What is Michael Cullen's strike rate?

Michael Cullen has won 20 of 324 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Cullen do best at?

Thurles by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Michael Cullen's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 324 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Cullen

324 runners in the lifetime window · 37 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2014 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

20–324

Wins / Runs

6.2%

Strike rate

n=324

78 (24%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=324 · 0.77 incl. margin

−98.75

£1 level stake

n=324 at SP · −30.5%

£290k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (73 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 324 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 9.6%

The read

The record is strongest at Thurles (16.7%, n=30), clear of the yard's 6.2% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (2.7% over 37 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 9.6% (n=73, Fair A/E 1.74). The yard also read well off a 61-180-day break (11.8%, n=51) and off a 31-60-day break (10.1%, n=69). The market has also underrated the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 1.53 across 79 runners (8.9% strike, +24.00 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 2.6% over 115 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Barrack Homes Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2007, £45,570).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.6%+3.4

n=73 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +25.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

33.3%+27.1

n=3 · A/E 4.47 · £1 +31.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.2

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.7%+1.5

n=13 · A/E 1.63 · £1 −7.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−6.2

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.4%−0.8

n=129 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −34.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.1%−0.1

n=33 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Thurles 16.7% vs 6.2% · n=30

Off a 61-180-day break 11.8% vs 6.2% · n=51

Off a 15-30-day break 2.6% vs 6.2% · n=115

Off a 31-60-day break 10.1% vs 6.2% · n=69

At Punchestown 2.7% vs 6.2% · n=37

Over 2m5f – 3m 8.9% vs 6.2% · n=79

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 174 11 6.3% −39.00

Chase 104 7 6.7% −29.25

NH Flat 43 2 4.7% −27.50

Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 119 6 5% −63.25

Heavy 118 8 6.8% −30.00

Good 47 4 8.5% +21.00

Good to Soft 19 1 5.3% −14.50

Good to Firm 16 1 6.3% −7.00

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 37 1 2.7% −18.00

Thurles 30 5 16.7% +17.75

Fairyhouse 29 0 0% −29.00

Navan 27 5 18.5% +21.00

Wexford 26 0 0% −26.00

Gowran Park 26 0 0% −26.00

Clonmel 24 2 8.3% +0.00

Limerick 20 0 0% −20.00

Tramore 18 3 16.7% +35.00

Cork 16 1 6.3% −10.00

Naas 15 0 0% −15.00

Kilbeggan 10 1 10% −5.50

Tipperary 9 0 0% −9.00

Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00

Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 33 2 6.1% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00

2nd–3rd fav 49 7 14.3% 1.15 −4.75

4th–6th fav 76 9 11.8% 1.72 +22.00

7th+ in betting 190 4 2.1% 0.68 −107.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.4% completed · 278 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 104 69.2% 8 1 22 1 0

Hurdle 174 90.2% 5 3 8 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Would You Do That (IRE) 29 2 9 11 Dec 11

Carrig Millie (IRE) 23 3 11 9 Mar 14

Bella Mana Mou (IRE)then C A Murphy 23 4 6 7 May 11

Belle Brook (IRE) 21 2 8 2 Apr 13

Flight Control (IRE)then Peter Croke 21 1 3 27 Oct 12

Annual Report (IRE) 20 1 5 24 Apr 11

Major Decision (IRE)then David Rees 20 1 5 6 Jan 11

Offside Rule (IRE) 17 1 4 13 Jun 14

Danny's Vic (IRE) 17 1 6 27 Feb 10

Killegney (GB)then Colin Bowe 12 0 3 23 Jul 11

Special Deal (IRE) 12 0 3 18 Apr 10

War Of The Pennys (IRE)from John O Clifford · then L Byrne 11 1 5 28 Dec 14

All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 37 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Colin Bowe (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

961338071411230

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Flanagan

15% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 1.61

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Flanagan 49 3 6.1% −6.00

Mr M N Doran 42 2 4.8% −28.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£505k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

American Jennie (IRE) — Barrack Homes Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase (0-145) Punchestown · Apr 2007 · Grade B

£45,570

American Jennie (IRE) — Bank Of Ireland EBF Mares Novice Chase Limerick · Mar 2006 · Grade 3

£32,550

Bella Mana Mou (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Novice Handicap Chase Final (grade C) Navan · Mar 2009 · Grade C

£32,550

Notable horses

Bella Mana Mou (IRE) American Jennie (IRE) Carrig Millie (IRE) Clover Pearl (IRE) Would You Do That (IRE) Belle Brook (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Glacial Storm (USA) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 7.3% of 959 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 10.6% from 151.

Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Milan (GB) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Snurge (IRE) 17.4% · 4–23

Progeny have won 8.8% of 1,506 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 176. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.8% from 520.

Alderbrook (GB) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).

Lahib (USA) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,699 runs since 2008 (176 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 427 · newest first

The latest 50 of 427 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 28 December 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Dec 14 Leopardstown War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier)24f · Soft · 21 ran F 20/1

29 Nov 14 Fairyhouse War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Mr E P Keating Irish Racing Yearbook Rated Novice Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 4th 16/1

16 Nov 14 Punchestown War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Mr E P Keating Flynn & Lynch Life And Pensions Supporting Longford Gaa Handicap Hurdle (80-116)22f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 20/1

27 Oct 14 Wexford War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 9/2

02 Oct 14 Clonmel War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Davy Russell www.clonmelraces.ie Novice Hurdle20f · Good · 4 ran 4th 15/8

05 Sep 14 Kilbeggan War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 8/1

15 Aug 14 Tramore War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton Waterford & Tramore Racecourse Directors Rated Novice Hurdle16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/1

22 Jul 14 Ballinrobe War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Mr E P Keating Monroes Live Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 20/1

11 Jul 14 Cork War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Mr E P Keating Dermot Casey Tree Care Hurdle20f · Good · 7 ran 6th 16/1

23 Jun 14 Kilbeggan War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Mr E P Keating T & V Novice Hurdle24f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/1

13 Jun 14 Clonmel Offside Rule (IRE)J: A E Lynch Clonmel Show Sunday 6th July Handicap Chase (0-102)19f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 5th 9/2F

30 May 14 Tramore Offside Rule (IRE)J: A E Lynch Book Online At Tramore-racecourse.com Handicap Chase (0-95)22f · Good · 16 ran 1st 10/1

30 May 14 Tramore War Of The Pennys (IRE)J: Mr E P Keating Tramore Racecourse Supporters Club Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 14 ran 1st 33/1

25 Apr 14 Kilbeggan Simple Sums (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Follow Kilbeggan On Facebook Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 50/1

14 Apr 14 Tramore Offside Rule (IRE)J: A E Lynch Live The Dream With Tote Handicap Chase (0-95)22f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 4th 20/1

09 Mar 14 Naas Carrig Millie (IRE)J: Mark Enright Woodlands Park 100 Club Leinster National Handicap Chase (grade B)24f · Soft · 14 ran PU 25/1

08 Mar 14 Gowran Park Simple Sums (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Michael Fennelly & Holden Plant Rentals Ltd. Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 100/1

21 Feb 14 Thurles Offside Rule (IRE)J: Davy Condon Rock Of Cashel Handicap Chase (0-102)22f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 25/1

21 Feb 14 Thurles Simple Sums (IRE)J: M P Fogarty Thurles.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 17 ran 10th 50/1

02 Feb 14 Punchestown Carrig Millie (IRE)J: A E Lynch Claim Your One Month Free Trial At Racinguk.com Grand National Trial Handicap Chase (grade C)28f · Heavy · 18 ran 15th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Cullen's strike rate?: Michael Cullen has won 20 of 324 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Cullen do best at?: Thurles by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Michael Cullen's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 324 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.