E Leenders
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Debutants are a strength: 16% on first career starts (146 runs).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (4.8% over 83 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 15.8% (n=146, Fair A/E 1.14), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 6.2% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.61). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −46.70 to a £1 stake over 194 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Wilfrid Denuault rode 27% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (7.7% vs 11.7%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (23.7%, n=59). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 1.9% over 53 runners, 9.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.48 across 89 runners (5.6% strike, −60.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Gold River at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Sep 2006, £100,000). The stable star of the record was Urticaire (FR) — 5 wins from 6 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Sep–Nov.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 689 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 689 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2005 to 29 January 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is E Leenders's strike rate?
- E Leenders has won 74 of 630 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does E Leenders do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 63 runners (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for E Leenders?
- Wilfrid Denuault, with 168 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (7.7%).
- What is E Leenders's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 456 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.