No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.1%+5.1
n=14 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +20.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.1%+5.1
n=14 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +20.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2%+0.0
n=49 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −15.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.6%+1.6
n=28 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +6.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle3612.8%−2.00
Chase700%−7.00
NH Flat600%−6.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good2713.7%+7.00
Soft1100%−11.00
Heavy500%−5.00
Good to Firm300%−3.00
Good to Soft300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Tramore1218.3%+22.00
Wexford800%−8.00
Cork500%−5.00
Limerick500%−5.00
Gowran Park300%−3.00
Punchestown300%−3.00
Clonmel200%−2.00
Downpatrick200%−2.00
Kilbeggan200%−2.00
Wexford100%−1.00
Ballinrobe100%−1.00
Down Royal100%−1.00
Fairyhouse100%−1.00
Roscommon100%−1.00
Thurles100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav400%0.00−4.00
4th–6th fav1000%0.00−10.00
7th+ in betting3512.9%0.90−1.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m2015%+14.00
2m1f – 2m4f1700%−17.00
1m5f – 2m1100%−11.00
Over 3m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2012100%−1.00
2013100%−1.00
20148112.5%+26.00
20151000%−10.00
2016900%−9.00
20171200%−12.00
2018800%−8.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2000%−20.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners1915.3%+15.00
8-10 runners1000%−10.00
17+ runners900%−9.00
11-13 runners800%−8.00
5-7 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 14 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·0020000·000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Craigsteel (GB)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.
High-Rise (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 4.8% of 377 runs since 2008 (48 horses).
Oscar (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Progeny have won 7.5% of 681 runs since 2008 (44 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 178. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 188.
Bienamado (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.8% of 523 runs since 2008 (51 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 49 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Mr E P Keating's 49 archived rides, from 13 December 2012 to 27 July 2018, newest first — one winner among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr E P Keating's strike rate?
Mr E P Keating has won 1 of 49 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr E P Keating's Fair A/E?
0.45, from 49 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr E P Keating·SR 2%·A/E 0.45
1Tap Share in the toolbar2Scroll down the sheet3Tap Add to Home Screen, then Add
1Open your browser's menu (the three dots)2Tap Add to Home screen or Install app
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy