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Trainer profile

John M Burke

210 runners in the last 5 seasons · 33 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
6–210
Wins / Runs
2.9%
Strike rate
n=210
35 (17%)
Placed
0.66
n=210 · 0.51 incl. margin
−142.00
£1 level stake
n=210 at SP · −67.6%
£84,654
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.66).

Deterministic profile computed from 210 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Niall Moore: 1.7% from 59
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.43 and −68.50 to a £1 stake over 110 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Niall Moore rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.7%, A/E 0.34). The yard also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (6.7%, n=75). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Boreen Belle Mares Novice Hurdle at Thurles (Dec 2017, £19,988). The stable star of the record: Like An Open Book (IRE) — 5 wins from 39 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.9
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.9
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 2.24 · £1 +3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.8%−1.1
n=110 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −68.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With E Walsh 9.8% vs 2.9% · n=41
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 6.7% vs 2.9% · n=75
On Good going 5.5% vs 2.9% · n=73
In Flat races 0% vs 2.9% · n=40
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.9% · n=30
Off a 31-60-day break 5% vs 2.9% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 134 4 3% −103.50
Flat 40 0 0% −40.00
NH Flat 26 1 3.8% +8.00
Chase 10 1 10% −6.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 73 4 5.5% −16.00
Soft 53 1 1.9% −45.50
Good to Soft 51 1 2% −47.50
Heavy 23 0 0% −23.00
Standard (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kilbeggan 25 0 0% −25.00
Wexford 23 3 13% −8.50
Cork 15 0 0% −15.00
Thurles 15 0 0% −15.00
Limerick 15 0 0% −15.00
Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00
Listowel 12 1 8.3% +0.00
Clonmel 10 0 0% −10.00
Dundalk (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Killarney 9 1 11.1% +25.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Tramore 7 0 0% −7.00
Tipperary 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 1.94 +2.00
2nd–3rd fav 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
4th–6th fav 39 2 5.1% 0.75 −24.00
7th+ in betting 148 2 1.4% 0.70 −102.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.3% completed · 144 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 10 90% 0 1 0 0 0
Hurdle 134 82.8% 6 3 12 0 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Our Bobby (IRE) 28 4 13 30 Aug 24
Charlie's Gift (IRE) 13 0 1 6 Oct 26
Backwithyourown (IRE) 13 0 1 7 Aug 26
Toucan Do (IRE) 12 0 2 1 Jun 24
Toms Courage (IRE) 12 0 2 23 May 23
Silverfort Lady (IRE) 11 0 0 17 Jun 24
Walk Win (FR) 8 0 2 8 Aug 26
Quarry Lady (IRE) 8 0 0 19 Oct 24
Awakening (IRE)from Joseph G Murphy 7 0 0 12 Jun 26
Tell Me See (IRE) 6 0 2 18 Oct 26
Chosen Princess (IRE) 6 0 2 28 Aug 26
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Daragh Bourke (2); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000351400000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderNiall Moore
28% of all rides
1.7% SR · A/E 0.34
RiderRWSR£1
Niall Moore 59 1 1.7% −51.50
E Walsh 41 4 9.8% −14.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
22
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£330k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Killahara Castle (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Boreen Belle Mares Novice Hurdle (Listed) Thurles · Dec 2017 · Listed
£19,988
Aurora Bell (IRE) — Fred Kenny Lifetime Service To Racing Novice Handicap Chase Fairyhouse · Apr 2015
£13,000
Like An Open Book (IRE) — Assembly Techniques Handicap Tramore · Aug 2018
£12,320

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fairly Ransom (USA) 14.3% · 4–28
Progeny have won 9.8% of 542 runs since 2008 (48 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.8% from 104.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Kingston Hill (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,627 runs since 2008 (203 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 164.
Idaho (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.4% of 277 runs since 2008 (64 horses).
Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Sans Frontieres (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9% of 1,251 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.2% from 183.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 723 · newest first

The latest 50 of 723 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John M Burke's strike rate?
John M Burke has won 6 of 210 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for John M Burke?
Niall Moore, with 59 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.7%).
Is John M Burke in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John M Burke's Fair A/E?
0.66, from 210 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).