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Jockey profile

Mr John Willey

56 rides in the lifetime window · 37 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2015
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–56
Wins / Runs
1.8%
Strike rate
n=56
9 (16%)
Placed
0.41
Fair A/E
n=56 · 0.35 incl. margin
−49.50
£1 level stake
n=56 at SP · −88.4%
£5,697
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance First rides: 2.7%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.7%+0.9
n=37 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −30.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+48.2
n=2 · A/E 2.65 · £1 +4.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.1%+5.3
n=14 · A/E 2.26 · £1 −7.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
1.8%+0.0
n=55 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −48.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−1.8
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
When claiming 1.8% vs 1.8% · n=55 · A/E 0.43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 35 1 2.9% −28.50
Hurdle 15 0 0% −15.00
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 17 0 0% −17.00
Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 9 1 11.1% −2.50
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Doncaster 8 0 0% −8.00
Market Rasen 5 0 0% −5.00
York 5 0 0% −5.00
Aintree 3 0 0% −3.00
Pontefract 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Hamilton 2 0 0% −2.00
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Sedgefield 2 0 0% −2.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Cartmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Catterick 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 22 1 4.5% −15.50
Class 5 19 0 0% −19.00
Class 4 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 6 1 16.7% 0.99 +0.50
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 45 0 0% 0.00 −45.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Billy Teal (GB) 8 0 0 30 Jul 12
Teals Star (GB) 5 0 0 9 May 13
Newgatehopeful (GB) 3 0 0 22 Feb 11
Travis County (IRE) 2 0 0 31 May 14
Swords (GB) 2 0 0 6 Sep 12
Teals Token (GB) 2 0 0 24 Apr 12
Film Festival (USA) 2 0 0 4 Aug 10
Sea Land (FR) 2 0 1 22 May 10
Que Beauty (IRE) 2 0 1 27 Jan 09
Underwritten (GB) 1 0 0 29 Mar 15
Monzino (USA) 1 0 0 25 Mar 15
Mixed Message (IRE) 1 0 0 24 Oct 14
All 37 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000002000·0
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Brian Ellison 20 1 5% −13.50
C I Ratcliffe 9 0 0% −9.00
G P Kelly 7 0 0% −7.00
Alan Berry 3 0 0% −3.00
Richard Guest 3 0 0% −3.00
Ray Peacock 3 0 0% −3.00
Mark Campion 3 0 0% −3.00
Shaun Harris 3 0 0% −3.00
Michael Chapman 2 0 0% −2.00
John C McConnell 1 0 0% −1.00
Tracy Waggott 1 0 0% −1.00
Ollie Pears 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
1
Archived wins
£5,697
Prize money
2011
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bocciani (GER) — Cheviot Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 1) Carlisle · Aug 2011 · Class 6
£1,647
Notable horses
Bocciani (GER)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Keen (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 0.8% of 130 runs since 2008 (21 horses).
Gods Solution (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.5% of 21 runs since 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
Elmaamul (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.4% of 500 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
Diesis (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.3% of 995 runs since 2008 (76 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15.4% from 123. Weakest on Soft going: 4.3% from 188. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.9% from 160.
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,885 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 62 · newest first

The latest 50 of 62 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 February 2006 to 29 March 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Mar 15 Doncaster Underwritten (GB)T: Shaun Harris Safari Village Gentleman Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 14th 33/1
25 Mar 15 Southwell (AW) Monzino (USA)T: Michael Chapman 32Red Casino Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 66/1
24 Oct 14 Doncaster Mixed Message (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Betdaq No Premium Charge Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 17 ran 9th 16/1
02 Sep 14 Hamilton Rockview Emperor (IRE)T: John C McConnell Compensate Personal Injury Network Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 16/1
30 Jul 14 Redcar Thrust Control (IRE)T: Tracy Waggott Betfair Novice Flat Amateur Riders' Handicap (Novice Amateur Riders)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 7/1
06 Jul 14 Ayr Wicked Wilma (IRE)T: Alan Berry FSB Fuel Card Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 33/1
11 Jun 14 Hamilton Bix (IRE)T: Alan Berry hamilton-park.co.uk Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 28/1
31 May 14 York Travis County (IRE)T: Brian Ellison John Wright Electrical Gentleman Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 33/1
12 May 14 Musselburgh Mystified (IRE)T: Alan Berry William Hill Handicap (Amateur Riders)Class 6 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 10th 100/1
30 Mar 14 Doncaster Father Shine (IRE)T: Shaun Harris crownhotel-bawtry.com Gentleman Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 40/1
01 Mar 14 Doncaster Head Of The Class (IRE)T: Brian Ellison William Hill Download The App Standard NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs)Class 6 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 50/1
27 Jan 14 Wolverhampton (AW) True That (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Compare Bookmakers At bookmakers.co.uk Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 9/2
25 Oct 13 Doncaster Travis County (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Amateur Jockeys Association Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 18 ran 12th 16/1
25 May 13 York Pravda Street (GB)T: Brian Ellison John Wright Electrical Gentleman Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 4 · 10.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 14/1
20 May 13 Southwell (AW) Dontpaytheferryman (USA)T: Brian Ellison Follow Us On Twitter at BetVictorRacing Amateur Riders' Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 9/4
09 May 13 Southwell Teals Star (GB)T: C I Ratcliffe Talk To Victor Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 50/1
24 Apr 13 Sedgefield Teals Star (GB)T: C I Ratcliffe Amco Rail Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 100/1
22 Mar 13 Doncaster Royal Opera (GB)T: Brian Ellison crownhotel-bawtry.com Gentleman Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 16/1
29 Oct 12 Leicester Pelmanism (GB)T: Brian Ellison Hamish's Diamond Day Handicap (Gentlemen Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 17 ran 13th 14/1
28 Oct 12 Aintree Keen's Token (GB)T: G P Kelly matalan.co.uk Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17f · Soft · 14 ran 12th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr John Willey's strike rate?
Mr John Willey has won 1 of 56 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr John Willey's Fair A/E?
0.41, from 56 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).