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Trainer profile

Brian McMath

111 runners in the lifetime window · 21 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2016 94% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
9–111
Wins / Runs
8.1%
Strike rate
n=111
34 (31%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=111 · 0.75 incl. margin
−47.25
£1 level stake
n=111 at SP · −42.6%
£42,284
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 111 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also read well on Standard (AW) going (12.1%, n=58) and off a 15-30-day break (11.4%, n=44). The record read poorly in Class 5 — 3.3% over 30 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−8.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
15.4%
n=13 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −7.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.4%−4.7
n=29 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 3.3% vs 8.1% · n=30
On Standard (AW) going 12.1% vs 8.1% · n=58
Off a 15-30-day break 11.4% vs 8.1% · n=44
With a new jockey booking 6% vs 8.1% · n=67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 104 8 7.7% −44.75
Hurdle 6 1 16.7% −1.50
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 58 7 12.1% −6.75
Good to Firm 19 1 5.3% −14.50
Good 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% +0.00
Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 23 1 4.3% −20.00
Lingfield (AW) 16 3 18.8% +1.50
Kempton (AW) 13 2 15.4% +15.00
Yarmouth 11 1 9.1% −3.00
Nottingham 6 0 0% −6.00
Folkestone 6 0 0% −6.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Doncaster 5 0 0% −5.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newmarket 3 0 0% −3.00
Chelmsford (AW) 3 1 33.3% −0.25
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Plumpton 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Windsor 2 0 0% −2.00
Newmarket 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 64 6 9.4% −24.50
Class 5 30 1 3.3% −25.50
Class 4 11 2 18.2% +8.75
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 3 17.6% 0.71 −6.75
2nd–3rd fav 16 2 12.5% 0.79 −6.50
4th–6th fav 33 3 9.1% 1.23 −6.00
7th+ in betting 45 1 2.2% 0.94 −28.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mr Skipiton (IRE)then Terry Clement 30 4 9 10 Oct 11
Giantstepsahead (IRE)from Denis Quinn · then Alan Bailey 9 2 4 26 Mar 16
Blue Eyed Eloise (GB)from Milton Bradley 9 3 6 12 Aug 10
Marrimeclaire (IRE) 8 0 3 13 Nov 10
Brouhaha (GB)from Diana Weeden · then Tom Dascombe 8 0 5 15 Aug 08
Princess Gee (GB) 7 0 1 7 Jun 09
Umpa Loompa (IRE)from David Nicholls 5 0 0 14 Aug 09
Harryana To (GB) 5 0 1 8 Sep 08
Icons Image (GB)then Alan Bailey 4 0 0 9 Aug 16
Cyber Space (GB) 4 0 0 1 Aug 09
Persona (IRE)from Jeremy Noseda 4 0 2 25 Feb 08
Bertie Bishop (GB) 3 0 0 6 Jun 16
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Milton Bradley (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Alan Bailey (2); 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2001715798000017
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Steve Carson 14 3 21.4% +2.00
Daniel Muscutt 12 1 8.3% +5.00
Tom McLaughlin 11 2 18.2% +8.00
Jack Mitchell 9 0 0% −9.00
Shane Kelly 6 0 0% −6.00
Ted Durcan 5 0 0% −5.00
Nicol Polli 5 0 0% −5.00
Jerry O'Dwyer 4 0 0% −4.00
James Davies 4 0 0% −4.00
Matthew Davies 3 0 0% −3.00
Darryll Holland 2 0 0% −2.00
Leighton Aspell 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
10
Archived wins
£53,578
Prize money
2009
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Invasian (IRE) — wbx.com World Bet Exchange Handicap Nottingham · Oct 2006 · Class 4
£6,477
Giantstepsahead (IRE) — Toteexacta Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jun 2015 · Class 4
£6,469
Giantstepsahead (IRE) — 32redsport.com Handicap Kempton (AW) · Jan 2016 · Class 4
£4,690
Notable horses
Mr Skipiton (IRE) Blue Eyed Eloise (GB) Giantstepsahead (IRE) Invasian (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Statue Of Liberty (USA) 13.3% · 4–30
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 119.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,765 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Overbury (IRE) 33.3% · 3–9
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Bahhare (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,314 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.9% from 202.
Spartacus (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 6.5% of 1,325 runs since 2008 (113 horses).
Reel Buddy (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 5.9% of 891 runs since 2008 (84 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 151 · newest first

The latest 50 of 151 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 May 2005 to 9 August 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Aug 16 Lingfield (AW) Icons Image (GB)J: Darryll Holland Mobile Betting At 188bet HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 25/1
06 Jun 16 Windsor Bertie Bishop (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Cash Out Available At Ladbrokes Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 7th 66/1
06 May 16 Nottingham Icons Image (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Racing Uk Profits Returned To Racing Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th 250/1
26 Apr 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Bertie Bishop (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Nfu Mutual Bridgnorth Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 100/1
13 Apr 16 Newmarket Icons Image (GB)J: Martin Dwyer Julian Wilson Memorial EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 150/1
01 Apr 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Bertie Bishop (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Name A Race By Calling 01902 390000 Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1
30 Mar 16 Kempton (AW) Icons Image (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt 32red On The App Store Maiden StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1
26 Mar 16 Kempton (AW) Giantstepsahead (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt ApolloBet Best Odds Guaranteed Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier)Class 2 · 11f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 9/1
20 Feb 16 Lingfield (AW) Giantstepsahead (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Coral HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 9/2
30 Jan 16 Lingfield (AW) Giantstepsahead (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Coral HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 11/8F
06 Jan 16 Kempton (AW) Giantstepsahead (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt 32redsport.com HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 16/1
20 Dec 15 Lingfield (AW) Giantstepsahead (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Coral HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 10/1
12 Dec 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Weronawinnersherry (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Ladbrokes Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 100/1
25 Nov 15 Lingfield (AW) Giantstepsahead (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Coral HandicapClass 2 · 10f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 8/1
07 Nov 15 Doncaster Giantstepsahead (IRE)J: Jimmy Quinn Betfred November HandicapClass 2 · 12f · Heavy · 22 ran 15th 25/1
03 Jun 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Giantstepsahead (IRE)J: Tom Queally Toteexacta HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 7/4F
15 May 15 Newmarket Giantstepsahead (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Edmondson Hall Solicitors & Sports Lawyers HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 5th 6/1
10 Oct 11 Yarmouth Mr Skipiton (IRE)J: Tom McLaughlin Merrivale Model Village HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 9/2
15 Sep 11 Yarmouth Mr Skipiton (IRE)J: Tom McLaughlin Play Mecca Bingo On Your Iphone HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 7/1
19 Aug 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Mr Skipiton (IRE)J: Saleem Golam Try Totequickpick On All Totepool Bets HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian McMath's strike rate?
Brian McMath has won 9 of 111 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Brian McMath's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 111 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).