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Trainer profile

Danielle McCormick

132 runners in the lifetime window · 20 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2016
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–132
Wins / Runs
1.5%
Strike rate
n=132
15 (11%)
Placed
0.29
Fair A/E
n=132 · 0.25 incl. margin
−104.00
£1 level stake
n=132 at SP · −78.8%
£18,624
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.29).

Deterministic profile computed from 132 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.8%+2.3
n=26 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.5
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 6 3.8% vs 1.5% · n=53
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 1.5% · n=80 · A/E 0.00
In Class 5 0% vs 1.5% · n=53 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 111 2 1.8% −83.00
Hurdle 15 0 0% −15.00
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 33 0 0% −33.00
Good 30 1 3.3% −13.00
Standard (AW) 30 1 3.3% −19.00
Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Good to Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 21 0 0% −21.00
Haydock 19 0 0% −19.00
Hamilton 10 0 0% −10.00
Southwell (AW) 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Chester 8 0 0% −8.00
Catterick 8 0 0% −8.00
Ayr 7 1 14.3% +10.00
Redcar 6 0 0% −6.00
Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00
Thirsk 6 0 0% −6.00
Beverley 5 0 0% −5.00
Newcastle 4 0 0% −4.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Aintree 3 0 0% −3.00
Cartmel 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 53 0 0% −53.00
Class 6 53 2 3.8% −25.00
Class 4 22 0 0% −22.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
4th–6th fav 35 1 2.9% 0.42 −24.00
7th+ in betting 82 1 1.2% 0.41 −65.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Amelia Jay (GB) 24 1 3 24 Jan 14
Millie N Aire (GB) 15 0 4 28 Aug 13
Ballinargh Girl (IRE)from Robert Wylie 14 0 2 30 Nov 13
Jay Kay (GB)from Robert Wylie · then K R Burke 12 1 2 24 Jul 13
Blythe Star (IRE)then Christopher Kellett 11 0 0 10 Nov 15
Echo Springs (GB)from John Quinn · then Christopher Kellett 8 0 1 29 Jan 16
Carlovian (GB)then Christopher Kellett 8 0 0 19 Oct 15
Kodimoor (IRE)then Christopher Kellett 7 0 2 12 Sep 15
Hardy Blue (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 6 0 0 31 Aug 13
Laudation (GB)from William Jarvis 5 0 0 18 Oct 13
Lord Westhead (IRE) 4 0 0 30 Dec 13
Smooth Handle (GB)from Tom Dascombe 4 0 0 26 Aug 13
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Robert Wylie (5); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Christopher Kellett (6); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000000070000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Neil Farley 11 0 0% −11.00
James Sullivan 11 0 0% −11.00
Andrew Elliott 10 1 10% +7.00
Duran Fentiman 9 0 0% −9.00
Adrian Lane 9 0 0% −9.00
Joe Fanning 7 0 0% −7.00
Chris Catlin 6 1 16.7% +5.00
Dougie Costello 5 0 0% −5.00
Matthew Hopkins 5 0 0% −5.00
P J McDonald 5 0 0% −5.00
Slade O'Hara 5 0 0% −5.00
Tom Queally 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
2
Archived wins
£18,624
Prize money
2013
Best season · 1 win
Amelia Jay (GB) — Bella Mani Salons Handicap Ayr · Aug 2013 · Class 6
£2,045
Jay Kay (GB) — Membership Available At Southwell Golf Club Handicap Southwell (AW) · Aug 2012 · Class 6
£1,704
Notable horses
Amelia Jay (GB) Jay Kay (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Avonbridge (GB) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.
Multiplex (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,180 runs since 2008 (291 horses).
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,765 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Librettist (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,644 runs since 2008 (169 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.6% from 219.
Thewayyouare (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,151 runs since 2008 (166 horses).
Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10% of 19,672 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 193.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 132 · newest first

The latest 50 of 132 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 March 2012 to 29 January 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Jan 16 Doncaster Echo Springs (GB)J: Brian Hughes Sky Bet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 6th 5/1
29 Dec 15 Kelso Echo Springs (GB)J: Brian Harding Spg Fire & Security Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 5/1
27 Nov 15 Doncaster Echo Springs (GB)J: Brian Hughes Walls Magnum Classic Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier For The Challenger Staying Hurdle Series Final)Class 4 · 24.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 8/1
10 Nov 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Blythe Star (IRE)J: Mitch Godwin 32RedPoker.com Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 20/1
07 Nov 15 Aintree Echo Springs (GB)J: Brian Hughes Betfred TV EBF Stallions "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle QualifierClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 25/1
25 Oct 15 Aintree Echo Springs (GB)J: Adrian Lane Crabbie's Grand National 2016 On Sale Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 17/2
20 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Blythe Star (IRE)J: James Sullivan Compare The Odds at bookies.com HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 10/1
19 Oct 15 Pontefract Carlovian (GB)J: Duran Fentiman Get Social With totepool On Facebook Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 22/1
16 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Blythe Star (IRE)J: Tom Queally Book Now For Christmas Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 16/1
16 Oct 15 Redcar Blythe Prince (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt 100% Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 125/1
08 Oct 15 Ayr Carlovian (GB)J: Tom Marquand Famous Grouse Nursery (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 4th 22/1
19 Sep 15 Catterick Carlovian (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt racinguk.com/anywhere 3 Devices 1 Price NurseryClass 5 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 22/1
12 Sep 15 Musselburgh Kodimoor (IRE)J: Sammy Jo Bell Flying Scotsman NurseryClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 11/1
08 Sep 15 Redcar Blythe Prince (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Racing UK Day Pass Just 10 Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 100/1
29 Aug 15 Windsor Kodimoor (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet Download The App Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 33/1
07 Aug 15 Haydock Carlovian (GB)J: Neil Farley Countrywide Freight NurseryClass 4 · 5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 16/1
02 Aug 15 Chester Kodimoor (IRE)J: Neil Farley MBNA/EBF Stallions Conditions Stakes (Plus 10)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 5 ran 4th 50/1
22 Jul 15 Catterick Carlovian (GB)J: Neil Farley British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 11/1
17 Jul 15 Nottingham Carlovian (GB)J: Dougie Costello Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 4th 50/1
11 Jul 15 Chester Kodimoor (IRE)J: James Sullivan Bet On UK Racing At corbettsports.com/ EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes (Plus10)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Danielle McCormick's strike rate?
Danielle McCormick has won 2 of 132 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Danielle McCormick's Fair A/E?
0.29, from 132 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).