Eric Wheeler
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.59).
It is weakest at Windsor (0% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.63 and −71.50 to a £1 stake over 192 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Joey Haynes rode 21% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (1.1% vs 4.5%, A/E 0.23). The yard also read well off a 8-14-day break (8%, n=112) and off a 31-60-day break (8.3%, n=60). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 33 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.19 across 148 runners (1.4% strike, −110.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Even Bolder (GB) — 5 wins from 84 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 592 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 592 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 21 August 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Eric Wheeler's strike rate?
- Eric Wheeler has won 19 of 421 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Eric Wheeler do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 116 runners (6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Eric Wheeler?
- Joey Haynes, with 87 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.1%).
- What is Eric Wheeler's Fair A/E?
- 0.59, from 419 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.