What is Matthew Hopkins's strike rate?

Matthew Hopkins has won 27 of 312 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Matthew Hopkins do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 61 rides (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Matthew Hopkins ride most for?

Scott Dixon, with 121 rides since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (14%).

What is Matthew Hopkins's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 311 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Matthew Hopkins

312 rides in the lifetime window · 132 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2014 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

27–312

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=312

81 (26%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=311 · 0.99 incl. margin

−88.87

£1 level stake

n=312 at SP · −28.5%

£138k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16).

Deterministic profile computed from 312 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Scott Dixon: 14% from 121

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (13.1%, n=61), clear of the rider's 8.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.00). Scott Dixon supplied 39% of the rides and beats the rider's average (14% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.62) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (14.9%, n=47) and at trips under 6f (13.6%, n=103). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 31 rides, 8.7pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Sir Geoffrey (IRE) — 5 wins from 16 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.6%−1.1

n=132 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −43.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

10.3%+1.6

n=29 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −15.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−8.7

n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −55.00

When favourite

36.8%

n=19 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +3.63

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.6%−0.1

n=290 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −78.87

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.8%−1.9

n=44 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −14.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Alan Berry 1.4% vs 8.7% · n=70

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 8.7% · n=31

With Scott Dixon 14% vs 8.7% · n=121

Off a 0-7-day break 14.9% vs 8.7% · n=47

At trips under 6f 13.6% vs 8.7% · n=103

At Southwell (AW) 13.1% vs 8.7% · n=61

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 124 13 10.5% −20.00

Good to Firm 54 6 11.1% −18.62

Good 48 2 4.2% −33.75

Good to Soft 40 2 5% −22.50

Soft 38 4 10.5% +14.00

Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 61 8 13.1% −13.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 50 5 10% +6.50

Catterick 22 3 13.6% +19.00

Hamilton 20 1 5% −17.00

Beverley 15 3 20% +8.88

Ayr 13 0 0% −13.00

Redcar 12 1 8.3% −8.75

Thirsk 12 1 8.3% −8.50

Doncaster 11 2 18.2% +12.50

Ripon 10 0 0% −10.00

Nottingham 9 0 0% −9.00

Newcastle 8 1 12.5% −0.50

Leicester 7 1 14.3% −4.50

Kempton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Musselburgh 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 133 14 10.5% −27.25

Class 5 106 9 8.5% −17.12

Class 4 47 2 4.3% −29.00

Class 3 16 1 6.3% −11.00

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 7 3 1 33.3% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 23 9 39.1% 1.57 +10.63

2nd–3rd fav 36 5 13.9% 0.99 −9.00

4th–6th fav 105 10 9.5% 1.37 +8.50

7th+ in betting 148 3 2% 0.59 −99.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sir Geoffrey (IRE) 16 5 6 15 Oct 14

Piceno (IRE) 14 1 8 6 Aug 14

Pearl Noir (GB) 11 3 6 21 Oct 14

Incomparable (GB) 7 1 3 17 Oct 14

Six Wives (GB) 7 1 1 14 Aug 14

Crimson Knot (IRE) 7 1 4 28 Jun 12

Bygones For Coins (IRE) 7 0 2 4 May 12

Burnhope (GB) 6 0 3 7 Oct 14

Cadeaux Pearl (GB) 6 0 1 27 Sep 14

Pastureyes (GB) 6 2 3 27 Sep 14

Even Stevens (GB) 6 1 2 16 Aug 14

Very First Blade (GB) 6 2 3 8 Aug 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 132 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

119114581113813258

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardScott Dixon

39% of all rides
14% SR · A/E 1.62

TrainerRWSR£1

Scott Dixon 121 17 14% +31.25

Alan Berry 70 1 1.4% −67.00

Michael Easterby 67 7 10.4% −8.12

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

£138k

Prize money

2014

Best season · 15 wins

Even Stevens (GB) — Compare Bookmakers At Bookmakers.co.uk Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2014 · Class 3

£7,561

Six Wives (GB) — Ebf Stallions Breeding Winners /quicksilverslots After 10pm Fillies' Handicap Southwell (AW) · May 2014 · Class 4

£6,469

Cock Of The North (GB) — William Hill Download The App Brocklesby Conditions Stakes (BOBIS Race) Doncaster · Mar 2014 · Class 4

£6,469

Notable horses

Sir Geoffrey (IRE) Pearl Noir (GB) Pastureyes (GB) Very First Blade (GB) Armelle (FR) Piceno (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milk It Mick (GB) 21.9% · 7–32

Progeny have won 5.9% of 726 runs since 2011 (52 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 9.2% from 152.

Captain Rio (GB) 29.4% · 5–17

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Camacho (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,325 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Gentleman's Deal (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 7.8% of 422 runs since 2009 (34 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Danroad (AUS) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 7% of 584 runs since 2009 (41 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 312 · newest first

The latest 50 of 312 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 December 2011 to 21 October 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 14 Lingfield (AW) Pearl Noir (GB)T: Scott Dixon Horse Racing Loyalty Bonus At winner.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 20/1

17 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Incomparable (GB)T: Scott Dixon Hills Export All Around The World Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 25/1

15 Oct 14 Nottingham Sir Geoffrey (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Racing Specials At 32RedSport.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 17 ran 6th 25/1

11 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Pearl Noir (GB)T: Scott Dixon Ladbrokes HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 8/1

10 Oct 14 York Askaud (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Future Cleaning Services Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 14th 20/1

09 Oct 14 Ayr Incomparable (GB)T: Scott Dixon Coca-Cola Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 14/1

07 Oct 14 Leicester Burnhope (GB)T: Scott Dixon Leveret Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 9/2F

03 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Pearl Noir (GB)T: Scott Dixon Enjoy Daily Betting Tips At Bookmakers.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 11/1

27 Sep 14 Ripon Pastureyes (GB)T: Scott Dixon Sis Live HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 16 ran 16th 33/1

27 Sep 14 Ripon Cadeaux Pearl (GB)T: Scott Dixon David Sonia's 40th Birthday Celebration Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 11th 14/1

15 Sep 14 Brighton Pastureyes (GB)T: Scott Dixon Download The Harveys Beer Finder App HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 3/1

15 Sep 14 Brighton Burnhope (GB)T: Scott Dixon Harveys Brewery HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 12/1

12 Sep 14 Salisbury Wimboldsley (GB)T: Scott Dixon Harriet Hodgkinson 18th Birthday HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 10th 8/1

29 Aug 14 Thirsk Sacrosanctus (GB)T: Scott Dixon Theakston Lightfoot HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good · 18 ran 17th 40/1

27 Aug 14 Catterick Pastureyes (GB)T: Scott Dixon Racing Again Saturday 20th September HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 1st 6/1

23 Aug 14 Redcar Armelle (FR)T: Scott Dixon Follow RedcarRacing On Facebook & Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 1st 9/4F

20 Aug 14 Southwell (AW) Procurer (FR)T: Scott Dixon In Memory Of Nev Hardy HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 8/1

20 Aug 14 Southwell (AW) Blue Clumber (GB)T: Shaun Harris Jennifer Wallace Memorial Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 20/1

18 Aug 14 Thirsk Sir Geoffrey (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Download New Racing Uk Ipad App HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 20/1

16 Aug 14 Doncaster Even Stevens (GB)T: Scott Dixon Betfred Exclusive Competitions Facebook And Twitter HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good · 17 ran 8th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matthew Hopkins's strike rate?: Matthew Hopkins has won 27 of 312 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matthew Hopkins do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 61 rides (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Matthew Hopkins ride most for?: Scott Dixon, with 121 rides since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (14%).
What is Matthew Hopkins's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 311 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.