Nicolas Even
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13). Rode mostly for Yannick Fouin — 58% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (5.7% over 88 rides) — the widest gap in the record. First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 11.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.29 and +36.50 to a £1 stake over 131 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Yannick Fouin supplied 58% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 0.89). The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (17.1%, n=41). The record read poorly in Chase races — 3.8% over 52 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 220 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 220 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 November 2006 to 18 October 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Nicolas Even's strike rate?
- Nicolas Even has won 23 of 217 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Nicolas Even do best at?
- Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 89 rides (11.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Nicolas Even ride most for?
- Yannick Fouin, with 125 rides since 2008 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (9.6%).
- What is Nicolas Even's Fair A/E?
- 1.13, from 193 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.