X Nakkachdji
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12).
Debutants struggle at 4.5% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.49). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 12.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +73.30 to a £1 stake over 164 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Gregory Benoist rode 45% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.7%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well over 1m – 1m1f (17.9%, n=223). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 5.4% over 93 runners, 8.2pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Andre Baboin at Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) (Oct 2010, £35,398). The stable star of the record was Spectacle Du Mars (FR) — 6 wins from 18 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 649 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 649 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 March 2005 to 6 April 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is X Nakkachdji's strike rate?
- X Nakkachdji has won 80 of 587 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does X Nakkachdji do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 15 wins from 98 runners (15.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for X Nakkachdji?
- Gregory Benoist, with 266 runners since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (14.7%).
- What is X Nakkachdji's Fair A/E?
- 1.12, from 498 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.