No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 1.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−1.3
n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−1.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−1.3
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
1.3%+0.0
n=78 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −72.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−1.3
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
When claiming1.3% vs 1.3% · n=78 · A/E 0.41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle4200%−42.00
Flat2713.7%−21.50
Chase1000%−10.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good2200%−22.00
Good to Firm1516.7%−9.50
Good to Soft1300%−13.00
Soft1100%−11.00
Standard (AW)1100%−11.00
Heavy800%−8.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton1600%−16.00
Fontwell1200%−12.00
Southwell (AW)500%−5.00
Towcester500%−5.00
Wolverhampton (AW)400%−4.00
Lingfield300%−3.00
Beverley300%−3.00
Taunton300%−3.00
Worcester300%−3.00
Newmarket200%−2.00
Lingfield (AW)200%−2.00
Leicester200%−2.00
Folkestone200%−2.00
Catterick200%−2.00
Wincanton200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 53900%−39.00
Class 62414.2%−18.50
Class 41500%−15.00
Class 3200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav4125%2.14+1.50
4th–6th fav1100%0.00−11.00
7th+ in betting6500%0.00−65.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f2000%−20.00
1m5f – 2m1900%−19.00
2m5f – 3m1200%−12.00
1m – 1m1f1000%−10.00
1m2f – 1m4f900%−9.00
Over 3m500%−5.00
6f – 7f4125%+1.50
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008500%−5.00
2009700%−7.00
2010300%−3.00
2011300%−3.00
2012800%−8.00
2013800%−8.00
2014700%−7.00
20151218.3%−6.50
20161700%−17.00
2017700%−7.00
2018300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps6211.6%−56.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners2913.4%−23.50
8-10 runners2600%−26.00
14-16 runners1200%−12.00
5-7 runners900%−9.00
17+ runners300%−3.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 34 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000250000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→
1
Archived wins
£7,415
Prize money
2015
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Jebel Tara (GB) — Betfair Novice Flat Amateur Riders' Handicap (Novice Amateur Riders) Carlisle · Aug 2015 · Class 6
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,027 runs since 2008 (136 horses).
Lahib (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,699 runs since 2008 (176 horses).
Diktat (GB)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.
Galileo (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,085 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 626.
Victory Note (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.8% of 635 runs since 2008 (77 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 119. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 135. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 86 · newest first
The latest 50 of 86 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 May 2007 to 9 May 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr Joshua Pearce's strike rate?
Mr Joshua Pearce has won 1 of 80 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Joshua Pearce's Fair A/E?
0.40, from 80 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr Joshua Pearce·SR 1.3%·A/E 0.40
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