What is Evan Williams's strike rate?

Evan Williams has won 195 of 1,894 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Evan Williams do best at?

Leicester by strike rate: 8 wins from 38 runners (21.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Evan Williams?

Adam Wedge, with 794 runners since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 94 (11.8%).

What is Evan Williams's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,889 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Evan Williams

1,894 runners in the last 5 seasons · 228 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.7% of 293 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 24 Oct 2026.

Last runner 232 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

195–1,894

Wins / Runs

10.3%

Strike rate

n=1,894

479 (25%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,889 · 0.83 incl. margin

−502.83

£1 level stake

n=1,894 at SP · −26.5%

£2.62m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 380 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 15% (67 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,894 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug 37.5% when favourite Adam Wedge: 11.8% from 794 New recruits: 12.8% Headgear returns: 14.9% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (21.1%, n=38), clear of the yard's 10.3% baseline. It is weakest at Southwell (2.7% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 14.9% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.36), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.56). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 9.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −245.43 to a £1 stake over 656 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Adam Wedge rides 42% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.8%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22.9%, n=35) and on Good to Firm going (23.3%, n=30). 33 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hennessy Cognac Handicap Chase at Newbury (Nov 2006, £85,530). The stable star of the record: Deep Purple (GB) — 12 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8%−2.3

n=386 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −163.65

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.8%+2.5

n=47 · A/E 1.63 · £1 −13.15

Debutants · first career start

6.4%−3.9

n=110 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −28.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.6%−5.7

n=65 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −32.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14.9%+4.6

n=67 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +32.37

When favourite

37.5%

n=136 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +9.82

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.1%−1.2

n=656 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −245.43

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.5%−0.8

n=42 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +20.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 22.9% vs 10.3% · n=35

On Good to Firm going 23.3% vs 10.3% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 18.1% vs 10.3% · n=204

At Leicester 21.1% vs 10.3% · n=38

With Miss Eleanor Williams 3% vs 10.3% · n=99

At Southwell 2.7% vs 10.3% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,035 91 8.8% −372.48

Chase 743 97 13.1% −85.85

NH Flat 94 7 7.4% −22.50

Flat 22 0 0% −22.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 550 61 11.1% −189.26

Good to Soft 531 53 10% −146.90

Soft 525 44 8.4% −147.95

Heavy 256 30 11.7% −21.80

Good to Firm 30 7 23.3% +5.08

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 395 38 9.6% −59.03

Chepstow 255 25 9.8% −77.18

Hereford 154 14 9.1% −81.59

Ludlow 118 14 11.9% −37.92

Newton Abbot 111 15 13.5% −31.68

Taunton 99 6 6.1% −58.25

Fontwell 58 4 6.9% −28.50

Exeter 58 4 6.9% −38.50

Stratford 54 6 11.1% −14.50

Cheltenham 41 7 17.1% +29.33

Uttoxeter 40 6 15% +29.12

Leicester 38 8 21.1% +5.25

Southwell 37 1 2.7% −33.75

Worcester 36 6 16.7% +5.60

Plumpton 35 6 17.1% −7.47

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 746 73 9.8% −240.07

Class 5 712 79 11.1% −136.68

Class 3 252 27 10.7% −77.78

Class 2 105 12 11.4% −32.05

Class 1 68 4 5.9% −5.25

Class 6 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 158 53 33.5% 1.08 −4.85

2nd–3rd fav 482 72 14.9% 0.82 −105.98

4th–6th fav 682 56 8.2% 1.03 −68.00

7th+ in betting 572 14 2.4% 0.87 −324.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.5% completed · 1,778 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 743 79.1% 27 18 107 2 1

Hurdle 1,035 88.4% 12 14 92 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Walkinthewoods (IRE)then Mrs C Williams 33 3 15 25 Feb 26

Henry Box Brown (IRE)from Shane Patrick O'Brien · then Mrs C Williams 33 3 10 14 Dec 25

Puddlesinthepark (IRE)then Mrs C Williams 31 6 12 5 Dec 25

Balkardy (FR)then Mrs C Williams 30 6 11 6 Nov 25

Dr T J Eckleburg (IRE)from Olly Murphy · then Mrs C Williams 29 4 9 21 Feb 26

To Be Sure (GB)then Mrs C Williams 27 2 6 9 Feb 26

Tour Ovalie (FR)then Mrs C Williams 24 6 13 15 Jan 26

Everyonesacritic (IRE)then Mrs C. Williams 22 4 9 26 Feb 26

Lelant (IRE)then Mrs C Williams 22 2 5 8 Dec 25

Imperial Measure (IRE) 22 1 6 19 Nov 25

Followango (IRE) 21 2 12 1 Mar 26

Ideallko (FR)then Mrs C Williams 21 5 8 4 Feb 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 228 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Laura Horsfall (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

37 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs C Williams (35); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

91011179151316510810

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAdam Wedge

42% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Adam Wedge 794 94 11.8% −117.89

Isabel Williams 441 49 11.1% −127.25

Conor Ring 284 17 6% −130.34

Miss Eleanor Williams 99 3 3% −72.00

Ellis Collier 67 5 7.5% −32.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,247

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£13.5m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 83 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

State of Play (GB) — Hennessy Cognac Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Newbury · Nov 2006 · Grade 3

£85,530

Secret Reprieve (IRE) — Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Chepstow · Jan 2021 · Grade 3

£85,425

Demi Beau (GB) — Carey Group Handicap Chase Ascot · Nov 2006 · Class 2

£74,364

Notable horses

Deep Purple (GB) Still Believing (IRE) Court Minstrel (IRE) Tornado In Milan (IRE) Mickmacmagoole (IRE) Barizan (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 13.9% · 14–101

Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 11.4% · 9–79

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,823 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Getaway (GER) 8.5% · 6–71

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,921 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.5% from 132.

Malinas (GER) 7.5% · 4–53

Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,942 runs since 2008 (419 horses).

Jukebox Jury (IRE) 6.1% · 3–49

Progeny have won 13.4% of 2,228 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 13.3% · 6–45

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,080 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,080 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 6 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Mar 26 Exeter Can You Call (GB)J: Ben Jones Unibet Middle Distance Series Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 9/2

02 Mar 26 Southwell Dino Moon (FR)J: Conor Ring Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 8/1

02 Mar 26 Southwell Model Approach (IRE)J: Conor Ring Join Southwell Golf Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 3 ran 3rd 18/1

01 Mar 26 Ffos Las Francky Blue (FR)J: Conor Ring Amroth Bay Caravan Park Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 17/2

01 Mar 26 Ffos Las Ionity (FR)J: Ben Jones 3A's Horsebox Hire And Sales Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 11/10F

01 Mar 26 Ffos Las Followango (IRE)J: Miss Eleanor Williams Paned At 3A's Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 10/3

01 Mar 26 Ffos Las Frankie Faulkner (IRE)J: Isabel Williams Amroth Bay Static Caravan Sales Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 16/1

27 Feb 26 Doncaster Elusive Knight (IRE)J: Conor Ring Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 4th 12/1

27 Feb 26 Doncaster Pooroldmackley (IRE)J: Miss Eleanor Williams Virgin Bet Doncaster Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran F 40/1

26 Feb 26 Ludlow Jukebox Joker (IRE)J: Isabel Williams RacingTV Club Day Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 11/4

26 Feb 26 Ludlow Everyonesacritic (IRE)J: Isabel Williams 1985 Lager Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 7/2

26 Feb 26 Ludlow Minella Blueway (IRE)J: Isabel Williams Forbra Gold Cup (Sponsored By Flowfit) (Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 11/2

25 Feb 26 Wincanton Walkinthewoods (IRE)J: Osian Radford Cheltenham Preview 5th March At Wincanton Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/1

25 Feb 26 Wincanton Viva Vincente (IRE)J: Conor Ring Happy 18th Birthday James Dunford Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 15th 300/1

22 Feb 26 Hereford Wewillgowithplanb (IRE)J: Conor Ring DragonBet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 8/1

22 Feb 26 Hereford Devon Dude (GB)J: Conor Ring Claim Your DragonBet Welcome Offer Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran PU 13/2

22 Feb 26 Hereford Malinaero (IRE)J: Conor Ring DragonBet Cheltenham Infernoboosts Back For Roar Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 100/1

21 Feb 26 Chepstow Massimass (GB)J: Ellis Collier Pertemps Network Maiden NH Flat Race (Conditional/Amateurs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 28/1

21 Feb 26 Chepstow Kings Order (IRE)J: Conor Ring Pertemps Network EMEA Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 100/1

21 Feb 26 Chepstow L'astroboy (GER)J: Kielan Woods Pertemps Network EMEA Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Evan Williams's strike rate?: Evan Williams has won 195 of 1,894 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Evan Williams do best at?: Leicester by strike rate: 8 wins from 38 runners (21.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Evan Williams?: Adam Wedge, with 794 runners since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 94 (11.8%).
What is Evan Williams's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,889 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.