What is Thomas O'Connor's strike rate?

Thomas O'Connor has won 9 of 134 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Thomas O'Connor ride most for?

Mark Fahey, with 54 rides since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.3%).

Is Thomas O'Connor in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Thomas O'Connor's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 134 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Thomas O'Connor

134 rides in the last 5 seasons · 64 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)

from 1 Jan 2022

9–134

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=134

28 (21%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=134 · 0.69 incl. margin

−60.87

£1 level stake

n=134 at SP · −45.4%

£120k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 10% (73 rides). Rides mostly for Mark Fahey — 40% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 134 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Mark Fahey: 9.3% from 54 First rides: 7.8% Claiming: 6.8%

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.43). Mark Fahey supplies 40% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.3% vs 6.7%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well on Good to Soft going (12.1%, n=33) and off a 15-30-day break (12.1%, n=33). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.56 across 57 rides (5.3% strike, −44.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.8%+1.1

n=64 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −12.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.4%+8.7

n=13 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +0.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.9%−3.8

n=35 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −32.50

When favourite

40%

n=10 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +4.13

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.8%+0.1

n=133 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −59.87

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.6%+2.9

n=73 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −9.12

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Soft going 12.1% vs 6.7% · n=33

Off a 15-30-day break 12.1% vs 6.7% · n=33

Off a 31-60-day break 10.5% vs 6.7% · n=38

With Mark Fahey 9.3% vs 6.7% · n=54

On Good going 5.3% vs 6.7% · n=57 · A/E 0.56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 117 7 6% −57.62

Chase 12 2 16.7% +1.75

NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 57 3 5.3% −44.25

Good to Soft 33 4 12.1% −11.62

Soft 33 2 6.1% +6.00

Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Listowel 15 2 13.3% −1.50

Killarney 15 0 0% −15.00

Sligo 11 0 0% −11.00

Downpatrick 9 1 11.1% −6.62

Wexford 8 1 12.5% −4.25

Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00

Down Royal 8 0 0% −8.00

Ballinrobe (IRE) 7 2 28.6% +9.50

Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00

Cork 7 0 0% −7.00

Clonmel 6 1 16.7% +23.00

Kilbeggan 6 1 16.7% −0.50

Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00

Galway 5 0 0% −5.00

Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 13 4 30.8% 1.50 +1.13

2nd–3rd fav 22 2 9.1% 0.59 −10.00

4th–6th fav 40 2 5% 0.72 −22.00

7th+ in betting 59 1 1.7% 0.65 −30.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.8% completed · 129 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 12 83.3% 1 0 1 0 0

Hurdle 117 87.2% 5 3 6 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mellem (IRE) 13 0 1 13 Oct 26

Garnacho (IRE) 7 2 3 24 Jul 26

Phoenix Arizona (IRE) 6 1 3 11 Oct 26

Mr Master Mac (IRE) 6 1 5 18 Sep 26

Tropical Image (IRE) 5 1 2 26 Sep 26

Fast Felix (IRE) 5 1 1 20 Aug 26

Kp's Ladyofknock (IRE) 5 1 2 5 Jun 26

Sea Eagle (GB) 4 0 2 7 Aug 26

Mc Swagger (IRE) 4 0 0 16 Jul 26

Dictionary Corner (IRE) 4 0 0 10 Jul 26

Jabbar (IRE) 3 0 2 31 Aug 26

Jekiki (IRE) 3 0 0 16 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

000082575120010

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMark Fahey

40% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

Mark Fahey 54 5 9.3% −10.87

Eoin Christopher McCarthy 39 3 7.7% −19.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→

Archived wins

£120k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 5 wins

Garnacho (IRE) — Racing Again July 3rd Rated Novice Chase Wexford · Jun 2026

£8,835

Colliers Quay (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle Ballinrobe (IRE) · Aug 2026

£8,400

Phoenix Arizona (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase Ballinrobe (IRE) · Sep 2026

£8,400

Notable horses

Garnacho (IRE) Mr Master Mac (IRE) Phoenix Arizona (IRE) Fast Felix (IRE) Kp's Ladyofknock (IRE) Tropical Image (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,832 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

French Navy (GB) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 10.4% of 771 runs since 2008 (68 horses).

Affinisea (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,264 runs since 2008 (198 horses).

Blue Bresil (FR) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,507 runs since 2008 (457 horses).

Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,172 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Milan (GB) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,856 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 134 · newest first

The latest 50 of 134 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 September 2024 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Borora Aura (IRE)T: G. O'Leary QuinnBet 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 22/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Hometomayo (IRE)T: Charles Reilly Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 66/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Little An Often (IRE)T: Mark Fahey Crottys Lake Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 11th 250/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Kingdom Calling (FR)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 6/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Mellem (IRE)T: Mark Fahey William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 7th 14/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Phoenix Arizona (IRE)T: John J Cullen Friends Of Castlemagner LGFA Rated Novice Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 7/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Coolnacritta (IRE)T: Mark Fahey CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 22/1

30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Phoenix Arizona (IRE)T: John J Cullen Eddie McAllister Memorial Novice Handicap Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 5/2

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Granda George (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 9th 66/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Nukie's Artic (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 16/1

26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Tropical Image (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 7th 5/1

26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Little An Often (IRE)T: Mark Fahey John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 66/1

24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Carrigg Island (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 10th 11/2

24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Kilbrin Rocco (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 11/4F

23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Tiger Twins (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Devon Inn Dan Sheehan Memorial Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran F 9/1

20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Con Did It (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Kinisla Farm & Home Store (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 18/1

20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Regards To Rose (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 7th 7/1

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Quirt Evans (IRE)T: Mark Fahey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase18f · Good · 12 ran 8th 14/1

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Mr Master Mac (IRE)T: Mark Fahey Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle21.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 100/30F

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Lisnadill (GB)T: C A McBratney T-Met Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 15 ran F 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas O'Connor's strike rate?: Thomas O'Connor has won 9 of 134 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Thomas O'Connor ride most for?: Mark Fahey, with 54 rides since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.3%).
Is Thomas O'Connor in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Thomas O'Connor's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 134 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.