Andrew Reid
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). New recruits from other yards win at 10% first time out (41 runs).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (14.1%, n=78), clear of the yard's 7.7% baseline. It is weakest at Windsor (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=69, Fair A/E 0.69). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −96.20 to a £1 stake over 207 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (22.5%, n=40). The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 1.9% over 52 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.38 across 62 runners (3.2% strike, −38.90 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Littlewoods Winter Derby at Lingfield (AW) (Mar 2005, £58,000). The stable star of the record was Athletic (GB) — 6 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Aug–Sep.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 676 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 676 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 26 November 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Andrew Reid's strike rate?
- Andrew Reid has won 34 of 441 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Andrew Reid do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 78 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Andrew Reid's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 438 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.