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Trainer profile

Stephen Hughes

103 runners in the lifetime window · 24 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2014 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–103
Wins / Runs
1.9%
Strike rate
n=103
8 (8%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=102 · 0.50 incl. margin
−61.00
£1 level stake
n=103 at SP · −59.2%
£10,862
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60).

Deterministic profile computed from 103 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.9
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.9
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.9
n=58 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −58.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 4.4% vs 1.9% · n=45
With claiming riders up 0% vs 1.9% · n=58 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 90 2 2.2% −48.00
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 45 2 4.4% −3.00
Good to Firm 30 0 0% −30.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 27 2 7.4% +15.00
Chepstow 15 0 0% −15.00
Newton Abbot 14 0 0% −14.00
Hereford 10 0 0% −10.00
Ffos Las 9 0 0% −9.00
Taunton 7 0 0% −7.00
Stratford 6 0 0% −6.00
Uttoxeter 6 0 0% −6.00
Exeter 4 0 0% −4.00
Plumpton 1 0 0% −1.00
Sandown 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Wincanton 1 0 0% −1.00
Ludlow 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 50 1 2% −16.00
Class 5 42 1 2.4% −34.00
Class 6 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 20 1 5% 0.86 −12.00
7th+ in betting 80 1 1.3% 0.57 −46.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80% completed · 95 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 5 60% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 90 81.1% 1 2 14 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gallant Hero (GB)from Philip Hobbs 19 1 3 31 Aug 11
Pour Changer (FR)from F Doumen 12 1 1 1 Oct 13
Taqaat (USA)from Tim McCarthy 8 0 0 19 Aug 14
Colorado Storm (GB) 8 0 0 24 Apr 09
Maraased (GB)from Steve Gollings 7 0 2 30 Jun 13
Ray's Round (GB) 7 0 0 8 Oct 09
Fortification (USA)from Keiran Burke 5 0 1 2 Jul 14
She's Little Don (GB)from V J Hughes 5 0 0 3 Nov 10
Tiger's Tileah (GB) 4 0 0 14 Oct 12
Den Maschine (GB)from John Flint · then Paul Rich 4 0 1 11 Dec 11
Flexi Time (IRE)from Alison Thorpe 3 0 0 25 Nov 13
Ship To Shore (IRE)from S Parkhouse 3 0 0 28 Jul 11
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Doumen (2) and V J Hughes (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000011000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Jason Kiely 9 0 0% −9.00
D P Fahy 6 0 0% −6.00
Leighton Aspell 6 1 16.7% +2.00
James Davies 6 0 0% −6.00
Bernie Wharfe 5 1 20% +29.00
Mr Matthew Barber 5 0 0% −5.00
Lee Stephens 5 0 0% −5.00
Micheal Nolan 5 0 0% −5.00
Tom Molloy 4 0 0% −4.00
Paul Moloney 3 0 0% −3.00
Gavin Sheehan 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr Byron Moorcroft 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
3
Archived wins
£14,791
Prize money
2013
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Gallant Hero (GB) — Neu Servo Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Worcester · Jun 2008 · Class 4
£3,903
Gallant Hero (GB) — Worthington Classic Novices' Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Sep 2007 · Class 4
£2,733
Pour Changer (FR) — Progressive Casino Jackpots At totepool.com Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Worcester · Jun 2013 · Class 5
£1,949
Notable horses
Gallant Hero (GB) Pour Changer (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rainbow Quest (USA) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 10% of 1,384 runs since 2008 (113 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.1% from 230.
Daliapour (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.4% of 617 runs since 2008 (64 horses).
Commanche Run (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.3% of 384 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.4% from 125. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4% from 101.
Forestry (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.8% of 353 runs since 2008 (31 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.5% from 171.
Weld (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.1% of 281 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Alhaarth (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 121 · newest first

The latest 50 of 121 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2006 to 19 August 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Aug 14 Worcester Taqaat (USA)J: Sean Bowen Mark Geobey's 50th Birthday 24th August Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 14/1
14 Jul 14 Newton Abbot Taqaat (USA)J: Paul Moloney Sis Bringing Betting To Life Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 16/1
02 Jul 14 Worcester Fortification (USA)J: Tom O'Brien Get Free Bets At BellBet.com Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 23f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 12/1
22 Jun 14 Worcester Taqaat (USA)J: Paul Moloney World Cup Enhancements At Totepool.com Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 9th 25/1
16 Jun 14 Newton Abbot Fortification (USA)J: Jamie Moore Independent Racecourses Limited, IRL Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 16/1
07 Jun 14 Worcester Fortification (USA)J: Jamie Moore Stock N Lock Self Storage Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 3rd 16/1
13 May 14 Ffos Las Fortification (USA)J: Paul Moloney 3asleisure.com Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 33/1
01 Apr 14 Newton Abbot Fortification (USA)J: Leighton Aspell Independent Racecourses Limited Irl Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 8/1
04 Mar 14 Exeter Royal Opera (GB)J: Mr Jason Kiely Call Star Sports On 08000 521 321 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 28/1
25 Nov 13 Ludlow Flexi Time (IRE)J: Mr Jason Kiely Collect Totepool Wins From Betfred Shops Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 33/1
01 Oct 13 Chepstow Pour Changer (FR)J: Mr Jason Kiely Castell Howell Foods Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran PU 16/1
01 Oct 13 Chepstow Flexi Time (IRE)J: Mr Jason Kiely Western Daily Press Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 14 ran 11th 100/1
24 Jul 13 Worcester Pour Changer (FR)J: Leighton Aspell Get Live Football Scores At footballscores.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 10th 25/1
17 Jul 13 Worcester Beyond Dreams (IRE)J: Mr Jason Kiely Get Live Sports Scores At scores.co.uk Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 11 ran PU 33/1
10 Jul 13 Worcester Beyond Dreams (IRE)J: D P Fahy Partex Laser Engraved Labels Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran UR 40/1
10 Jul 13 Worcester Persian Fox (IRE)J: Hadden Frost Partex Laser Engraved Labels Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 8th 66/1
10 Jul 13 Worcester Pour Changer (FR)J: Leighton Aspell Cotswold Scaffolding Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 16/1
10 Jul 13 Worcester Pelennor (FR)J: Leighton Aspell Give A Hound A Home RGT Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 13 ran PU 14/1
30 Jun 13 Uttoxeter Flexi Time (IRE)J: Micheal Nolan Casino At bet365 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 50/1
30 Jun 13 Uttoxeter Maraased (GB)J: Micheal Nolan bet365.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stephen Hughes's strike rate?
Stephen Hughes has won 2 of 103 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Stephen Hughes's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 102 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).