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Trainer profile

M Krebs

452 runners in the last 5 seasons · 35 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
26–452
Wins / Runs
5.8%
Strike rate
n=452
96 (21%)
Placed
0.84
Fair A/E
n=450 · 0.70 incl. margin
−196.70
£1 level stake
n=450 at SP · −43.7%
£455k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (42 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 452 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 19.4% when favourite Marvin Grandin: 3.9% from 51 Claiming riders: 9.5% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 9.5% (n=42, Fair A/E 1.78), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0.9% (n=109, Fair A/E 0.20). Marvin Grandin rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 0.53). The yard also reads well on Soft going (13.9%, n=36) and off a 15-30-day break (9.3%, n=204). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 73 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Shyamala (GB) — 6 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.9%−4.9
n=109 · A/E 0.20 · £1 −80.10
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−0.5
n=19 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −14.80
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.8
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
19.4%
n=31 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −6.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.5%+3.7
n=42 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +10.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 15.6% vs 5.8% · n=32
On Soft going 13.9% vs 5.8% · n=36
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 5.8% · n=73
With Maxime Guyon 11.4% vs 5.8% · n=44
With Jerome Claudic 0% vs 5.8% · n=34
Off a 15-30-day break 9.3% vs 5.8% · n=204
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 345 17 4.9% −185.80
Good to Soft 37 3 8.1% −16.30
Soft 36 5 13.9% +24.40
Good 23 1 4.3% −8.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 187 10 5.3% −98.70
Chantilly (FR) 174 8 4.6% −91.10
Longchamp (FR) 33 2 6.1% −7.60
Saint-Cloud 18 0 0% −18.00
Strasbourg (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00
Vichy (FR) 9 2 22.2% +15.00
Vittel (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Compiegne (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Dieppe (FR) 2 1 50% +11.00
Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Moulins (FR) 2 1 50% +11.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 2 1 50% +2.50
Nancy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 1 1 100% +3.20

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 19 3 15.8% +22.00
Class 3 11 3 27.3% +14.50
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 32 6 18.8% 0.92 −7.10
2nd–3rd fav 54 6 11.1% 0.86 −22.20
4th–6th fav 106 6 5.7% 0.70 −46.40
7th+ in betting 258 8 3.1% 0.91 −121.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bremontier (FR)from S Wattel 35 1 7 20 Sep 26
Sea Wings (GB)from N Caullery 34 1 12 2 May 25
Louve Precieuse (FR)from H-A Pantall 30 2 6 21 Oct 26
Secret Glory (FR) 28 1 6 20 Sep 26
Shyamala (GB)from E J O'Neill 27 2 5 21 Feb 25
Hur Cat (FR)from M Boutin 26 3 7 16 Oct 26
Antinea (FR)from S Cerulis 24 3 8 19 Oct 26
Audeladesetoiles (FR)from S Wattel 22 1 4 16 Oct 26
Ronaldo (GER)from S Smrczek 22 0 1 11 Oct 25
Gold Shiva (FR)from H-A Pantall 20 3 6 7 Feb 26
Kaleocreek (FR)from J Parize 14 1 2 9 Oct 26
Alvar (FR)from H-F Devin 14 0 1 27 Jul 26
All 35 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 35 horses listed, 27 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from H-A Pantall (3) and N Caullery (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 13
Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
82460100912666
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMarvin Grandin
11% of all rides
3.9% SR · A/E 0.53
RiderRWSR£1
Marvin Grandin 51 2 3.9% −27.00
Theo Bachelot 50 4 8% −5.60
Maxime Guyon 44 5 11.4% −21.50
F Valle Skar 34 2 5.9% +4.30
Jerome Claudic 34 0 0% −34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
41
Archived wins
£749k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 9 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nadeem Alward (FR) — Prix des Aunettes (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Sep 2018
£24,336
Kailyn (GER) — Prix Dunette (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Fontainebleau (FR) · Mar 2018
£23,009
Nadeem Alward (FR) — Prix Cirrus des Aigles (Conditions) (4yo+) (Polytrack) Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) · Feb 2019
£12,613
Notable horses
Shyamala (GB) Kailyn (GER) Gold Shiva (FR) Hur Cat (FR) Antinea (FR) Nadeem Alward (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Goken (FR) 9.5% · 4–42
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,050 runs since 2008 (244 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 244. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.2% from 198.
Ultra (IRE) 2.9% · 1–35
Progeny have won 7.7% of 376 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.5% from 141.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,939 runs since 2008 (1,111 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Dabirsim (FR) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,135 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 142.
George Vancouver (USA) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,172 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest on Good going: 2.4% from 124.
Sepoy (AUS) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,372 runs since 2008 (279 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 668 · newest first

The latest 50 of 668 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 November 2007 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Louve Precieuse (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix De La Foret De Bizy7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 7/1
21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Asterale (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De La Foret De Bizy7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 11/4F
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Antinea (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De La Foret De Cerisy9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 20/1
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Fury Boxing (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La Foret D'ecouves9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 14/1
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Lady Madeira (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La Foret De Cinglais9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 12/1
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Wakaburn (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Foret De Lyons9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 12th 40/1
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) No Time (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La Chaussee7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 28/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Audeladesetoiles (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Du Soutien A La Foret De FontainebleauClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 33/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Hur Cat (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Soutien A La Foret De FontainebleauClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 7/2
15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Charming Cecilia (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Du Chene De La Basse Pommeraie9f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 7/1
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Nousdeux (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix "Eperon De Nancy"Class 3 · 12.5f · Soft · 14 ran — 18/1
09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Kaleocreek (FR)J: D Santiago Prix Du Carrefour Du FrancportClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 4th 22/1
09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Louve Precieuse (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Du Carrefour Du Vivier CoraxClass 4 · 7f · Very Soft · 16 ran 15th 25/1
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Wakaburn (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Du Cambresis9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 22/1
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Asterale (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La SambreClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 5/2F
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Fury Boxing (FR)J: Mathieu Calbrix Prix Agriteam (Prix Richard Hartley)Class 3 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 12th 22/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Antinea (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Du DaboClass 4 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 14th 28/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Lady Madeira (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix Du DaboClass 4 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 11/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Charming Cecilia (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix Coupe De L'est10.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 7/2
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Audeladesetoiles (FR)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix Les Entrepreneurs - Cpme Du Bas-rhin (Prix De La Moder)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 11 ran 11th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Krebs's strike rate?
M Krebs has won 26 of 452 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Krebs do best at?
Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 33 runners (6.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Krebs?
Marvin Grandin, with 51 runners since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.9%).
Is M Krebs in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Krebs's Fair A/E?
0.84, from 450 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).