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Trainer profile

Eoin Christopher McCarthy

971 runners in the last 5 seasons · 146 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 14.4% of 236 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.
Last runner 4 days ago 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2022
62–971
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=971
193 (20%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=971 · 0.83 incl. margin
−82.83
£1 level stake
n=971 at SP · −8.5%
£816k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 971 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 39% when favourite G B Noonan: 8% from 411 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (12.9%, n=31), clear of the yard's 6.4% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 3.1% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.99). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −139.75 to a £1 stake over 209 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. G B Noonan rides 42% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (13.2%, n=114) and in Chase races (12.4%, n=89). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 2.6% over 77 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Open Gate Brewery Novice Steeplechase at Galway (IRE) (Jul 2026, £25,199). The stable star of the record: Shadow Paddy (IRE) — 7 wins from 15 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.3%−3.1
n=209 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −139.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.1%−3.3
n=32 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
3.5%−2.9
n=85 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.7%−1.7
n=64 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −24.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
When favourite
39%
n=41 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +17.26
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.4%+0.0
n=606 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −140.99
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.1%+4.7
n=18 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −12.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 13.2% vs 6.4% · n=114
On last-time-out winners 13.1% vs 6.4% · n=61
In Chase races 12.4% vs 6.4% · n=89
With Tom Kelly 0% vs 6.4% · n=33
At Tramore 12.9% vs 6.4% · n=31
In NH Flat races 2.6% vs 6.4% · n=77
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 723 46 6.4% +37.21
Chase 89 11 12.4% −6.87
Flat 82 3 3.7% −65.67
NH Flat 77 2 2.6% −47.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 314 23 7.3% −14.54
Soft 292 14 4.8% +65.58
Good to Soft 205 17 8.3% −39.75
Heavy 133 8 6% −67.12
Standard (AW) 25 0 0% −25.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Listowel 146 9 6.2% +165.25
Limerick 142 11 7.7% +45.38
Killarney 111 10 9% −52.75
Cork 84 4 4.8% −42.00
Clonmel 60 3 5% −43.37
Ballinrobe 45 2 4.4% −23.50
Kilbeggan 41 1 2.4% −34.00
Wexford 40 3 7.5% +0.00
Tramore 31 4 12.9% +8.00
Galway 30 2 6.7% −11.50
Sligo 28 0 0% −28.00
Thurles 27 1 3.7% −14.00
Dundalk (AW) 25 0 0% −25.00
Punchestown 22 1 4.5% −13.00
Fairyhouse 21 1 4.8% −16.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 18 2 11.1% −12.25
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 51 18 35.3% 1.60 +17.26
2nd–3rd fav 136 17 12.5% 0.91 −30.09
4th–6th fav 249 13 5.2% 0.78 −95.00
7th+ in betting 535 14 2.6% 1.08 +25.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.6% completed · 812 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 89 80.9% 5 3 9 0 0
Hurdle 723 91.8% 13 6 38 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fast Felix (IRE) 26 2 8 20 Aug 26
Kingdom Calling (FR) 23 2 3 17 Oct 26
Younowhatimean (IRE) 23 0 1 26 Dec 25
Tropical Image (IRE) 21 1 5 26 Sep 26
Ollie La Ba Ba (IRE) 21 2 4 20 Aug 26
Dark Image (GB) 21 2 3 29 Nov 24
Caoimhes Pet (IRE) 17 1 4 13 Jul 24
Missiee (IRE) 17 4 4 16 Mar 24
Well Funded (IRE)from James Bethell 17 2 5 13 Jan 23
She's On Line (IRE) 16 0 4 27 Dec 25
Name Me Famous (IRE) 16 4 6 9 Aug 24
Elusive Ogie (IRE) 15 2 4 14 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 146 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
602106481061054
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderG B Noonan
42% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.23
RiderRWSR£1
G B Noonan 411 33 8% −33.24
Richard Deegan 112 7 6.3% +196.50
Thomas O'Connor 39 3 7.7% −19.00
Tom Kelly 33 0 0% −33.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
86
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.07m
Prize money
2022
Best season · 18 wins
Shadow Paddy (IRE) — Guinness Open Gate Brewery Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3) Galway (IRE) · Jul 2026 · Grade 3
£25,199
Shadow Paddy (IRE) — Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Novice Hurdle (Listed) Limerick · Oct 2025 · Listed
£17,700
Elusive Ogie (IRE) — Bective Stud, Hotel & Tea Rooms Mullacurry Cup Handicap Hurdle Bellewstown (IRE) · Aug 2026
£12,000
Notable horses
Shadow Paddy (IRE) Name Me Famous (IRE) Missiee (IRE) Pound A Stroke (IRE) Mattie's Mountain (IRE) Drombeg Duke (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 1.6% · 1–63
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,300 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 1.8% · 1–55
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,813 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 12.2% · 5–41
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Milan (GB) 9.8% · 4–41
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,844 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Sageburg (IRE) 7.9% · 3–38
Progeny have won 10% of 3,472 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.4% from 293. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.3% from 353.
Ocovango (GB) 0% · 0–37
Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,981 runs since 2008 (302 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.1% from 191.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,427 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,427 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 December 2011 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Kingdom Calling (FR)J: Thomas O'Connor Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 6/1
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Elusive Ogie (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy TRM Nutrition - No.1 In Europe, Trusted Worldwide Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 13/2
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) James Henry (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 25/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Kelly's Cosmos (IRE)J: Phillip Enright SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 4th 10/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Galway Star (GB)J: Daniel King Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 7th 200/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Well Bud (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Winter Festival Tickets On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 1st 100/30
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Paidi's Pet (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 10th 80/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Je Suis Celebre (GB)J: Daniel King Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 80/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Kilbrin Rocco (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 1st 5/2F
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Ballyminnion Boy (IRE)J: Daniel King Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle23f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 7th 9/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Big Dee (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 11th 25/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Regards To Rose (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 5th 22/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Kingdom Calling (FR)J: Jack Kennedy Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 4th 4/1
03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Shadow Paddy (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Like A Butterfly Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 4th 4/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Granda George (IRE)J: Thomas O'Connor Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 9th 66/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Nukie's Artic (IRE)J: Thomas O'Connor Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 16/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Rubi Tuesday (IRE)J: Daniel King Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 13th 16/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Tropical Image (IRE)J: Thomas O'Connor Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 7th 5/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Elusive Ogie (IRE)J: Daniel King M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 8th 4/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Je Suis Celebre (GB)J: Daniel King John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 5th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Eoin Christopher McCarthy's strike rate?
Eoin Christopher McCarthy has won 62 of 971 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Eoin Christopher McCarthy do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Eoin Christopher McCarthy?
G B Noonan, with 411 runners since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (8%).
Is Eoin Christopher McCarthy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Eoin Christopher McCarthy's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 971 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).