Ian Williams 23 1 3 20 Oct 25
All 53 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 53 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for James Owen (5) and Ian Williams (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
7063344312754
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr D Doyle
37% of all rides
3.6% SR · A/E 0.56
RiderRWSR£1
Mr D Doyle 248 9 3.6% −177.30
Wayne Hassett 88 10 11.4% −27.88
Ronan Whelan 60 1 1.7% −49.00
Cian Quirke 45 5 11.1% +15.60
Gavin Ryan 33 1 3% −12.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
164
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£2.20m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 20 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mallowney (IRE) — Underwriting Exchange Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase (grade A) Fairyhouse · Jan 2015 · Grade A
£60,000
Raggtime Toon (IRE) — Boylesports 85 Nationwide Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh (IRE) · May 2005
£48,825
Mallowney (IRE) — Three.ie Handicap Chase (Grade C) Punchestown · May 2014 · Grade C
£32,500

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Morpheus (GB) 3.5% · 3–85
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.
Sir Prancealot (IRE) 13% · 10–77
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,686 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
Cotai Glory (GB) 7.4% · 4–54
Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,918 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,396. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 418.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 2.7% · 1–37
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,780 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Vadamos (FR) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,082 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 155.
Gale Force Ten (GB) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,129 runs since 2008 (74 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,311 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,311 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Alfalfa (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 12th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Timothy Doyle's strike rate?
Timothy Doyle has won 35 of 677 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Timothy Doyle do best at?
Clonmel by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 runners (7.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Timothy Doyle?
Mr D Doyle, with 248 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (3.6%).
Is Timothy Doyle in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Timothy Doyle's Fair A/E?
0.84, from 677 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).