No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2%−0.1
n=51 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −47.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.5%+2.4
n=22 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −18.75
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.94 · £1 +3.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.1%+0.0
n=96 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −87.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.1
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f0% vs 2.1% · n=42
In Hurdle races3.1% vs 2.1% · n=65 · A/E 0.66
On first rides for the horse2% vs 2.1% · n=51 · A/E 0.47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle6523.1%−56.25
Chase2000%−20.00
Flat600%−6.00
NH Flat500%−5.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm2700%−27.00
Good2713.7%−23.75
Soft1800%−18.00
Good to Soft1700%−17.00
Heavy600%−6.00
Firm11100%+4.50
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell2000%−20.00
Plumpton1300%−13.00
Stratford700%−7.00
Worcester700%−7.00
Hereford500%−5.00
Towcester500%−5.00
Folkestone400%−4.00
Huntingdon400%−4.00
Exeter300%−3.00
Chepstow300%−3.00
Fakenham3133.3%+0.25
Ludlow300%−3.00
Newbury200%−2.00
Kempton200%−2.00
Kelso200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 54912%−43.50
Class 43712.7%−33.75
Class 6600%−6.00
Class 3400%−4.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite2150%2.94+3.50
2nd–3rd fav4125%1.38−0.75
4th–6th fav2600%0.00−26.00
7th+ in betting6400%0.00−64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f4200%−42.00
1m5f – 2m2727.4%−18.25
2m5f – 3m1800%−18.00
Over 3m400%−4.00
1m2f – 1m4f200%−2.00
1m – 1m1f200%−2.00
6f – 7f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008800%−8.00
20093900%−39.00
20103000%−30.00
201119210.5%−10.25
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps5411.9%−48.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners2913.4%−23.50
8-10 runners2314.3%−19.75
5-7 runners2100%−21.00
14-16 runners1800%−18.00
17+ runners500%−5.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 52 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0013800000000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Goodwood Starlight (IRE) — My Fair Lady Conditional Jockeys' Maiden Hurdle Fakenham · Mar 2011 · Class 4
£2,872
Lago (GB) — Og's Racing Club Northern Tour Amateurs' Handicap Hurdle Carlisle · Nov 2007 · Class 4
£2,637
Rifleman (IRE) — WBX.COM 25 For New Accounts Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase Hereford · Nov 2007 · Class 5
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,230 runs since 2008 (129 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 301.
Alflora (IRE)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Beat All (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Classic Cliche (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.
Fantastic Light (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,570 runs since 2008 (223 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 377.
Fasliyev (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 104 · newest first
The latest 50 of 104 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 April 2006 to 10 July 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr Ashley Bird's strike rate?
Mr Ashley Bird has won 2 of 96 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Ashley Bird's Fair A/E?
0.50, from 96 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr Ashley Bird·SR 2.1%·A/E 0.50
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