What is Steve Carson's strike rate?

Steve Carson has won 28 of 492 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Steve Carson do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 57 rides (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Steve Carson ride most for?

Eve Johnson Houghton, with 223 rides since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (5.4%).

What is Steve Carson's Fair A/E?

0.78, from 491 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Steve Carson

492 rides in the lifetime window · 186 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2010 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

28–492

Wins / Runs

5.7%

Strike rate

n=492

103 (21%)

Placed

0.78

Fair A/E

n=491 · 0.66 incl. margin

−206.25

£1 level stake

n=492 at SP · −41.9%

£226k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 160 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78). Rode mostly for Eve Johnson Houghton — 45% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 492 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Apr–May Fresh horses: 5.8% Eve Johnson Houghton: 5.4% from 223

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (12.3%, n=57), clear of the rider's 5.7% baseline. It is weakest at Windsor (0% over 55 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.7% (n=112, Fair A/E 0.55). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −36.00 to a £1 stake over 151 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Eve Johnson Houghton supplied 45% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 0.66). The rider also read well on Good to Soft going (10.6%, n=47) and off a 0-7-day break (10.5%, n=38). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfred Lester Piggott 'Start To Finish' Handicap at Haydock (Sep 2008, £19,428). The standout partner of the record was Phluke (GB) — 8 wins from 46 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.3%−2.4

n=151 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −36.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

6.5%+0.8

n=31 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −17.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.8%+0.1

n=69 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −35.00

When favourite

15.8%

n=19 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −7.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.7%−3.0

n=112 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −76.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.7

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Lingfield (AW) 12.3% vs 5.7% · n=57

At Windsor 0% vs 5.7% · n=55

On Good to Soft going 10.6% vs 5.7% · n=47

Off a 0-7-day break 10.5% vs 5.7% · n=38

At Kempton (AW) 1.7% vs 5.7% · n=58

In Class 6 8.8% vs 5.7% · n=114

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 174 9 5.2% −51.00

Standard (AW) 155 10 6.5% −75.25

Good 78 2 2.6% −55.00

Good to Soft 47 5 10.6% +2.00

Soft 20 1 5% −16.00

Firm 18 1 5.6% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 58 1 1.7% −48.00

Lingfield (AW) 57 7 12.3% +1.75

Windsor 55 0 0% −55.00

Newbury 32 1 3.1% −28.00

Brighton 27 2 7.4% +7.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 26 2 7.7% −15.00

Bath 23 2 8.7% +0.00

Goodwood 23 2 8.7% +2.50

Salisbury 22 0 0% −22.00

Lingfield 22 1 4.5% +12.00

Folkestone 21 0 0% −21.00

Sandown 17 2 11.8% −5.50

Leicester 15 0 0% −15.00

Warwick 13 2 15.4% −1.50

Yarmouth 13 3 23.1% +7.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 207 11 5.3% −78.50

Class 4 116 4 3.4% −77.50

Class 6 114 10 8.8% −16.25

Class 2 15 1 6.7% −6.00

Class 3 15 2 13.3% −3.00

Class 1 14 0 0% −14.00

Class 7 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 25 4 16% 0.74 −9.00

2nd–3rd fav 70 12 17.1% 1.13 +3.75

4th–6th fav 162 8 4.9% 0.66 −55.00

7th+ in betting 235 4 1.7% 0.53 −146.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mujood (GB) 18 2 6 24 Jun 09

Even Bolder (GB) 17 1 5 15 Oct 09

Phluke (GB) 13 1 3 15 Oct 09

Support Fund (IRE) 13 2 5 8 Jun 09

Hobson (GB) 12 1 3 2 Jul 09

Judd Street (GB) 11 1 2 27 Jun 09

Batchworth Blaise (GB) 10 0 3 18 Aug 09

El Libertador (USA) 8 0 1 24 Apr 10

Jewelled Reef (IRE) 8 0 1 13 Aug 09

Shy (GB) 8 0 5 25 Jul 09

Kiho (GB) 8 0 2 22 Jun 09

Bombardier Wells (GB) 8 1 1 17 Dec 08

The 60 most-raced of 186 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

80011101636596

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardEve Johnson Houghton

45% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.66

TrainerRWSR£1

Eve Johnson Houghton 223 12 5.4% −129.50

Peter Winkworth 84 5 6% −6.25

Eric Wheeler 45 1 2.2% −39.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£828k

Prize money

2007

Best season · 23 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Judd Street (GB) — Betfred Lester Piggott 'Start To Finish' Handicap Haydock · Sep 2008 · Class 2

£19,428

Dancing Mystery (GB) — Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2005 · Class 2

£17,400

Judd Street (GB) — G4S Rous Stakes (Listed) Newmarket · Oct 2007 · Listed

£15,331

Notable horses

Phluke (GB) Mujood (GB) Judd Street (GB) Support Fund (IRE) Robustian (GB) Dancing Mystery (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Compton Place (GB) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Mujahid (USA) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,375 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 333.

Bold Edge (GB) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 8.1% of 886 runs since 2008 (48 horses).

Intikhab (USA) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.

Most Welcome (GB) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 12.3% of 479 runs since 2008 (28 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 19.3% from 145. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.8% from 103.

Choisir (AUS) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,515 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,515 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 April 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Apr 10 Lingfield (AW) Hounds Ditch (GB)T: Eve Johnson Houghton 66 Free Bet At bluesquare.com Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 100/1

24 Apr 10 Leicester El Libertador (USA)T: Eric Wheeler More Live Football Betting At totesport.com HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 8/1

29 Mar 10 Lingfield (AW) El Libertador (USA)T: Eric Wheeler Bet On Your iPhone with Blue Square HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 9/1

19 Oct 09 Windsor El Libertador (USA)T: Eric Wheeler Steve Hagger Happy 70th Birthday Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 4th 10/1

17 Oct 09 Wolverhampton (AW) Dancing Again (GB)T: Eric Wheeler Bet In Play At ladbrokes.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 66/1

15 Oct 09 Brighton Even Bolder (GB)T: Eric Wheeler Comfort Controls 25 Years Saving You Energy HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 5/1

15 Oct 09 Brighton Phluke (GB)T: Eve Johnson Houghton Comfort Controls 25 Years Bms Engineering HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 6th 10/1

14 Oct 09 Kempton (AW) Mr Plod (GB)T: Andrew Reid Turftv HandicapClass 7 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 12/1

12 Oct 09 Windsor Foxtrot Alpha (IRE)T: Peter Winkworth At The Races Sky 415 Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 9/1

09 Oct 09 Lingfield (AW) Steelcut (GB)T: Andrew Reid Felcourt HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 8/1

09 Oct 09 Lingfield (AW) Mutamared (USA)T: Andrew Reid Sandhawes Hill HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 9th 20/1

09 Oct 09 Lingfield (AW) Draco Boy (GB)T: Andy Turnell Crowhurst Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 12th 100/1

05 Oct 09 Windsor Dancing Again (GB)T: Eric Wheeler St John Ambulance Berkshire Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 11th 100/1

03 Oct 09 Epsom Downs Ginobili (IRE)T: Andrew Reid Blue Square Games HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 20/1

30 Sep 09 Kempton (AW) Mr Plod (GB)T: Andrew Reid Groomed To Perfection, The Kia Soul Classified StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

30 Sep 09 Salisbury Steelcut (GB)T: Andrew Reid Bill Garnett Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 20/1

26 Sep 09 Kempton (AW) Mutamared (USA)T: Andrew Reid Day Time, Night Time, Great Time Claiming StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 6/4F

26 Sep 09 Kempton (AW) Father Figure (USA)T: Heather Dalton Panoramic Bar & Restaurant Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 25/1

24 Sep 09 Kempton (AW) Annambo (GB)T: Andrew Reid Kempton For Conferences HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 9/1

24 Sep 09 Kempton (AW) Phluke (GB)T: Eve Johnson Houghton Book Kempton Tickets On 0844 579 3008 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Steve Carson's strike rate?: Steve Carson has won 28 of 492 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Steve Carson do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 57 rides (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Steve Carson ride most for?: Eve Johnson Houghton, with 223 rides since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (5.4%).
What is Steve Carson's Fair A/E?: 0.78, from 491 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.