Skip to content
Jockey profile

Steven Kelly

92 rides in the lifetime window · 42 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Feb 2018 92% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–92
Wins / Runs
2.2%
Strike rate
n=92
14 (15%)
Placed
0.37
Fair A/E
n=92 · 0.30 incl. margin
−84.75
£1 level stake
n=92 at SP · −92.1%
£29,756
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Noel C Kelly: 1.9% from 53

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.2
n=42 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −42.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.2
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.2%+0.0
n=91 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −83.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.9%+0.7
n=35 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −30.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse 0% vs 2.2% · n=42
In Hurdle races 3% vs 2.2% · n=66 · A/E 0.49
With Noel C Kelly 1.9% vs 2.2% · n=53 · A/E 0.31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 66 2 3% −58.75
Chase 11 0 0% −11.00
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 28 1 3.6% −23.50
Soft 26 0 0% −26.00
Heavy 25 1 4% −22.25
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 12 1 8.3% −7.50
Ayr 10 0 0% −10.00
Sligo 9 0 0% −9.00
Hexham 8 0 0% −8.00
Navan 7 0 0% −7.00
Down Royal 7 1 14.3% −4.25
Kelso 5 0 0% −5.00
Ballinrobe 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Carlisle 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Cartmel 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 4 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 2 22.2% 1.27 −1.75
4th–6th fav 36 0 0% 0.00 −36.00
7th+ in betting 46 0 0% 0.00 −46.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.6% completed · 77 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 11 63.6% 1 0 2 1 0
Hurdle 66 78.8% 4 1 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Milan Dancer (IRE) 8 0 3 16 Mar 17
Better Back Bracka (IRE) 8 0 2 30 Jan 17
Ashjan (GB) 6 1 2 22 Sep 17
Angus Milan (IRE) 5 1 2 13 Nov 16
Celtic Monarch (IRE) 4 0 0 13 Oct 17
Burnt Sienna (IRE) 4 0 1 18 Sep 16
June Carter (IRE) 3 0 0 28 Oct 17
Mighty Whitey (IRE) 3 0 1 4 Dec 16
Mia's Anthem (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Dec 16
Mash Potato (IRE) 3 0 0 20 Oct 16
Cairnshill (IRE) 2 0 0 24 Feb 18
Shumaker (IRE) 2 0 0 26 Dec 17
All 42 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01100033000000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardNoel C Kelly
58% of all rides
1.9% SR · A/E 0.31
TrainerRWSR£1
Noel C Kelly 53 1 1.9% −50.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
2
Archived wins
£29,756
Prize money
2017
Best season · 1 win
Angus Milan (IRE) — Silks at downroyal Novice Handicap Hurdle Down Royal · Feb 2016
£7,380
Ashjan (GB) — East Down Hunt Club Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Downpatrick · Jun 2017
£6,160
Notable horses
Ashjan (GB) Angus Milan (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Medicean (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).
Celtic Swing (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Craigsteel (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.
Papal Bull (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,584 runs since 2012 (131 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.5% from 172. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.3% from 122.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 92 · newest first

The latest 50 of 92 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 October 2014 to 24 February 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Feb 18 Fairyhouse Cairnshill (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Visit Attheraces.com/Cheltenham Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 25/1
07 Feb 18 Fairyhouse Cairnshill (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Your Clubs Fundraiser At Fairyhouse, Enquire Today Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 9th 25/1
26 Dec 17 Down Royal Maureen's Star (IRE)T: Liam Lennon Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 17 ran 13th 20/1
26 Dec 17 Down Royal Shumaker (IRE)T: Eoin Gerard Barry Silks Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran F 14/1
07 Dec 17 Clonmel El Mono Verde (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Clonmel Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran PU 100/1
11 Nov 17 Naas El Mono Verde (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Irish Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 13th 100/1
28 Oct 17 Kelso June Carter (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff McConnell O'Hara Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 16/1
13 Oct 17 Downpatrick Charlie's Charm (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Frank Fitzsimons Memorial Beginners Chase19f · Yielding · 15 ran 6th 50/1
13 Oct 17 Downpatrick Celtic Monarch (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Mb Mcgrady & Co, Accountants Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 20/1
22 Sep 17 Downpatrick Ashjan (GB)T: Mark Michael McNiff Get Ready For Autumn Rated Novice Hurdle17.5f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 7th 7/1
21 Sep 17 Ballinrobe Celtic Monarch (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Yupana Inc. California Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 6th 20/1
16 Sep 17 Listowel Brave Deed (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Tote Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Heavy · 18 ran 4th 11/1
04 Sep 17 Roscommon Brave Deed (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 9/1
02 Sep 17 Wexford Miss Blanche (GB)T: Mark Michael McNiff John Cullen Grain Ltd. Handicap Chase (0-102)25f · Good · 14 ran 10th 25/1
29 Aug 17 Ballinrobe June Carter (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Corrib Oil Handicap Hurdle (80-95)25f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 5th 20/1
29 Aug 17 Ballinrobe Ashjan (GB)T: Mark Michael McNiff David Heneghan Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran F 20/1
28 Aug 17 Downpatrick Adimelo (FR)T: Mark Michael McNiff Dr. E.F. Logan OBE Memorial & Giltspur Scientific Most Stylish Hat Competition Win A Trip To Athens Handicap Hurdle21.5f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 10/1
25 Aug 17 Kilbeggan Unchago (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Summer Party Pack Discount Group Booking Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 20/1
13 Aug 17 Downpatrick Freedom Square (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Ivy Bar Newtownards Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19f · Good · 11 ran 5th 5/1F
10 Aug 17 Sligo Mr Mulliner (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Bourbon Bar Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Good · 9 ran PU 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Steven Kelly's strike rate?
Steven Kelly has won 2 of 92 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Steven Kelly ride most for?
Noel C Kelly, with 53 rides since 2008 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.9%).
What is Steven Kelly's Fair A/E?
0.37, from 92 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).