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Trainer profile

Carroll Gray

143 runners in the last 5 seasons · 19 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 11 days ago 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–143
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=143
22 (15%)
Placed
0.62
Fair A/E
n=142 · 0.53 incl. margin
−119.00
£1 level stake
n=143 at SP · −83.2%
£60,023
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.62).

Deterministic profile computed from 143 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.6%+0.8
n=28 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −24.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.8
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.8
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.3%+0.5
n=61 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −46.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With horses switching code 6.5% vs 2.8% · n=31
With Micheal Nolan 6.1% vs 2.8% · n=33
At Taunton 0% vs 2.8% · n=33
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 2.8% · n=33
In Class 4 0% vs 2.8% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 105 2 1.9% −96.00
Chase 21 0 0% −21.00
Flat 12 2 16.7% +3.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 61 1 1.6% −57.50
Good to Soft 33 0 0% −33.00
Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Heavy 12 1 8.3% −6.50
Standard (AW) 10 2 20% +5.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Taunton 33 0 0% −33.00
Exeter 22 1 4.5% −16.50
Wincanton 21 1 4.8% −17.50
Newton Abbot 16 0 0% −16.00
Chepstow 10 0 0% −10.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 9 2 22.2% +6.00
Worcester 9 0 0% −9.00
Stratford 6 0 0% −6.00
Fontwell 5 0 0% −5.00
Ffos Las 3 0 0% −3.00
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 95 2 2.1% −86.00
Class 4 32 0 0% −32.00
Class 6 12 2 16.7% +3.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.86 −1.50
2nd–3rd fav 9 2 22.2% 1.92 +2.50
4th–6th fav 36 1 2.8% 0.42 −27.00
7th+ in betting 93 0 0% 0.00 −93.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81% completed · 126 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 21 71.4% 0 2 4 0 0
Hurdle 105 82.9% 1 2 15 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Freddie Fleetfoot (GB) 18 0 2 3 Oct 26
Bellamy's Grey (GB) 18 1 3 6 Mar 25
Sevenofus (IRE)from Neil Mulholland 17 0 5 20 Jul 25
Basman Palace (SAF) 15 1 2 13 May 25
Lady Ironside (IRE)from Kevin Philippart De Foy 12 0 1 30 Jan 25
Frame Rate (GB)from Iain Jardine 11 2 5 23 Apr 23
Vinnie's Icon (IRE) 9 0 1 21 Jul 22
Gingerbred (GB)from Philip Hobbs & Johnson White · then Joe Tizzard 7 0 3 26 Mar 26
Forest Hills (IRE)from Rod Millman 6 0 0 8 Oct 26
All Night Parking (IRE) 6 0 0 1 Apr 26
Bowmans Dream (GB) 6 0 0 26 Feb 26
Hi Riko (FR)from Richard Hobson 6 0 0 6 May 25
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1106400000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMicheal Nolan
23% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 1.67
RiderRWSR£1
Micheal Nolan 33 2 6.1% −24.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
24
Archived wins
£211k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
All But Grey (GB) — Royal Bath & West Show Novices' Handicap Chase Wincanton · May 2015 · Class 4
£4,549
Basman Palace (SAF) — Wincanton Fireworks On Sale Now Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Mar 2025 · Class 5
£4,225
All But Grey (GB) — Bathwick Tyres Taunton Novices' Hurdle Taunton · Jan 2014 · Class 4
£4,224
Notable horses
Le Forezien (FR) Mon Chevalier (IRE) Nomad (FR) Volio Vincente (FR) All But Grey (GB) Frame Rate (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,489 runs since 2008 (454 horses).
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Silvano (GER) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.4% of 378 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Lawman (FR) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,418 runs since 2008 (730 horses).
Arcano (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,646 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 146.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 786 · newest first

The latest 50 of 786 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 9 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Oct 26 Chepstow Sharu (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 50/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Forest Hills (IRE)J: Oliver Carmichael Your Elite Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 17f · Good · 12 ran UR 50/1
03 Oct 26 Fontwell Freddie Fleetfoot (GB)J: Jack Stenhouse Attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 9 ran 7th 40/1
22 Apr 26 Taunton Forest Hills (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Dorset & Somerset Air Ambulance Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 10 ran 5th 50/1
12 Apr 26 Wincanton Forest Hills (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Visit Bridles Care Home Wincanton Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15f · Good · 8 ran 6th 40/1
09 Apr 26 Taunton Jacks Brother (GB)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse St Michael's Church Orchard Portman Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 200/1
01 Apr 26 Wincanton All Night Parking (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Visit Bridles Care Home Wincanton Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 125/1
26 Mar 26 Chepstow Gingerbred (GB)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Stephens Industries EPDM Flat Roofing Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 30.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 17/2
06 Mar 26 Exeter Gingerbred (GB)J: James Davies Keystone Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 17/2
26 Feb 26 Taunton Bowmans Dream (GB)J: James Davies St Austell Brewery Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 250/1
26 Feb 26 Taunton All Night Parking (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan St Austell Brewery Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 125/1
20 Feb 26 Exeter Forest Hills (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight At CopyBet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 300/1
12 Feb 26 Taunton Gingerbred (GB)J: James Davies Paul Barber Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 22/1
12 Feb 26 Taunton All Night Parking (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Ross Stacey Still Cannot Cook Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 10 ran F 125/1
29 Jan 26 Wincanton Forest Hills (IRE)J: James Davies Visit Irish Bloodstock Sales With ITM Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Heavy · 17 ran 15th 250/1
18 Jan 26 Windsor Gingerbred (GB)J: James Davies Fitzdares Personal Betting Service Stayers Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 28.5f · Soft · 16 ran PU 33/1
15 Jan 26 Wincanton Freddie Fleetfoot (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Get The Best Odds With Oddschecker Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 12/1
08 Jan 26 Taunton Forest Hills (IRE)J: James Davies 17 January Saturday Meeting Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 7th 150/1
30 Dec 25 Taunton Gingerbred (GB)J: James Davies Boyle Sports Daily Money Back Meetings Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 5/1
11 Dec 25 Taunton Freddie Fleetfoot (GB)J: James Davies Boyle Sports Opening Soon In Taunton Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Carroll Gray's strike rate?
Carroll Gray has won 4 of 143 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Carroll Gray do best at?
Taunton by strike rate: 0 wins from 33 runners (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Carroll Gray in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Carroll Gray's Fair A/E?
0.62, from 142 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).