What is E J O'Grady's strike rate?

E J O'Grady has won 30 of 487 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does E J O'Grady do best at?

Clonmel by strike rate: 3 wins from 34 runners (8.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for E J O'Grady?

Mark McDonagh, with 75 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8%).

What is E J O'Grady's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 487 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

E J O'Grady

487 runners in the last 5 seasons · 57 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2025

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

30–487

Wins / Runs

6.2%

Strike rate

n=487

123 (25%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=487 · 0.66 incl. margin

−254.29

£1 level stake

n=487 at SP · −52.2%

£466k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.82). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (109 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 487 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 9.2% Mark McDonagh: 8% from 75

The read

It is weakest at Punchestown (0% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 9.2% (n=109, Fair A/E 1.42). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −89.12 to a £1 stake over 147 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mark McDonagh rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.48) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (13.6%, n=44) and off a break of 180+ days (12.2%, n=49). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 34 runners, 6.2pts below the baseline. 45 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase Grade 3 at Cheltenham (Nov 2009, £85,515). The stable star of the record: Catch Me (GER) — 11 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.2%+3.0

n=109 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +7.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

20%+13.8

n=5 · A/E 4.81 · £1 +3.50

Debutants · first career start

6.1%−0.1

n=33 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −20.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.7%+10.5

n=24 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +8.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.6%−0.6

n=18 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −14.50

When favourite

18.5%

n=27 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −10.62

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.4%−0.8

n=147 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −89.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.2

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 6.2% · n=30

Over 2m5f – 3m 13.6% vs 6.2% · n=44

With Phillip Enright 11.9% vs 6.2% · n=67

Off a break of 180+ days 12.2% vs 6.2% · n=49

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 6.2% · n=34

At Punchestown 0% vs 6.2% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 246 18 7.3% −111.12

Flat 115 5 4.3% −55.50

Chase 96 7 7.3% −57.67

NH Flat 30 0 0% −30.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 182 9 4.9% −92.00

Good 123 11 8.9% −45.29

Good to Soft 78 5 6.4% −44.00

Heavy 75 5 6.7% −44.00

Standard (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00

Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cork 34 1 2.9% −5.00

Clonmel 34 3 8.8% −15.00

Punchestown 31 0 0% −31.00

Tramore 28 2 7.1% −17.00

Limerick 28 1 3.6% −23.67

Killarney 28 2 7.1% −15.50

Navan 25 0 0% −25.00

Wexford 23 3 13% −2.50

Naas 23 1 4.3% −19.00

Leopardstown 21 2 9.5% −8.50

Fairyhouse 20 2 10% −2.50

Listowel 20 2 10% −5.50

Dundalk (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00

Thurles 18 0 0% −18.00

Tipperary 18 1 5.6% −14.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 25 0 0% −25.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 33 5 15.2% 0.63 −16.62

2nd–3rd fav 85 9 10.6% 0.67 −43.67

4th–6th fav 141 14 9.9% 1.48 −12.00

7th+ in betting 228 2 0.9% 0.34 −182.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.4% completed · 342 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 96 78.1% 8 0 13 0 0

Hurdle 246 88.2% 3 5 16 1 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Betty Dutton (IRE)then Andrew Slattery 32 1 14 14 Jul 25

Stormie Outlook (IRE)then Andrew Slattery 29 2 8 21 Jul 25

St Faz (FR)then Gordon Elliott 24 3 14 18 Jul 25

Ceroc (IRE)then Andrew Slattery 23 2 9 23 Jul 25

Priory Park (IRE)then Edward F Power 23 1 3 1 Jul 25

Any Road (IRE)then Andrew Slattery 22 2 7 1 Jul 25

Harvey's Quay (IRE) 20 1 4 27 Mar 25

Top Line Tommy (IRE)from G M Lyons 18 1 3 31 Aug 24

Housemartin (IRE) 17 2 6 20 Mar 25

Diamond Union (GB) 16 0 1 27 Jul 23

Gwan Tadhg (IRE)then Andrew Slattery 14 3 5 15 Nov 24

Rumi (GB)from Harry & Roger Charlton · then M J Phillips 13 2 2 9 Oct 24

All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 57 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for Andrew Slattery (8) and Denis Gerard Hogan (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

130061156813362

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMark McDonagh

15% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.48

RiderRWSR£1

Mark McDonagh 75 6 8% −41.62

Phillip Enright 67 8 11.9% +14.50

Darragh O'Keeffe 45 4 8.9% −30.17

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

443

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.01m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 59 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Tranquil Sea I (IRE) — Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 Cheltenham · Nov 2009 · Class 1

£85,515

Sky's The Limit (FR) — Durkan New Homes Novice Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2007 · Grade 1

£82,800

Jumbo Rio (IRE) — Ballymore Champion Four Year Old Hurdle Punchestown (IRE) · May 2009 · Grade 1

£80,600

Notable horses

Catch Me (GER) Tranquil Sea (IRE) The Real Article (IRE) Slieveardagh (IRE) Bernabeu (USA) Prickly (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Frozen Fire (GER) 8.5% · 4–47

Progeny have won 5.7% of 297 runs since 2008 (43 horses).

Walk In The Park (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,942 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Bated Breath (GB) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,133 runs since 2008 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 846.

Casamento (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,621 runs since 2008 (299 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.6% from 497. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.

Fame And Glory (GB) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Taareef (USA) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 10.8% of 203 runs since 2008 (27 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,348 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,348 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 25 July 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Jul 25 Cork Sovereign Banter (IRE)J: Ben Coen Follow Us On Social Media Handicap (0-60)6f · Good To Firm · 21 ran 19th 33/1

23 Jul 25 Wexford Ceroc (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Chase25.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

21 Jul 25 Ballinrobe Stormie Outlook (IRE)J: Shane Foley Tote Guarantee Available On-Course & At Tote.ie Handicap9.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 4th 3/1

19 Jul 25 Curragh Queen Aethelflaed (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Cavalor 'Bronchix Pulmo' Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 21 ran 13th 125/1

18 Jul 25 Down Royal Sovereign Banter (IRE)J: Shane Foley Ampion Testing Across UK And Ireland Handicap (0-60)5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 33/1

18 Jul 25 Killarney St Faz (FR)J: Danny Mullins BoyleSports Daily Money Back Meeting Handicap Chase17f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 5th 11/4F

15 Jul 25 Downpatrick Order Of The Dance (IRE)J: Mr M J Kenneally Denvir's Of Downpatrick (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

14 Jul 25 Downpatrick Betty Dutton (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe C. Russell Auto Sales Beginners Chase23.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd EvensF

05 Jul 25 Bellewstown Our Soldier (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Johnny's Race Day Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good · 15 ran 1st 9/2

03 Jul 25 Bellewstown Sovereign Banter (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Champion Lettings Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 9th 14/1

01 Jul 25 Roscommon Stormie Outlook (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Sean Cleary Memorial Handicap10.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 8/1

01 Jul 25 Tipperary Betty Dutton (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Baileys Hotel Cashel Beginners Chase19.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 16/1

01 Jul 25 Tipperary Priory Park (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (Div 2)23f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 14/1

01 Jul 25 Tipperary St Faz (FR)J: Phillip Enright Tipperary Town Plate Handicap Chase16.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 2nd 7/1

01 Jul 25 Tipperary Any Road (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Tipperary Races Beginners Chase16.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 22/1

25 Jun 25 Naas Queen Aethelflaed (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 11 ran 8th 50/1

21 Jun 25 Limerick Stormie Outlook (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Ballyduane Stud Fillies Handicap8f · Good · 11 ran 4th 11/1

11 Jun 25 Limerick Sovereign Banter (IRE)J: Shane Foley Follow Limerick On Instagram Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)7f · Good · 15 ran 4th 18/1

07 Jun 25 Navan St Faz (FR)J: Seamie Heffernan Balreask Bar, Catering At Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Good · 21 ran 14th 17/2

07 Jun 25 Navan Queen Aethelflaed (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Fillies Maiden10f · Good · 14 ran 8th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is E J O'Grady's strike rate?: E J O'Grady has won 30 of 487 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does E J O'Grady do best at?: Clonmel by strike rate: 3 wins from 34 runners (8.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for E J O'Grady?: Mark McDonagh, with 75 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8%).
What is E J O'Grady's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 487 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.