What is Mark Fahey's strike rate?

Mark Fahey has won 84 of 735 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mark Fahey do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 17 wins from 110 runners (15.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mark Fahey?

Gavin Ryan, with 86 runners since 2022 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (14%).

Is Mark Fahey in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mark Fahey's Fair A/E?

1.34, from 734 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mark Fahey

735 runners in the last 5 seasons · 118 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 9.9% of 202 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

84–735

Wins / Runs

11.4%

Strike rate

n=735

204 (28%)

Placed

1.34

Fair A/E

n=734 · 1.08 incl. margin

+90.36

£1 level stake

n=735 at SP · +12.3%

£1.05m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.34). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 13% (38 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 735 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 28.6% when favourite Gavin Ryan: 14% from 86 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 9.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.37 and +41.50 to a £1 stake over 151 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Gavin Ryan rides 12% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14% vs 11.4%, A/E 1.90) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (19.6%, n=51) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (18.2%, n=110). The market has also underrated the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 1.94 across 117 runners (17.9% strike, +91.46 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 4.6% over 108 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Bective Stud, Tea Rooms & Apartments Handicap Hurdle at Navan (Dec 2024, £59,000). The stable star of the record: Clear Quartz (IRE) — 6 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.9%−1.5

n=151 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +41.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.8%−1.6

n=41 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +48.50

Debutants · first career start

9.2%−2.2

n=65 · A/E 2.23 · £1 −1.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.9%+1.5

n=31 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +9.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.2%+1.8

n=38 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

28.6%

n=63 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −6.13

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.6%−0.8

n=379 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +90.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−5.8

n=18 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.3% vs 11.4% · n=80

Over 2m5f – 3m 19.6% vs 11.4% · n=51

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 18.2% vs 11.4% · n=110

Over 1m5f – 2m 4.6% vs 11.4% · n=108

With Reese Holohan 3.6% vs 11.4% · n=56

Off a 31-60-day break 17.9% vs 11.4% · n=117

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 488 51 10.5% +119.41

Hurdle 200 25 12.5% −26.63

NH Flat 24 4 16.7% +0.83

Chase 23 4 17.4% −3.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 214 25 11.7% +71.08

Good 212 19 9% −99.26

Standard (AW) 116 18 15.5% +98.46

Heavy 93 8 8.6% −33.00

Good to Soft 86 13 15.1% +64.08

Good to Firm 14 1 7.1% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 110 17 15.5% +100.46

Curragh 62 3 4.8% −41.50

Galway 50 7 14% +18.33

Gowran Park 43 4 9.3% +13.50

Naas 36 1 2.8% −31.50

Cork 33 4 12.1% −14.67

Roscommon 29 3 10.3% −8.80

Leopardstown 28 2 7.1% +0.00

Punchestown 27 2 7.4% −15.50

Tramore 26 2 7.7% −14.50

Bellewstown 26 5 19.2% −0.25

Fairyhouse 25 5 20% +12.50

Ballinrobe 25 4 16% +42.50

Clonmel 24 3 12.5% +13.50

Down Royal 24 3 12.5% −12.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 18 1 5.6% −9.00

Class 6 4 1 25% +0.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 84 22 26.2% 1.19 −10.30

2nd–3rd fav 143 31 21.7% 1.46 +25.66

4th–6th fav 185 12 6.5% 0.86 −64.00

7th+ in betting 323 19 5.9% 2.16 +139.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Daonethatgotaway (GB) 42 5 17 16 Oct 26

Rhythm King (IRE) 32 5 7 11 Oct 26

I Bid You Ajou (FR)from M D O'Callaghan 27 3 12 4 Oct 26

Clear Quartz (IRE) 27 5 10 8 Sep 26

Chica Guerrera (IRE) 22 3 10 11 Oct 26

Bigira (FR) 22 1 5 29 Sep 25

Happy Jacky (IRE)from Ray Hackett 21 6 11 4 Sep 26

Old Peculier (GB) 19 3 5 9 Jan 26

Flicker Of Hope (FR) 17 6 7 6 Apr 26

Inforapenny (IRE)from P M J Doyle 17 2 8 3 Oct 24

Mellem (IRE) 15 0 2 13 Oct 26

Refreshment (IRE) 15 2 4 13 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 118 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive; 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Brian Toomey (2) and John C McConnell (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

28185710171611581019

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGavin Ryan

12% of all rides
14% SR · A/E 1.90

RiderRWSR£1

Gavin Ryan 86 12 14% +49.50

Ronan Whelan 61 9 14.8% +0.95

Reese Holohan 56 2 3.6% −16.50

Thomas O'Connor 53 5 9.4% −9.87

Ricky Doyle 53 6 11.3% +3.00

Joseph Harnett 45 3 6.7% +26.00

Shane Foley 38 2 5.3% −23.25

Keithen Kennedy 36 6 16.7% −4.59

Peter Smithers 31 4 12.9% −6.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

131

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.64m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 25 wins

Flicker Of Hope (FR) — Bective Stud, Tea Rooms & Apartments Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Navan · Dec 2024 · Listed

£59,000

Rhythm King (IRE) — Curragh On Course Bookmakers Premier Handicap Curragh · Nov 2024

£29,500

Edification (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Ragusa' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jun 2020

£26,550

Notable horses

Clear Quartz (IRE) Happy Jacky (IRE) Flicker Of Hope (FR) Daonethatgotaway (GB) Rhythm King (IRE) Well Set Up (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elzaam (AUS) 11.9% · 5–42

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,514 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.

Tamayuz (GB) 11.9% · 5–42

Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,180 runs since 2008 (401 horses).

French Navy (GB) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 10.4% of 770 runs since 2008 (68 horses).

Shalaa (IRE) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (279 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 140.

Slade Power (IRE) 18.5% · 5–27

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,937 runs since 2008 (207 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.4% from 125.

Milan (GB) 23.1% · 6–26

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,301 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,301 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2013 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Sydney Dollars (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Ria's Angel (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 9th 100/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Daonethatgotaway (GB)J: Reese Holohan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Optional Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 4/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Mellem (IRE)J: Thomas O'Connor William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 7th 14/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Rhythm King (IRE)J: Shay Wallace TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 17/2

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Chica Guerrera (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bluebell Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 100/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Jess Abi (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 33/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Coolnacritta (IRE)J: Thomas O'Connor CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 22/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Pansy Poe (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 17th 22/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Hashtag Doyen (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 20/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Little An Often (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 8th 200/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Ocean Echo (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap8f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 11/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Rhythm King (IRE)J: Reese Holohan 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 14/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) I Bid You Ajou (FR)J: Reese Holohan Business Plus Handicap6f · Soft · 22 ran 10th 25/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Scrap The Lot (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Bermingham Cameras Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 33/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Brigids Charm (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden7f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 300/1

29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Pansy Poe (IRE)J: Reese Holohan WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 2nd 40/1

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Monty Bear (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Madrí Excepcional Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 8th 300/1

26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Brigids Charm (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden9f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 17th 200/1

26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Little An Often (IRE)J: Thomas O'Connor John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mark Fahey's strike rate?: Mark Fahey has won 84 of 735 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Fahey do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 17 wins from 110 runners (15.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mark Fahey?: Gavin Ryan, with 86 runners since 2022 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (14%).
Is Mark Fahey in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mark Fahey's Fair A/E?: 1.34, from 734 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.