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Jockey profile

Mr Jason Kiely

95 rides in the lifetime window · 61 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2015 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–95
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=95
17 (18%)
Placed
0.54
Fair A/E
n=95 · 0.47 incl. margin
−45.64
£1 level stake
n=95 at SP · −48.0%
£26,117
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Tim Vaughan: 6.6% from 76

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.9%−0.4
n=61 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −35.52
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.3%+9.0
n=7 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −4.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.6%−1.7
n=28 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −26.27
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −0.52
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.3%+0.0
n=95 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −45.64
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−5.3
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 9.8% vs 5.3% · n=41
In Class 4 9.4% vs 5.3% · n=32
Off a 15-30-day break 9.4% vs 5.3% · n=32
With Tim Vaughan 6.6% vs 5.3% · n=76 · A/E 0.59
In Hurdle races 5.7% vs 5.3% · n=70 · A/E 0.55
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 70 4 5.7% −41.64
Chase 17 1 5.9% +4.00
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 29 2 6.9% −23.37
Soft 23 1 4.3% −21.27
Good to Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Heavy 14 1 7.1% +7.00
Good to Firm 13 1 7.7% +8.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ffos Las 16 0 0% −16.00
Fontwell 7 0 0% −7.00
Uttoxeter 7 0 0% −7.00
Chepstow 6 0 0% −6.00
Market Rasen 5 0 0% −5.00
Worcester 5 0 0% −5.00
Newton Abbot 5 1 20% −2.12
Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00
Taunton 4 0 0% −4.00
Wincanton 3 1 33.3% +18.00
Towcester 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell 3 0 0% −3.00
Sedgefield 3 0 0% −3.00
Exeter 2 1 50% +0.75
Perth 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 46 2 4.3% −4.00
Class 4 32 3 9.4% −24.64
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 1.05 −0.52
2nd–3rd fav 18 1 5.6% 0.34 −15.12
4th–6th fav 34 1 2.9% 0.34 −13.00
7th+ in betting 38 1 2.6% 0.74 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.5% completed · 87 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 17 82.4% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 70 80% 2 1 11 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hawkhill (IRE) 5 1 2 15 Mar 14
Landenstown Star (IRE) 5 0 1 18 Feb 14
Pour Changer (FR) 5 0 0 1 Oct 13
Got The Urge (IRE) 5 1 1 4 Jul 12
Duneen Point (IRE) 4 0 1 26 May 13
Dark Oasis (GB) 3 0 0 18 Jun 14
Be Kind (GB) 2 0 0 21 May 14
Bob Will (IRE) 2 0 0 10 Dec 13
Flexi Time (IRE) 2 0 0 25 Nov 13
Petrocelli (GB) 2 0 0 21 Oct 13
Fairwood Massini (IRE) 2 0 1 22 Sep 13
Third Half (GB) 2 0 0 17 Aug 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 61 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
020901300020000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardTim Vaughan
80% of all rides
6.6% SR · A/E 0.59
TrainerRWSR£1
Tim Vaughan 76 5 6.6% −26.64
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
5
Archived wins
£26,117
Prize money
2013
Best season · 3 wins
Hidden Identity (IRE) — European Breeders' Fund Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Carlisle · Feb 2013 · Class 4
£4,327
Chilbury Hill (IRE) — Racing Excellence Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Mar 2013 · Class 4
£3,249
Hawkhill (IRE) — Bet totepool Text Tote To 89660 Novices' Hurdle Newton Abbot · Sep 2012 · Class 4
£3,080
Notable horses
Hawkhill (IRE) Got The Urge (IRE) Bells Of Berlin (GB) Chilbury Hill (IRE) Hidden Identity (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bob's Return (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Daliapour (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.4% of 617 runs since 2008 (64 horses).
Hawk Wing (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).
Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Snurge (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.8% of 1,506 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 176. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.8% from 520.
Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 95 · newest first

The latest 50 of 95 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 December 2008 to 24 April 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Apr 15 Chepstow Sweet Like You (GB)T: P Ponting Dunraven Bowl Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 4/1
07 Jan 15 Taunton Devon Mead (GB)T: Andrew Quick Geoffrey Bosley 'tally Ho' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23f · Soft · 16 ran PU 100/1
08 Jul 14 Uttoxeter Bennachie (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan All New 32RedSport.com Conditional Jockeys' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran F 33/1
18 Jun 14 Southwell Dark Oasis (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Southwell-racecourse.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 14/1
24 May 14 Ffos Las Dark Oasis (GB)T: Tim Vaughan 32Red Casino Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 10/1
21 May 14 Newton Abbot Be Kind (GB)T: Tim Vaughan newtonabbotracing.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 10/1
18 May 14 Stratford Hot Whiskey (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Mark Woodward 40th Birthday Celebration Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 6th 7/4F
01 May 14 Ffos Las Dark Oasis (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Fosters Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 9/2
01 May 14 Ffos Las Tulla Emerald (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan Iwec Electrical Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 7/1
10 Apr 14 Taunton Nash Point (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan totejackpot Go For The Big One Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 15 ran 7th 12/1
06 Apr 14 Ffos Las King Of Dubai (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Totepool Supports The Ijf 50th Anniversary Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 22f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 12/1
15 Mar 14 Fontwell Converti (GB)T: Carroll Gray 32Red Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 20/1
15 Mar 14 Fontwell Hawkhill (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan 32Red Tomb Raider II Slot Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 10/1
04 Mar 14 Exeter Royal Opera (GB)T: Stephen Hughes Call Star Sports On 08000 521 321 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 28/1
24 Feb 14 Plumpton Be Kind (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Compare Prices At Attheraces.com/odds Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 20/1
18 Feb 14 Taunton Landenstown Star (IRE)T: Mark Gillard Aspen Waite R & D Specialists Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 6/1
26 Dec 13 Fontwell El Toreros (USA)T: Tim Vaughan 32RedPoker.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 4/1
26 Dec 13 Fontwell Explained (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan 32Red Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 8/1
26 Dec 13 Fontwell Kalimantan (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan 32Red.com Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 25/1
10 Dec 13 Uttoxeter Bob Will (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan 32red.com Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Jason Kiely's strike rate?
Mr Jason Kiely has won 5 of 95 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr Jason Kiely ride most for?
Tim Vaughan, with 76 rides since 2008 — 80% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.6%).
What is Mr Jason Kiely's Fair A/E?
0.54, from 95 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).