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Trainer profile

Liz Doyle

552 runners in the last 5 seasons · 71 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 94% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
35–552
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=552
133 (24%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=552 · 0.65 incl. margin
−219.22
£1 level stake
n=552 at SP · −39.7%
£643k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). In Group and Graded company the record reads 12% (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 552 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 7.6% Richard Deegan: 8.4% from 83 Claiming riders: 7.5% Group/Graded: 11.8%
The read

The record is strongest at Punchestown (11.7%, n=60), clear of the yard's 6.3% baseline. It is weakest at Wexford (0% over 41 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 11.8% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.31). Richard Deegan rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.4% vs 6.3%, A/E 1.56) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in NH Flat races (13.7%, n=51) and in Class 1 (11.1%, n=36). 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Pierse Hurdle at Leopardstown (Jan 2009, £66,000). The stable star of the record: Ballybawn Belter (IRE) — 6 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.6%+1.3
n=145 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −50.88
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
9.5%+3.2
n=42 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +13.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.3
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.3
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
When favourite
13.8%
n=29 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −17.47
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.5%+1.2
n=226 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −74.63
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.8%+5.5
n=34 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In NH Flat races 13.7% vs 6.3% · n=51
At Wexford 0% vs 6.3% · n=41
At Punchestown 11.7% vs 6.3% · n=60
In Group / Graded races 11.8% vs 6.3% · n=34
In Class 1 11.1% vs 6.3% · n=36
At Fairyhouse 2.3% vs 6.3% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 308 17 5.5% −139.34
Chase 159 10 6.3% −70.50
NH Flat 51 7 13.7% +19.62
Flat 34 1 2.9% −29.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 232 16 6.9% −35.88
Good 115 7 6.1% −49.00
Heavy 99 7 7.1% −51.50
Good to Soft 97 5 5.2% −73.84
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 60 7 11.7% +32.91
Tramore 49 4 8.2% −12.88
Fairyhouse 44 1 2.3% −32.00
Wexford 41 0 0% −41.00
Clonmel 37 1 2.7% −28.50
Cork 31 1 3.2% −25.00
Limerick 30 2 6.7% −18.50
Gowran Park 27 3 11.1% +1.50
Kilbeggan 25 1 4% −21.25
Leopardstown 25 2 8% −0.50
Thurles 21 2 9.5% +20.00
Navan 20 1 5% −16.00
Naas 19 1 5.3% −15.00
Down Royal 17 0 0% −17.00
Ballinrobe 16 3 18.8% +1.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 36 4 11.1% +1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 38 6 15.8% 0.68 −16.97
2nd–3rd fav 91 12 13.2% 0.85 −23.75
4th–6th fav 167 9 5.4% 0.70 −75.50
7th+ in betting 256 8 3.1% 1.07 −103.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.8% completed · 467 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 159 74.2% 12 9 18 1 1
Hurdle 308 85.7% 9 0 31 2 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ballybawn Belter (IRE) 30 6 13 5 Oct 26
Flash De Touzaine (FR) 24 3 7 25 May 26
Old Soul (FR) 23 2 6 4 Nov 25
First Dare (IRE) 23 3 7 8 Aug 25
Cappucino (IRE) 21 2 7 12 Jul 26
Applejack Poet (IRE)from Matthew J Smith · then Barry John Murphy 21 1 3 2 Oct 25
Fox Le Bel (FR) 19 0 10 17 Jan 26
Cayd Boy (FR) 18 0 2 9 Nov 25
Scalor (FR) 18 1 6 18 Oct 23
Salmanino (FR) 16 2 5 14 Dec 25
Tom Mcgreevy (IRE) 16 2 6 23 Jul 24
Bois De Clamart (FR) 14 2 5 24 Feb 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 71 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Matthew J Smith (2) and W P Mullins (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
46783023191565
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRichard Deegan
15% of all rides
8.4% SR · A/E 1.56
RiderRWSR£1
Richard Deegan 83 7 8.4% −19.00
Sean Flanagan 76 4 5.3% −39.09
Sean O'Keeffe 46 2 4.3% +3.00
Tom Harney 41 3 7.3% −11.50
Simon Torrens 30 2 6.7% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
199
Archived wins
13
Pattern / graded wins
£2.80m
Prize money
2014
Best season · 27 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Penny's Bill (IRE) — Pierse Hurdle (Extended Handicap (0-145) Leopardstown · Jan 2009 · Grade B
£66,000
Ballybawn Belter (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle (grade B) Leopardstown · Feb 2023 · Grade B
£59,000
Last Goodbye (IRE) — Chanelle Pharma Handicap Chase (Grade A) Leopardstown · Feb 2018 · Grade A
£59,000
Notable horses
Ballybawn Belter (IRE) Last Goodbye (IRE) Penny's Bill (IRE) Bois De Clamart (FR) Flash De Touzaine (FR) Burlesque Queen (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kapgarde (FR) 12.5% · 5–40
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,607 runs since 2008 (723 horses).
Westerner (GB) 7.7% · 3–39
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Valirann (FR) 15.8% · 6–38
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,437 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 341.
No Risk At All (FR) 2.8% · 1–36
Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,107 runs since 2008 (430 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 941.
Urban Poet (USA) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 4.8% of 517 runs since 2008 (38 horses).
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,726 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,726 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 14 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Manu Reva (FR)J: Mr B T Stone Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 28/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Cinnabar Moth (IRE)J: Philip Donovan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 8th 18/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Long Goodbye (FR)J: Miss Georgie Benson Copper Coast (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 85/40F
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Gypsy Poet (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran PU 100/30F
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Ballybawn Belter (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Spin Southwest Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 4/1
03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Leni's Law (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 4th 125/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Madison Twist (FR)J: Mr B Doyle Murphy GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 7th 100/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Ballybawn Belter (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Eric Browne Memorial Maiden12f · Yielding · 11 ran 6th 17/2
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Mister Moon (IRE)J: Mr B Doyle Murphy BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 13th 66/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Cinnabar Moth (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div I)19f · Good · 15 ran 10th 28/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Elusive Moon (IRE)J: Mr B Doyle Murphy Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 6th 33/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Gypsy Poet (IRE)J: Simon Torrens WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 4th 14/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ballybawn Belter (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Racing Again September 19th Maiden14f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 28/1
28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Gypsy Poet (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Tayto Group Limited Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 15 ran 7th 8/1
16 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Marv Michael (IRE)J: Harry Sexton McCarthy's Irish Bar Lexington Handicap Steeplechase22f · Good · 10 ran 8th 12/1
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Ryan's Son (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Comeragh Veterinary Kilmackthomas Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 10 ran 7th 7/1
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Cinnabar Moth (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 16/1
31 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Ballybawn Belter (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Good · 20 ran PU 14/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Cinnabar Moth (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Park Run At Wexford Saturday Mornings Handicap Hurdle (Div I)16.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 20/1
12 Jul 26 Sligo Cappucino (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Foley's Bar & Off Licence Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Liz Doyle's strike rate?
Liz Doyle has won 35 of 552 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Liz Doyle do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 7 wins from 60 runners (11.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Liz Doyle?
Richard Deegan, with 83 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8.4%).
Is Liz Doyle in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Liz Doyle's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 552 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).