Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rides around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (140 rides).
Deterministic profile computed from 1,565 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFires Mar–Apr34.5% when favouriteF Foucher: 13.2% from 114Rides the favourite in 7% of races
The read
F Foucher supplies 7% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.2% vs 9.1%, A/E 1.44) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 31 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix la Haye Jousselin at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2024, £226,957). Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.9%−1.2
n=828 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −227.39
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10.7%+1.6
n=140 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −53.87
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.9%−0.2
n=539 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −131.30
When favourite
34.5%
n=110 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +36.61
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11.1%+2.0
n=9 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −5.90
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.6%−1.5
n=472 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −78.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
8%−1.1
n=389 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −51.10
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With N Devilder20.5% vs 9.1% · n=39
With Mlle I Gallorini14.5% vs 9.1% · n=55
With Alain Couetil14.3% vs 9.1% · n=42
With F Foucher13.2% vs 9.1% · n=114
With Mlle A-S Pacault4.9% vs 9.1% · n=82
With horses switching code12% vs 9.1% · n=317
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle951778.1%−232.20
Chase6046310.4%−96.19
Flat10330%+0.50
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft876799%−104.60
Heavy644568.7%−229.29
Good to Soft24312.5%−12.30
Good19526.3%+20.30
Good to Firm100%−1.00
Standard (AW)100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)1,024888.6%−178.07
Compiegne246208.1%−98.40
Enghien (FR)9077.8%−58.20
Pau5235.8%−22.90
Dieppe20315%+5.10
Cagnes-Sur-Mer1600%−16.00
Strasbourg12325%+0.78
Fontainebleau1218.3%−3.80
Clairefontaine (FR)10110%+2.60
Angers10110%−1.00
Lyon Parilly9333.3%−2.30
Nantes900%−9.00
Craon7342.9%+30.90
Moulins6233.3%+1.80
Le Lion-D'Angers5120%+0.60
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1391317.9%−53.10
Class 215320%+13.00
Class 311327.3%+14.00
Class 49111.1%−6.62
Class 5200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite1143833.3%1.17+32.61
2nd–3rd fav2734215.4%0.99−35.50
4th–6th fav492387.7%1.02−102.50
7th+ in betting655213.2%0.97−222.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f1,1771058.9%−274.37
2m5f – 3m2813010.7%−35.32
1m5f – 2m7978.9%+0.20
Over 3m2813.6%−18.40
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008100%—
2009100%—
201011218.2%−6.90
201117211.8%−8.30
20129111.1%−2.90
201315426.7%+18.80
20148078.8%−33.90
20151501812%+2.50
20161321511.4%−11.30
201711198.1%−35.40
2018132139.8%−32.60
201911476.1%−60.80
20208067.5%−24.10
20215335.7%−31.60
20228578.2%+6.40
2023124108.1%−7.70
20249444.3%−71.50
2025154159.7%−4.60
2026202209.9%−23.99
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps430347.9%−82.60
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners452388.4%−147.60
11-13 runners392235.9%−147.50
14-16 runners349308.6%−45.90
5-7 runners1953115.9%−1.69
17+ runners12364.9%−32.10
2-4 runners521325%+45.20
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 828 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
4 from 14
Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1101210771815118103
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Gran Diose (FR) — Prix la Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2024 · Grade 1
£226,957
Doctor Kaleo (FR) — Prix du President de la Republique (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2025 · Grade 3
£94,835
Gran Diose (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase Masters - Prix Ingre (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2025 · Grade 2
Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,558 runs since 2010 (411 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.6% from 729. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 152.
Al Namix (FR)12.5% · 6–48
Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,207 runs since 2008 (293 horses).
Martaline (GB)4.3% · 2–46
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,350 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,326 runs since 2017 (384 horses).
Network (GER)2.7% · 1–37
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,770 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 275.
Saint Des Saints (FR)8.1% · 3–37
Progeny have won 15% of 5,367 runs since 2008 (645 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,574 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,574 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 April 2006 to 11 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Thomas Beaurain's strike rate?
Thomas Beaurain has won 143 of 1,565 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Beaurain do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 88 wins from 1,024 rides (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Thomas Beaurain ride most for?
F Foucher, with 114 rides since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (13.2%).
Is Thomas Beaurain in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Thomas Beaurain's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 1,486 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Thomas Beaurain·SR 9.1%·A/E 1.03
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