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Jockey profile

Mr T Ellis

85 rides in the lifetime window · 36 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2015 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
10–85
Wins / Runs
11.8%
Strike rate
n=85
34 (40%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=85 · 0.69 incl. margin
−46.83
£1 level stake
n=85 at SP · −55.1%
£30,528
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.3%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 11.9%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.9%−8.9
n=34 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −29.67
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
30%+18.2
n=10 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −0.47
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.1%−2.7
n=33 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −19.42
When favourite
38.5%
n=13 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −4.29
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11.9%+0.1
n=84 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −45.83
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−11.8
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With F A Hutsby 21.1% vs 11.8% · n=38
On first rides for the horse 2.9% vs 11.8% · n=34
On Good going 16.7% vs 11.8% · n=36
In Class 6 16.1% vs 11.8% · n=56
Off a break of 180+ days 9.7% vs 11.8% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 82 10 12.2% −43.83
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 36 6 16.7% −10.14
Good to Soft 22 2 9.1% −19.07
Soft 16 2 12.5% −6.62
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Towcester 16 3 18.8% +0.48
Leicester 11 0 0% −11.00
Cheltenham 10 1 10% −3.50
Fakenham 5 3 60% +3.74
Southwell 4 1 25% −2.50
Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00
Warwick 4 1 25% −0.25
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Wetherby 3 1 33.3% −1.80
Huntingdon 3 0 0% −3.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00
Newbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Market Rasen 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00
Aintree 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 56 9 16.1% −24.33
Class 5 14 1 7.1% −7.50
Class 4 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 6 37.5% 0.90 −4.41
2nd–3rd fav 20 3 15% 0.81 −5.42
4th–6th fav 23 1 4.3% 0.61 −11.00
7th+ in betting 26 0 0% 0.00 −26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
71.4% completed · 84 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 82 72% 4 2 17 0 0
Hurdle 2 50% 0 0 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rash Move (IRE) 14 3 11 30 May 14
Penmore Mill (IRE) 11 5 9 29 Apr 15
Mister Teddy (GB) 6 0 2 13 Feb 15
Armoury House (GB) 5 1 1 4 Mar 10
Seigneur Des Bois (FR) 4 0 2 21 Mar 14
Highland Vasco (IRE) 4 0 3 18 May 08
Castle Banquet (IRE) 3 0 0 14 Mar 13
Point Proven (IRE) 3 0 1 9 Mar 12
Cash In Hand (IRE) 3 0 0 13 Mar 11
Scarlet Fantasy (GB) 3 0 0 1 May 08
Killimore Cottage (GB) 2 0 0 22 Jan 15
Oscar Royal (IRE) 2 0 1 7 May 10
All 36 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
002211170·····0
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardF A Hutsby
45% of all rides
21.1% SR · A/E 0.86
TrainerRWSR£1
F A Hutsby 38 8 21.1% −16.16
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
£34,019
Prize money
2013
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tooley Park (GB) — Thrusters Hunters' Chase Leicester · Mar 2007 · Class 5
£2,498
Rash Move (IRE) — Cheltenham Racecourse Conference And Events Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · May 2012 · Class 5
£2,184
Armoury House (GB) — Gg.com Open Hunters' Chase Towcester · Apr 2009 · Class 6
£1,874
Notable horses
Penmore Mill (IRE) Rash Move (IRE) Armoury House (GB) Tooley Park (GB) Enigma Variations (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rashar (USA) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 6.3% of 997 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.4% from 251. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.7% from 219.
Shernazar (GB) 45.5% · 5–11
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,462 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Tamure (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10% of 896 runs since 2008 (76 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.4% from 128. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 180.
Gunner B (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 7.2% of 264 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Presenting (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Ballingarry (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,432 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 94 · newest first

The latest 50 of 94 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 March 2005 to 29 April 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Apr 15 Cheltenham Credit Crunched (IRE)T: Miss L Thomas Hunt Staff Benefit Society Hunters' Chase (For The United Hunts Challenge Cup)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 25/1
29 Apr 15 Cheltenham Penmore Mill (IRE)T: F A Hutsby John Ellis Memorial Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 11/10F
12 Mar 15 Towcester Penmore Mill (IRE)T: F A Hutsby 32red Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 1st 7/4F
09 Mar 15 Stratford Burtolli Boy (GB)T: F A Hutsby Air Ambulance Volunteering Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The Credit Call Cup)Class 6 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran PU 40/1
13 Feb 15 Fakenham Mister Teddy (GB)T: F A Hutsby William Bulwer-long Memorial Novices' Fox Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 21f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 11/8J
22 Jan 15 Warwick Killimore Cottage (GB)T: F A Hutsby Willoughby De Broke Open Hunters' Chase (For The Willoughby De Broke Trophy)Class 6 · 24.5f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 4/1
07 Jan 15 Taunton Killimore Cottage (GB)T: F A Hutsby Geoffrey Bosley 'tally Ho' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23f · Soft · 16 ran PU 8/1
30 May 14 Stratford Rash Move (IRE)T: F A Hutsby Aga Dual Control National Open Horse Championship Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 17f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 2nd 15/2
30 Apr 14 Cheltenham Penmore Mill (IRE)T: F A Hutsby Hunt Staff Benefit Society Hunters' Chase (For The United Hunts Challenge Cup)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 9/2
10 Apr 14 Towcester Done A Runner (IRE)T: Alan Hill Visit The Forum On gg.com Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 5/2
21 Mar 14 Newbury Seigneur Des Bois (FR)T: D Buckett Bjp Insurance Brokers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 20/1
20 Mar 14 Ludlow Penmore Mill (IRE)T: F A Hutsby 2c's Antiques Fairs Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 8/11F
13 Mar 14 Towcester Penmore Mill (IRE)T: F A Hutsby 32Red Casino Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 8/11F
07 Mar 14 Leicester I'm So Lucky (GB)T: Mrs S E Busby Thrusters Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 15/8F
27 Feb 14 Taunton Seigneur Des Bois (FR)T: D Buckett CGA Foxhunter (Hunters' Chase) (For The Richard Williams Memorial Trophy)Class 6 · 23f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 3/1
25 Feb 14 Leicester Mister Teddy (GB)T: F A Hutsby CGA Foxhunter Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 10/1
13 Feb 14 Leicester Mister Teddy (GB)T: F A Hutsby CGA Foxhunter Trial Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The Dick Saunders Trophy)Class 6 · 20f · Soft · 10 ran F 9/2
02 Feb 14 Musselburgh Penmore Mill (IRE)T: F A Hutsby CGA Scottish Foxhunter Chase (Open Hunters' Chase)Class 3 · 26.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 13/2
30 Jan 14 Wincanton Seigneur Des Bois (FR)T: D Buckett CGA Foxhunter Trial Open Hunters' Chase (For The Stewart Tory Memorial Challenge Trophy)Class 6 · 25f · Heavy · 7 ran F 8/1
15 Jan 14 Newbury Seigneur Des Bois (FR)T: D Buckett Betfred 'racing's Biggest Supporter' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 22.5f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr T Ellis's strike rate?
Mr T Ellis has won 10 of 85 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr T Ellis's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 85 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).