What is E Lacaille's strike rate?

E Lacaille has won 5 of 39 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Is E Lacaille in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is E Lacaille's Fair A/E?

1.60, from 39 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

E Lacaille

39 runners in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 10 days ago 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)

from 1 Jan 2022

5–39

Wins / Runs

12.8%

Strike rate

n=39

10 (26%)

Placed

1.60

Fair A/E

n=39 · 1.24 incl. margin

−15.25

£1 level stake

n=39 at SP · −39.1%

£43,608

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.8%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

50%+37.2

n=4 · A/E 2.88 · £1 +5.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

25%+12.2

n=8 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +1.50

Debutants · first career start

10%−2.8

n=10 · A/E 1.88 · £1 −7.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.3%+1.5

n=7 · A/E 2.16 · £1 −4.00

When favourite

75%

n=4 · A/E 2.89 · £1 +4.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 38 5 13.2% −14.25

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 19 0 0% −19.00

Standard (AW) 12 2 16.7% +3.50

Good 4 2 50% +2.00

Good to Soft 2 1 50% +0.25

Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 10 2 20% −4.00

Vichy (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Salon-de-Provence (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 3 1 33.3% +6.00

Chantilly (FR) 3 1 33.3% +3.50

Lyon Parilly (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Marseille Borely (FR) 1 1 100% +1.25

Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Moulins (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 10 2 20% −4.00

Class 4 6 1 16.7% −3.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 3 75% 2.89 +4.25

2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 0.96 −0.50

4th–6th fav 7 1 14.3% 2.80 +2.00

7th+ in betting 21 0 0% 0.00 −21.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pierre Le Grand (GB)from Mme Manon Scandella-Lacaille 6 2 4 7 Oct 26

Kapetanios (FR)from Mme Manon Scandella-Lacaille 5 1 1 29 Sep 26

Anaheim (FR) 3 1 1 11 Oct 26

Niagaro (GER)from F Bresson 3 0 0 2 Oct 26

Sweet Sumerly (FR) 3 0 0 14 Sep 26

Purple Dahlia (FR) 2 0 0 11 Oct 26

Atavamada (FR) 2 0 1 25 Sep 26

Tiki Dreams (FR)from Alicja Karkosa 2 0 0 25 Sep 26

Alta Gracias (FR) 2 0 0 3 Sep 26

Le Minot (FR) 2 0 0 19 Aug 26

Pierre Le Grand 2 1 2 6 Aug 26

Kapetanios 2 0 0 6 Aug 26

All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mme Manon Scandella-Lacaille (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

····50·330820··

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

M Guyon 8 3 37.5% +4.50

Hugo Besnier 6 1 16.7% +3.00

Mme Marina Brunelli 4 0 0% −4.00

K Gaudeffroy 3 0 0% −3.00

Ioritz Mendizabal 3 0 0% −3.00

Mme Manon Germain 2 0 0% −2.00

P C Boudot 2 0 0% −2.00

Mme Marie Velon 2 0 0% −2.00

Theo Bachelot 1 0 0% −1.00

Anthony Girel 1 0 0% −1.00

Leonard Plommee 1 0 0% −1.00

Antonio Orani 1 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→

Archived wins

£43,608

Prize money

2026

Best season · 4 wins

Pierre Le Grand (GB) — Prix de Borest (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · May 2025

£8,264

Anaheim (FR) — Prix Yakoba Lyon-La Soie (FR) · Oct 2026

£8,151

Kapetanios (FR) — Prix Hotel Barriere Le Royal Deauville Marseille Borely (FR) · Sep 2026 · Class 4

£6,400

Notable horses

Pierre Le Grand (GB) Kapetanios (FR) Anaheim (FR) Pierre Le Grand

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Anodin (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,408 runs since 2008 (274 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.

Kheleyf (USA) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,542 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Adlerflug (GER) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 14.3% of 580 runs since 2008 (108 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 18.3% from 169. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.8% from 102.

Romanised (IRE) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 8.7% of 608 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.7% from 204. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 137.

Slade Power (IRE) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,938 runs since 2008 (208 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.4% from 125.

Zelzal (FR) 33.3% · 1–3

Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (240 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 39 archived runs · newest first

Every one of E Lacaille's 39 archived runners, from 2 May 2025 to 11 October 2026, newest first — 5 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Purple Dahlia (FR)J: Antonio Orani Prix Yakoba9f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 22/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Anaheim (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix Yakoba9f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 8/1

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Pierre Le Grand (GB)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Bois Bourillon9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 100/30F

04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Libeccio (FR)J: Thomas Beaurain Prix Mid DancerClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 2/1

02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Niagaro (GER)J: K Gaudeffroy Prix De VilleurbanneClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 12/1

29 Sep 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Kapetanios (FR)J: Mr Florent Guy Prix Hotel Barriere Le Royal DeauvilleClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 5/4F

25 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Tiki Dreams (FR)J: Mme Manon Germain Prix D'arles12f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 40/1

25 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Atavamada (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Emile RibalClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

25 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Meri Shakti (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Georges Camprubi9f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 33/1

15 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Niagaro (GER)J: K Gaudeffroy Prix De La Mulatiere12f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 66/1

14 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Anaheim (FR)J: Hugo Besnier Prix De Vaison-la-romaine10f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 18/1

14 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Tiki Dreams (FR)J: Mme Manon Germain Prix Sky Lawyer9f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 25/1

14 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Sweet Sumerly (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Michel Fructus9f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 50/1

14 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Purple Dahlia (FR)J: Mme Marina Brunelli Prix Michel Fructus9f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 40/1

11 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Little Havana (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Du Lieu Dieu7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 25/1

08 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Kapetanios (FR)J: Mme Marina Brunelli Prix Du RhoneClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 12/1

03 Sep 26 Vichy (FR) Alta Gracias (FR)J: Mme Marie Velon Prix Mireille8f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 33/1

28 Aug 26 Moulins (FR) Sweet Sumerly (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix De Trevol12f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 66/1

27 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Pierre Le Grand (GB)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Villa PersanneClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 5/1

20 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Kapetanios (FR)J: Roberto-Carlos Montenegro Prix Des Anciens JockeysClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is E Lacaille's strike rate?: E Lacaille has won 5 of 39 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is E Lacaille in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is E Lacaille's Fair A/E?: 1.60, from 39 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.