No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.31).
Deterministic profile computed from 106 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFirst rides: 8.5%Claiming: 7.8%
The read
The rider also read well on Soft going (16.1%, n=31). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 3.1% over 32 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.5%+1.0
n=71 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −33.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−7.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.7%+3.2
n=28 · A/E 1.68 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
50%
n=6 · A/E 2.52 · £1 +5.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.8%+0.3
n=103 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −30.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.9%−1.6
n=68 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −15.25
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Soft going16.1% vs 7.5% · n=31
Over 1m5f – 2m3.1% vs 7.5% · n=32
On first rides for the horse8.5% vs 7.5% · n=71 · A/E 1.49
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat4548.9%−7.50
Chase3837.9%−12.00
Hurdle2015%−11.00
Flat300%−3.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft31516.1%+8.75
Good2514%−21.25
Heavy2400%−24.00
Good to Firm11218.2%+18.00
Good to Soft800%−8.00
Firm400%−4.00
Standard (AW)300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal18211.1%+0.00
Downpatrick16318.8%+21.25
Punchestown10110%−1.00
Ayr600%−6.00
Wexford6116.7%−1.50
Fairyhouse6116.7%−2.25
Gowran Park600%−6.00
Kilbeggan500%−5.00
Tipperary500%−5.00
Clonmel400%−4.00
Dundalk (AW)300%−3.00
Listowel300%−3.00
Newcastle200%−2.00
Sligo200%−2.00
Naas200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4600%−6.00
Class 6200%−2.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 5100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite6350%2.52+5.25
2nd–3rd fav17317.6%1.42+3.25
4th–6th fav2514%0.76−10.00
7th+ in betting5811.7%0.67−32.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f4449.1%+4.00
1m5f – 2m3213.1%−27.50
2m5f – 3m25312%−5.00
Over 3m500%−5.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082300%−23.00
20092314.3%+3.00
20101915.3%−16.00
201123417.4%−3.50
201218211.1%+6.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1100%−11.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners3700%−37.00
14-16 runners31412.9%+21.75
11-13 runners20210%−6.50
8-10 runners1300%−13.00
5-7 runners5240%+1.25
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 72 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
001861100014900
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Simonsig (GB) — Irish Racing Post Champion Point-to-point Flat Race Fairyhouse · Apr 2011
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Arctic Lord (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 5.5% of 795 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12% from 117. Weakest on Heavy going: 1.4% from 147.
Luso (GB)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Darnay (GB)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 4.1% of 666 runs since 2008 (97 horses).
Gulland (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 5.8% of 226 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Karinga Bay (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 177 · newest first
The latest 50 of 177 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 January 2005 to 4 June 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr C Cully's strike rate?
Mr C Cully has won 8 of 106 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr C Cully's Fair A/E?
1.31, from 106 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr C Cully·SR 7.5%·A/E 1.31
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