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Trainer profile

C A McBratney

289 runners in the last 5 seasons · 54 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 93% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–289
Wins / Runs
2.1%
Strike rate
n=289
22 (8%)
Placed
0.69
Fair A/E
n=289 · 0.56 incl. margin
−162.50
£1 level stake
n=289 at SP · −56.2%
£87,944
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.69).

Deterministic profile computed from 289 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3%
The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (7.4%, n=68), clear of the yard's 2.1% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −47.00 to a £1 stake over 121 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well on Good going (5.1%, n=78) and off a 61-180-day break (5.1%, n=39). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Chase races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 63 runners (0% strike, −63.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Galway Plate at Galway (Jul 2009, £150,500). The stable star of the record: Selection Box (IRE) — 7 wins from 55 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3%+0.9
n=67 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +7.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.1
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.1
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.1
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.1
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.7%−0.4
n=121 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −47.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Downpatrick 7.4% vs 2.1% · n=68
On Good going 5.1% vs 2.1% · n=78
Off a 61-180-day break 5.1% vs 2.1% · n=39
Over 2m5f – 3m 4.3% vs 2.1% · n=117
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.1% · n=64
In Chase races 0% vs 2.1% · n=63
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 193 6 3.1% −66.50
Chase 63 0 0% −63.00
Flat 20 0 0% −20.00
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 110 2 1.8% −36.00
Good 78 4 5.1% −25.50
Good to Soft 58 0 0% −58.00
Heavy 33 0 0% −33.00
Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 68 5 7.4% −8.50
Down Royal 60 1 1.7% +7.00
Punchestown 47 0 0% −47.00
Navan 23 0 0% −23.00
Fairyhouse 23 0 0% −23.00
Wexford 14 0 0% −14.00
Dundalk (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Bellewstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Ayr 4 0 0% −4.00
Cartmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 2 22.2% 1.81 +3.00
4th–6th fav 49 2 4.1% 0.64 −35.50
7th+ in betting 229 2 0.9% 0.51 −128.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.2% completed · 256 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 63 65.1% 2 3 16 1 0
Hurdle 193 77.2% 8 1 35 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
So Ladylike (IRE)then N W Alexander 17 0 2 2 Jun 23
Billable Grant (IRE)then Jackie Stephen 16 1 1 25 Jul 24
Mille Miglia (GB)from Clive Cox 16 0 0 26 Apr 24
Welsh Saint (FR)from Sam Thomas 15 0 2 26 Dec 24
Cocoplum (IRE)then Patrick J McKenna 15 0 3 11 Aug 24
Gangster Granny (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 14 3 5 17 Oct 26
Mister Frostie (IRE) 12 0 0 6 Jun 26
Katlaur (IRE)from Martin Corrigan 12 0 0 24 Jan 23
Journey West (IRE)then Max Young 10 1 2 10 Mar 23
Falvio (POL)from A J Martin 9 0 0 25 Jul 24
Penthouse Poppet (IRE)then Matt Sheppard 9 0 0 10 Nov 23
Golas Tiep (FR)then Micky Hammond 9 0 2 25 May 23
All 54 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 54 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from W P Mullins (4) and Gavin Cromwell (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Ian Duncan (3) and Gordon Elliott (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0030405200000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane O'Callaghan
14% of all rides
2.5% SR · A/E 0.62
RiderRWSR£1
Shane O'Callaghan 40 1 2.5% −33.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
88
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.16m
Prize money
2011
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ballyholland (IRE) — William Hill Galway Plate (Handicap Chase ) Galway · Jul 2009 · Grade A
£150,500
Ballyholland (IRE) — Le Grande Chase Navan · Sep 2008
£16,275
Ballyholland (IRE) — Tile Market I.t.b.a. (northern Region) Galway Plate Trial Handicap Chase Down Royal · Jun 2009
£15,299
Notable horses
Selection Box (IRE) Ballyholland (IRE) Carsonstown Boy (IRE) Sole Witness (IRE) So Near So Farhh (GB) Topper Thornton (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–29
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,814 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 817.
Pride Of Dubai (AUS) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,162 runs since 2008 (92 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.7% from 385. Weakest on Soft going: 8.3% from 192. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 17% from 200.
Watar (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 7.9% of 557 runs since 2008 (59 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.1% from 180. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.8% from 167.
Nathaniel (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,071 runs since 2008 (635 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.5% from 325.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,344 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,167 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,749 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,749 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Master Chefs Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 6th 28/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Booklight (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Winter Festival Tickets On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 7th 150/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle21.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Lisnadill (GB)J: Thomas O'Connor T-Met Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 15 ran F 250/1
04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap18.5f · Good · 13 ran 12th 10/1
28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Lisnadill (GB)J: Thomas O'Connor Pepsico (Walkers Snacks) Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 8 ran 7th 100/1
28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Moon Aura (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton Coca-Cola HBC Ireland And Northern Ireland 3-Y-O Hurdle17.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1
26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) The Desert Eagle (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 80/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Magical Sal (IRE)J: J J Slevin J Murdoch Contracts Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 7 ran 1st 4/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Franco Hughes Away Bet Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 10 ran 1st 6/1
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Go fibrefast With Fibrus Broadband Rated Novice Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/2
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Magical Sal (IRE)J: J J Slevin Plus 2 Print Remembering Tony Oakes MBE Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 80/1
03 Jul 26 Wexford Vina Ardanza (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Molloy Metals Recycling Handicap Chase19.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 50/1
03 Jul 26 Wexford Magical Sal (IRE)J: J J Slevin Shamrock Enterprises Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran PU 100/1
14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Magical Sal (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Good · 8 ran 7th 14/1
13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Gangster Granny (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Denvir's Of Downpatrick (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)22f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 17/2
07 Jun 26 Punchestown Raleagh Scope (GB)J: Gavin Brouder John Dowling Memorial Maiden Hurdle23.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 7th 250/1
06 Jun 26 Punchestown Noble Trix (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Castlestone Holiday Homes (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 15th 100/1
06 Jun 26 Punchestown Mount Mandela (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 24 ran 16th 50/1
06 Jun 26 Punchestown Mister Frostie (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Ladbrokes 'Insure Your Acca On Football' Beginners Chase25f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran PU 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C A McBratney's strike rate?
C A McBratney has won 6 of 289 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.1% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C A McBratney do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 5 wins from 68 runners (7.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is C A McBratney in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is C A McBratney's Fair A/E?
0.69, from 289 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).