H-F Devin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (47 runs).
It is weakest at Deauville (6.4% over 110 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 14.9% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.15), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 8.4% (n=143, Fair A/E 0.66). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 8.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −63.80 to a £1 stake over 153 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Clement Lecoeuvre rides 36% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.7% vs 11.4%, A/E 0.77). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 3.9% over 51 runners, 7.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.51 across 52 runners (5.8% strike, −37.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 38 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Darley Prix Jean Romanet at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2018, £126,416). The stable star of the record: Zemindari (FR) — 6 wins from 25 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,565 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,565 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 April 2013 to 18 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is H-F Devin's strike rate?
- H-F Devin has won 70 of 616 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does H-F Devin do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 110 runners (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for H-F Devin?
- Clement Lecoeuvre, with 219 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8.7%).
- Is H-F Devin in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is H-F Devin's Fair A/E?
- 0.90, from 611 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.