Ollie Pears
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 170 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (135 runs).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (16.2%, n=74), clear of the yard's 8.9% baseline. It is weakest at Beverley (3.4% over 118 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 12.6% (n=135, Fair A/E 1.23), but debutants struggle at 4.1% (n=74, Fair A/E 1.25). Harry Russell rides 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.4%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in Class 3 (17.8%, n=45) and on Soft going (15.5%, n=71). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 3.8% over 80 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Noodles Blue Boy (GB) — 12 wins from 105 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,312 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,312 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 November 2007 to 20 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ollie Pears's strike rate?
- Ollie Pears has won 76 of 854 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ollie Pears do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 74 runners (16.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Ollie Pears?
- Harry Russell, with 226 runners since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8.4%).
- Is Ollie Pears in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Ollie Pears's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 845 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.