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Trainer profile

Moses McCabe

43 runners in the last 5 seasons · 12 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 18 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–43
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=43
5 (12%)
Placed
2.26
Fair A/E
n=43 · 1.77 incl. margin
+36.00
£1 level stake
n=43 at SP · +83.7%
£23,500
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.7%−0.3
n=15 · A/E 3.72 · £1 +36.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−7.0
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 30 2 6.7% +32.00
Chase 11 1 9.1% +6.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 15 1 6.7% +2.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Soft 11 2 18.2% +51.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wexford 9 0 0% −9.00
Limerick 8 2 25% +20.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Punchestown 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 3 1 33.3% +48.00
Tramore 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Tipperary 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 4 1 25% 3.72 +7.00
7th+ in betting 37 2 5.4% 2.29 +31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
65.9% completed · 41 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 11 54.5% 0 1 4 0 0
Hurdle 30 70% 0 0 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Derridae (IRE) 12 2 4 25 Jan 24
The Friday Man (GB)from Gordon Elliott 6 0 0 2 Oct 26
Warrior Lion (GB)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien · then Anthony McCann 6 0 0 8 Jun 24
Brog Ahaon (IRE) 5 1 1 21 Nov 24
Jonny Carrol (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 4 0 0 2 Oct 26
Lieutenant Highway (IRE)from Gordon Elliott · then Gordon Elliott 2 0 0 12 Jul 24
Drop The Harrow (IRE)from Anthony McCann 2 0 0 19 Apr 24
Brog Ban Espana (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 2 0 0 2 Nov 23
Quarry Road (IRE) 1 0 0 2 Oct 26
Forever Wild (IRE) 1 0 0 26 Jul 24
Getaway Dancer (IRE) 1 0 0 15 Jun 22
Secret Bella (IRE) 1 0 0 19 Feb 22
All 12 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 12 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (4); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0330017000·0033
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jordan Gainford 10 2 20% +52.00
James O'Sullivan 5 0 0% −5.00
Miss Ella Herbison 5 0 0% −5.00
Donagh Meyler 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean O'Keeffe 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean Flanagan 3 0 0% −3.00
Simon Torrens 3 1 33.3% +14.00
Gavin Brouder 2 0 0% −2.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 2 0 0% −2.00
Kevin Sexton 1 0 0% −1.00
Jack Foley 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr T Power Roche 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
19
Archived wins
£251k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Arkmore Radar (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109) Clonmel · Mar 2008
£10,020
The Kings Baby (IRE) — Ballagh Mares Handicap Hurdle Thurles · Nov 2017
£9,856
Waly's Own (IRE) — Goresbridge Handicap Hurdle (81-116) Gowran Park · Mar 2008
£8,638
Notable horses
Arkmore Radar (IRE) Waly's Own (IRE) Brog Ahaon (IRE) Derridae (IRE) The Kings Baby (IRE) Asitsohappens (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,739 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Roaring Lion (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.5% of 1,026 runs since 2008 (83 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.5% from 117.
Stowaway (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Harzand (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,090 runs since 2008 (139 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17% from 100. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.1% from 126. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.6% from 241. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,787 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 502 · newest first

The latest 50 of 502 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 2 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) The Friday Man (GB)J: Miss Ella Herbison Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 9th 125/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Jonny Carrol (IRE)J: Miss Ella Herbison Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 13 ran 10th 10/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Quarry Road (IRE)J: Miss Ella Herbison Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 125/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Jonny Carrol (IRE)J: Miss Ella Herbison Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 14 ran 4th 25/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Jonny Carrol (IRE)J: Miss Ella Herbison Wexford Racecourse Ladies Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 8th 50/1
27 May 26 Wexford Jonny Carrol (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Discover Wexford Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 7th 50/1
21 Nov 24 Thurles Brog Ahaon (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap Chase16.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 40/1
07 Aug 24 Wexford The Friday Man (GB)J: Aidan Kelly Wexford Fleadh Cheoil Opportunity Handicap Chase19.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 16/1
26 Jul 24 Kilbeggan Forever Wild (IRE)J: James O'Sullivan Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 66/1
24 Jul 24 Wexford The Friday Man (GB)J: Donagh Meyler Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Chase25.5f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 12/1
13 Jul 24 Wexford The Friday Man (GB)J: Donagh Meyler Visit Wexford.ie Beginners Chase19.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 33/1
12 Jul 24 Kilbeggan Lieutenant Highway (IRE)J: James O'Sullivan Writech Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 66/1
09 Jun 24 Punchestown The Friday Man (GB)J: Kevin Sexton Punchestown Handicap Chase20f · Good · 13 ran PU 28/1
08 Jun 24 Punchestown Warrior Lion (GB)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Ladbrokes Play '1-2-Free' On Football Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)19.5f · Good · 17 ran 12th 28/1
29 May 24 Wexford Warrior Lion (GB)J: James O'Sullivan Fleadh Cheoil Wexford August 4th - 11th Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)17f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 7th 28/1
29 May 24 Wexford Lieutenant Highway (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Wexford Racecourse Rated Hurdle17f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 50/1
23 May 24 Limerick The Friday Man (GB)J: Donagh Meyler PAQIT Beginners Chase19.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 12/1
19 Apr 24 Limerick Drop The Harrow (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Panoramic Restaurant At Limerick Racecourse Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran PU 125/1
19 Apr 24 Limerick Warrior Lion (GB)J: Sean O'Keeffe OCS Recruitment Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 11th 150/1
04 Apr 24 Naas Drop The Harrow (IRE)J: James O'Sullivan Owners Insurance Included In AIRO Membership Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran PU 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Moses McCabe's strike rate?
Moses McCabe has won 3 of 43 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Moses McCabe's Fair A/E?
2.26, from 43 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).