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Trainer profile

William J McLernon

53 runners in the last 5 seasons · 6 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 164 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
2–53
Wins / Runs
3.8%
Strike rate
n=53
11 (21%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=53 · 0.72 incl. margin
+22.50
£1 level stake
n=53 at SP · +42.5%
£32,085
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.8
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
16.7%+12.9
n=6 · A/E 12.58 · £1 +61.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%+0.5
n=23 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +44.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.8
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 42 1 2.4% −33.50
NH Flat 11 1 9.1% +56.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 28 1 3.6% +39.00
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −2.50
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Good 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 1 33.3% +64.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 2 1 50% +6.50
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 17 1 5.9% 0.79 −8.50
7th+ in betting 32 1 3.1% 2.38 +35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.5% completed · 42 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 42 90.5% 0 0 3 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE) 23 2 8 29 Apr 26
Ode To Joy (IRE) 10 0 3 13 May 26
Lauro Lady (GB) 9 0 0 24 Jul 25
Gerrymandering (IRE) 5 0 0 16 Apr 26
Mighty Moments (GB) 3 0 0 9 Nov 25
Blue Pearl Bay (IRE) 3 0 0 22 Apr 25
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 6 had their first archived run here.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
13000000··2500
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jody McGarvey 10 0 0% −10.00
Caragh Monaghan 7 0 0% −7.00
Gavin Brouder 7 0 0% −7.00
Miss A B O'Connor 6 1 16.7% +61.00
Patrick M O'Brien 5 0 0% −5.00
Liam McKenna 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean Flanagan 2 0 0% −2.00
Simon Torrens 2 0 0% −2.00
Tom Harney 2 0 0% −2.00
P J O'Hanlon 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr D Doyle 1 0 0% −1.00
Sarah Kavanagh 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
3
Archived wins
£40,715
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE) — Front Door 4-y-o Fillies (pro/am) Flat Race Galway · Oct 2022
£6,200
Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE) — Killinan Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Thurles · Jan 2026
£5,900
The Mull (IRE) — Daily Mirror Hunters Chase Down Royal · Mar 2012
£4,830
Notable horses
Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE) The Mull (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,853 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Lauro (GER) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.5% of 546 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.2% from 148. Weakest on Soft going: 5.6% from 196. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.7% from 170. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 220.
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,130 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,843 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Valirann (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,439 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 342.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 150 · newest first

The latest 50 of 150 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 December 2007 to 13 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 May 26 Punchestown Ode To Joy (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)16f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 10th 10/1
29 Apr 26 Punchestown Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan Adare Manor Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Yielding · 24 ran 10th 50/1
18 Apr 26 Bellewstown Ode To Joy (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Tony Marmion Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 9/1
16 Apr 26 Limerick Gerrymandering (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan Professor Maria Hinfelaar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 5th 66/1
05 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Cawley Furniture Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 20 ran PU 22/1
02 Apr 26 Clonmel Ode To Joy (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder KEP Italia Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 8/1
26 Mar 26 Clonmel Ode To Joy (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 17/2
04 Mar 26 Naas Ode To Joy (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 4th 50/1
18 Feb 26 Punchestown Ode To Joy (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Matchbook 50:50 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 250/1
08 Feb 26 Navan Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Ryan's Cleaning Apple's Jade Mares Novice Hurdle (Listed)20f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 22/1
29 Jan 26 Thurles Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Killinan Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Heavy · 16 ran 1st 15/2
29 Jan 26 Thurles Ode To Joy (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder ThurlesRaces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 13th 200/1
20 Jan 26 Down Royal Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Coors Mares Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 10/1
14 Jan 26 Fairyhouse Ode To Joy (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Download The Tote App Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Yielding · 12 ran 11th 250/1
12 Jan 26 Punchestown Gerrymandering (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Matchbook 50:50 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 13th 200/1
01 Jan 26 Fairyhouse Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE)J: Liam McKenna TheTravelShop.ie Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding · 24 ran 14th 40/1
26 Dec 25 Leopardstown Gerrymandering (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Thorntons Recycling Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 22 ran 21st 150/1
09 Nov 25 Naas Mighty Moments (GB)J: Mr D Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 11th 28/1
09 Nov 25 Naas Ode To Joy (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 10th 100/1
24 Jul 25 Wexford Lauro Lady (GB)J: Simon Torrens WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)16.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William J McLernon's strike rate?
William J McLernon has won 2 of 53 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is William J McLernon's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 53 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).