3:20 Sedgefield
The 3:20 at Sedgefield is the Bet Vickers Durham National Handicap Steeple Chase, a Class 2 contest run over 3m5f48y on good ground. A field of seven runners lines up, with several high-class performers present and a noticeable step up in trip for most of the field. The KTB Fit ratings identify Red Delta as the top horse on the numbers, though the overall profile of the race suggests stamina will be tested in what looks a thorough test.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with high confidence, as two or more habitual front-runners are present. Tommie Beau and Dexperts Opinion both tend to make the running or race prominently, which should ensure an honest gallop that could cause the pace to collapse late on. This shape would favour horses with a held-up style who can produce their effort from off the pace in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Red Delta KTB Selection71/100
Red Delta is a high-class performer who won on his only previous visit to Sedgefield. He has a solid record on good ground with one win from five starts and two placed efforts. Today sees him stepping up in trip for the first time, which asks a fresh question of his stamina, while he is also stepping up in class. Run-style is held up with high confidence as he usually produces his effort late, which could be ideal given the anticipated strong pace. The trainer has a 33% strike rate at Sedgefield from a small sample with an A/E of 2.04, though this makes the record difficult to judge with full confidence. Brian Hughes takes the ride with a 20% strike rate at the track and an A/E of 0.95 from 1282 rides.
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2Ki Woo67/100
Ki Woo is a high-class performer with a strong recent record that includes two wins from his last four starts. He has shown he acts well on good ground with three wins from seven starts and five placed efforts. This race marks a marked step up in trip which asks a fresh question of him, and it is also his first run at Sedgefield. His run-style is held up with medium confidence, again likely to see him produce his effort late in a race with a strong pace expected. The trainer has a 14% strike rate at Sedgefield from 77 runs with an A/E of 0.7, while Jack Tudor is a positive booking with a 36% strike rate at the track from 28 rides and an A/E of 1.34.
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3Tommie Beau65/100
Tommie Beau is a high-class performer with a solid recent record that includes a win last time out. He has won over today's trip and acts well on good ground with eight wins from 23 starts and twelve placed efforts. Today brings a step up in class and, while he has won here from three starts at Sedgefield, the trainer has no recorded runs at the track. His front-running style with medium confidence means he is likely to make the running or race prominently, which will help set the strong pace anticipated. The jockey has a 0% strike rate at Sedgefield from seven rides with an A/E of 0.
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4Ivane61/100
Ivane is a smart performer with a solid record at Sedgefield, having won two of his three starts here. He has already won over this distance and his record on good ground shows three wins from fourteen starts with seven placed efforts. Stepping up in class today, his held-up run-style with high confidence should allow him to come from off the pace in what is likely to be a strongly run race. The trainer has a 35% strike rate at the track from 26 runs with an A/E of 1.23, while Jonathan Burke has a 16% strike rate at Sedgefield from nineteen rides with an A/E of 0.71.
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5Fever Dream60/100
Fever Dream is a smart performer who arrives in solid form after a recent win and has placed when tried at this sort of trip before. He steps up in distance today which asks a fresh question but his good-ground record is respectable with three wins from 13 starts. Christian Williams has a strong 36% strike rate at Sedgefield from 25 runs with an A/E of 1.22 while this is his first run at the track.
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6Dexperts Opinion59/100
Dexperts Opinion is a smart performer with a solid recent record of 07-121 and strong course connections at Sedgefield through his trainer and jockey. The step up to 3m5f is an unknown but the horse has already shown it acts well on good ground with two wins from three starts. Trainer Mickey Bowen has a 24% strike rate here with an A/E of 1.1 while jockey James Bowen has a 37% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.41 from 51 rides.
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7Passengerontheship53/100
Passengerontheship is a smart performer with a solid recent record of placed efforts and a clear liking for good ground where he has won five times from eleven starts with seven placed efforts. He has run well over this course before without winning from two starts here and the yard has a respectable 19% strike rate at Sedgefield from 243 runs with an A/E of 0.98. Stepping up markedly in trip today asks a fresh question of him.
KTB verdict
Red Delta is the KTB Selection. A high-class performer who won on his only previous visit to Sedgefield, he has a solid record on good ground and his held-up style should be favoured by the strong pace that is likely to unfold. The step up in trip poses a fresh question and he is also stepping up in class, yet his overall profile makes him the one to beat. The main dangers are headed by Ki Woo, who brings a strong recent record, and the course-conducive Ivane, while Tommie Beau could make the running and see out the trip having won over the distance before.
KTB Selection Red Delta
This is the narrative read of the 3:20 Sedgefield. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Sedgefield racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Sedgefield results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Sedgefield racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won both of its completed starts at Sedgefield?
None of the runners have; Ivane has won two from three starts here while Red Delta has won his only start and Tommie Beau has won one from three.
How many of these runners are stepping up in class for this race?
All seven runners are stepping up in class.
Which two horses are most likely to set the strong pace?
Tommie Beau and Dexperts Opinion, both of whom tend to make the running or race on the pace.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Sedgefield among those represented?
Christian Williams and Fiona Needham both have 33-36% strike rates at the track, with Christian Williams at 36% from 25 runs and Fiona Needham at 33% from a small sample.
Which horse has the most experience over good ground in terms of wins?
Tommie Beau with eight wins from 23 starts on good ground.
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