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Jockey profile

Thomas Messina

917 rides in the lifetime window · 547 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jun 2020 97% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
48–917
Wins / Runs
5.2%
Strike rate
n=917
157 (17%)
Placed
0.89
Fair A/E
n=857 · 0.79 incl. margin
−171.60
£1 level stake
n=889 at SP · −19.3%
£1.36m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). When claiming the record reads 15% (92 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 917 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Mar–May Fresh horses: 5.6% 32.3% when favourite Mlle M-L Mortier: 6.3% from 79 LTO winners: 8.7% Claiming: 15.2% Rode the favourite in 3% of races
The read

Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 15.2% (n=92, Fair A/E 2.00), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.34). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −183.50 to a £1 stake over 547 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mlle M-L Mortier supplied 9% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.3%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Heavy going (11.4%, n=88) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (12.1%, n=33). The market has also underrated the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 1.57 across 111 rides (9.9% strike, +23.80 to a £1 stake). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Du Journal Le Pays D'Auge at Deauville (FR) (Dec 2010, £24,124). Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.5%−1.7
n=547 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −183.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
8.7%+3.5
n=46 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +2.60
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.6%+0.4
n=287 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −23.40
When favourite
32.3%
n=31 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +5.90
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
15.2%+10.0
n=92 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +198.40
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.2%−1.0
n=552 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −54.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
2%−3.2
n=51 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −47.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With J-P Gallorini 19.4% vs 5.2% · n=31
When claiming 15.2% vs 5.2% · n=92
On Heavy going 11.4% vs 5.2% · n=88
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 12.1% vs 5.2% · n=33
With J E Pease 10.9% vs 5.2% · n=64
Over 1m5f – 2m 9.9% vs 5.2% · n=111
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 888 43 4.8% −222.20
Hurdle 22 3 13.6% +40.10
Chase 7 2 28.6% +10.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 350 10 2.9% −238.30
Good 191 10 5.2% −16.10
Soft 187 12 6.4% −9.40
Good to Soft 100 6 6% −43.20
Heavy 88 10 11.4% +135.40

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville 242 5 2.1% −137.80
Chantilly (FR) 170 7 4.1% −92.40
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 155 4 2.6% −93.40
Saint-Cloud (FR) 139 12 8.6% +107.70
Longchamp (FR) 83 5 6% +17.40
Enghien (FR) 20 5 25% +59.60
Cagnes-Sur-Mer 18 0 0% −17.00
Compiegne 9 3 33.3% +8.00
Fontainebleau 8 0 0% −7.00
Auteuil (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Lyon Parilly 7 1 14.3% −6.00
Clairefontaine 5 1 20% −0.10
Le Lion-D'Angers 4 2 50% +9.30
Strasbourg 4 0 0% −4.00
Vichy 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 51 1 2% −47.40

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 32 10 31.3% 1.61 +4.90
2nd–3rd fav 84 8 9.5% 0.66 −39.40
4th–6th fav 181 9 5% 0.56 −71.00
7th+ in betting 592 17 2.9% 1.02 −66.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Silver Valny (FR) 29 4 7 22 Mar 16
Muhtablue (FR) 18 1 5 13 May 15
Hecate (IRE) 17 3 6 19 Nov 13
Montalban (FR) 16 2 4 28 Dec 14
Aristotelicienne (IRE) 9 3 6 31 Oct 13
Almalyk (FR) 8 0 2 4 Jul 16
No News (FR) 8 2 2 7 Dec 14
Seyfeddine (IRE) 8 1 2 15 Oct 14
Zillion Dollar Cup (FR) 7 0 4 25 Apr 16
Carimo (IRE) 7 1 1 19 Oct 10
Berko (FR) 6 0 2 30 Oct 15
Ardetone (FR) 6 0 1 17 Apr 15
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 547 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0588642625142
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMlle M-L Mortier
9% of all rides
6.3% SR · A/E 1.15
TrainerRWSR£1
Mlle M-L Mortier 79 5 6.3% +6.00
X Nakkachdji 65 6 9.2% −13.50
J E Pease 64 7 10.9% +13.00
J-M Beguigne 33 3 9.1% −7.10
D De Waele 32 2 6.3% −4.80
C Boutin 32 0 0% −31.00
J-P Gallorini 31 6 19.4% +64.00
J Parize 30 0 0% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
48
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.36m
Prize money
2010
Best season · 12 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Silver Valny (FR) — Prix Du Journal Le Pays D'Auge (Prix Du Mont Saint-Michel) (Handicap) (3yo+) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2010
£24,124
Silver Valny (FR) — Etalon Muhtathir - Grand Handicap De La Manche (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2011
£23,500
Silver Valny (FR) — Prix Denisy () (3yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2012 · Listed
£21,667
Notable horses
Silver Valny (FR) Hecate (IRE) Aristotelicienne (IRE) Montalban (FR) No News (FR) Big Hunter (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Vertical Speed (FR) 13.8% · 4–29
Progeny have won 9.1% of 784 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.1% from 139.
Muhtathir (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,714 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.
Anabaa Blue (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,937 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 417.
Act One (GB) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 11.3% of 1,731 runs since 2008 (151 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.5% from 279.
Elusive City (USA) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,425 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,122.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,565 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 918 · newest first

The latest 50 of 918 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 October 2007 to 18 June 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Jun 20 La Teste De Buch (FR) Picnic Time (FR)T: L Cadot Prix Champagne Duval-Leroy (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)9.5f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 15/1
09 Jun 20 Tarbes (FR) Ca Va Seul (FR)T: L Cadot Prix Alain Lequeux (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)11.5f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 32/1
15 Dec 18 Deauville (FR) King Of Spades (FR)T: Joel Phelippon Prix de Grandouet (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 11/1
14 Dec 18 Deauville (FR) Lovemenot (IRE)T: H-F Devin Prix de Bonnerie (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 59/10
05 Dec 18 Deauville (FR) Lips Legend (IRE)T: Andreas Suborics Prix de Bonnerie (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 13th 13/1
08 Nov 18 Chantilly (FR) Nimr (GB)T: Joel Phelippon Prix de l'Allee Sans Souci (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 53/10
27 Oct 18 Nantes (FR) Sextine (GB)T: Y Durepaire Grand Prix de Nantes (14th Etape du Defi du Galop) () (3yo+) (Turf)12f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 21/1
17 Oct 18 Saint-Cloud (FR) Holdbacktheriver (FR)T: Mme Pia Brandt Prix de Pian Medoc (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)10.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 15/1
17 Oct 18 Saint-Cloud (FR) Dantzig Chop (FR)T: W Walton Prix de Blanquefort (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)10.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 9/1
24 Aug 18 Deauville (FR) Fanfouette Boy (FR)T: Mme C Herisson De Beauvoir Prix du Mont Canisy (Claimer) (2yo) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 24/1
14 Jul 18 Longchamp (FR) Sextine (GB)T: Y Durepaire Prix de Thiberville () (3yo Fillies) (Turf)12f · Good · 10 ran 9th 16/1
27 Apr 18 La Teste De Buch (FR) Carabisco (FR)T: P Dufreche Prix Solicitor - Marquise de Moratalla (Maiden) (3yo) (Turf)9.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 49/1
09 Apr 18 Deauville (FR) Mortree (FR)T: J Parize Prix de Montigny (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 19/1
02 Apr 18 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sextine (GB)T: Y Durepaire Prix Durban (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)10.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 19/5
01 Feb 18 Chantilly (FR) Kilkelie (FR)T: T Lemer Prix du Bosquet Saint-Romain (Claimer) (3yo) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 58/10
01 Feb 18 Chantilly (FR) Akaroa (IRE)T: T Lemer Prix du Carrefour Laversin (Claimer) (4yo) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 15 ran 9th 35/1
06 Jan 18 Chantilly (FR) Motabaary (IRE)T: R Le Dren Doleuze Prix du Lay Prieure (Claimer) (5yo+) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 43/10
05 Jan 18 Deauville (FR) Mignolino (IRE)T: R Roels Prix d'Essai (Claimer) (5yo+) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 35/1
04 Jan 18 Deauville (FR) Bellabel (FR)T: Stephane Chevalier Prix de Folleville (Claimer) (4yo) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 44/1
27 Dec 17 Deauville (FR) Hastotrike (IRE)T: Georgios Alimpinisis Prix de Cuigny (Claimer) (2yo) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 15/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas Messina's strike rate?
Thomas Messina has won 48 of 917 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Messina do best at?
Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 139 rides (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Thomas Messina ride most for?
Mlle M-L Mortier, with 79 rides since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.3%).
What is Thomas Messina's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 857 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).