What is Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero's strike rate?

Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero has won 254 of 1,915 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero do best at?

Doncaster by strike rate: 15 wins from 82 runners (18.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero?

Henry Brooke, with 551 runners since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 101 (18.3%).

Is Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 13.3% since 2022.

What is Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 1,912 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

1,915 runners in the last 5 seasons · 239 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 9.2% of 478 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.2–8.0% over 364 racing days). As at 14 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2022

254–1,915

Wins / Runs

13.3%

Strike rate

n=1,915

575 (30%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=1,912 · 0.90 incl. margin

−248.11

£1 level stake

n=1,915 at SP · −13.0%

£3.28m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 380 runners a season, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 16% off breaks of two months or more (418 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,915 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 16% 30.6% when favourite Henry Brooke: 18.3% from 551 Sends off the favourite in 15% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kelso (27.8%, n=36), clear of the yard's 13.3% baseline. Debutants struggle at 8.1% (n=99, Fair A/E 1.03). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 16% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.34 and +103.30 to a £1 stake over 418 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 11.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −58.07 to a £1 stake over 509 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 16 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 13.3pts below the 13.3% baseline). Henry Brooke rides 29% of the entries and beats the yard's average (18.3% vs 13.3%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 4.3% over 70 runners, 9pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the TrustATrader Plate Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2025, £84,405). The stable star of the record: White Rhino (IRE) — 7 wins from 18 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

16%+2.7

n=418 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +103.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.1%−1.2

n=140 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −2.69

Debutants · first career start

8.1%−5.2

n=99 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −39.63

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.6%−2.7

n=123 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −11.54

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%−4.2

n=44 · A/E 0.80 · £1 +22.25

When favourite

30.6%

n=278 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −53.62

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.2%−2.1

n=509 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −58.07

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12%−1.3

n=25 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +3.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Jonjo O'Neill Jr 29.4% vs 13.3% · n=34

At Kelso 27.8% vs 13.3% · n=36

With Robert Dunne 0% vs 13.3% · n=37

On last-time-out winners 21.8% vs 13.3% · n=262

In Flat races 5.9% vs 13.3% · n=238

Over 6f – 7f 4.3% vs 13.3% · n=70

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 972 119 12.2% −115.38

Chase 665 113 17% −57.68

Flat 238 14 5.9% −74.55

NH Flat 40 8 20% −0.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 875 130 14.9% +46.04

Good to Soft 417 52 12.5% −105.06

Soft 379 43 11.3% −179.68

Standard (AW) 91 5 5.5% −18.50

Heavy 84 14 16.7% −39.36

Good to Firm 68 10 14.7% +49.45

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Bangor-on-Dee 255 36 14.1% −8.15

Uttoxeter 174 25 14.4% +13.70

Southwell 95 14 14.7% +25.25

Haydock 92 9 9.8% −49.00

Worcester 85 6 7.1% −36.50

Doncaster 82 15 18.3% −15.59

Wetherby 78 11 14.1% −40.16

Sedgefield 78 11 14.1% +18.75

Carlisle 70 11 15.7% −20.64

Ludlow 67 8 11.9% −15.50

Huntingdon 66 12 18.2% +9.43

Aintree 60 5 8.3% −37.01

Newcastle 55 5 9.1% −39.30

Market Rasen 55 10 18.2% −17.54

Wolverhampton (AW) 48 3 6.3% −9.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 790 95 12% −235.11

Class 5 638 98 15.4% +89.86

Class 3 246 41 16.7% −13.84

Class 6 98 7 7.1% −29.05

Class 2 96 9 9.4% −45.67

Class 1 46 4 8.7% −13.30

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 309 94 30.4% 0.96 −49.12

2nd–3rd fav 464 80 17.2% 0.99 −85.19

4th–6th fav 635 63 9.9% 1.23 +63.30

7th+ in betting 507 17 3.4% 1.14 −177.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.3% completed · 1,637 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 665 83.6% 19 14 74 1 1

Hurdle 972 88.2% 17 7 88 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

El Borracho (IRE)from Oliver Greenall 33 6 11 4 Nov 25

Good Work (FR)from Oliver Greenall 31 1 12 16 May 26

Homme Public (FR)from Oliver Greenall 30 6 11 4 Sep 26

Cawthorne Cracker (IRE) 29 5 11 27 Oct 26

Duke Of Deception (IRE)from Oliver Greenall 27 6 13 26 Dec 25

Neigh Botha (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 25 5 8 7 Oct 26

Bravethewaves (GB)from Oliver Greenall 23 4 5 30 Oct 26

Gaboriot (FR)from Francois Nicolle 23 5 12 9 Apr 26

Finn Lough (IRE) 22 2 9 27 Oct 26

Swift Tuttle (IRE)from Brian Meehan 22 2 4 18 Jun 25

Concetto (FR)then Sam Allwood 22 4 7 20 Apr 25

Lucky Lover Boy (IRE)from Oliver Greenall 22 5 10 26 Jul 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 239 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Oliver Greenall (20) and Brian Meehan (2); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 16 0% · −13.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base13.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

121414161712101013121610

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderHenry Brooke

29% of all rides
18.3% SR · A/E 1.18

RiderRWSR£1

Henry Brooke 551 101 18.3% −78.24

Toby Wynne 492 66 13.4% +37.58

Craig Nichol 232 27 11.6% −14.83

Jack Tudor 66 7 10.6% −0.50

Ben Smith 56 3 5.4% −32.75

Harry Russell 39 3 7.7% +19.50

Robert Dunne 37 0 0% −37.00

Charlie Todd 36 3 8.3% −12.50

Jonjo O'Neill Jr 34 10 29.4% +3.29

Alistair Rawlinson 33 2 6.1% −8.50

Fergus Gregory 30 5 16.7% −11.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

254

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.28m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 65 wins

Jagwar (FR) — TrustATrader Plate Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2025 · Class 1

£84,405

Gesskille (FR) — BoyleSports Grand Sefton Handicap Chase (National Course) (GBB Race) Aintree · Nov 2023 · Class 2

£51,440

Gesskille (FR) — Prix Richard et Robert Hennessy (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2023 · Listed

£48,850

Notable horses

White Rhino (IRE) El Borracho (IRE) Homme Public (FR) Duke Of Deception (IRE) Post Chaise (IRE) Cawthorne Cracker (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cokoriko (FR) 24% · 23–96

Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,326 runs since 2017 (384 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 20.8% · 15–72

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,392 runs since 2009 (607 horses).

Network (GER) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,770 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 275.

Gentlewave (IRE) 8.5% · 4–47

Progeny have won 13% of 1,664 runs since 2010 (220 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.2% from 434.

Milan (GB) 5% · 2–40

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,892 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Getaway (GER) 11.1% · 4–36

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,040 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,915 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,915 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2022 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Warwick Tropical Talent (GB)J: Jack Tudor Pegasus Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/4

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Get Busy Jumping (GB)J: Toby Wynne Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 50/1

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Diamond Jim (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Fatty Renshaw Memorial Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 7/1

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Cool Master (GB)J: Toby Wynne Fatty Renshaw Memorial Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 11/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Ki Woo (FR)J: Toby Wynne luckytiger.co.uk Bet 20 Win 20 Wishing Well Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 11/4

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Aboutdamntime (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Matchbook Loves Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 13/2

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter A Chara (GB)J: Jack Tudor Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 22/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Melon (GER)J: Robert Dunne William Hill Molyneux Hurdle Race (Grade 2) (Formerly Registered As The Elite Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 18/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Timmys Jet Away (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Follow Matchbook On X Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 5th 12/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree Word For Word (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 20/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree King Ulanda (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 7/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Loki (GER)J: Charlie Maggs Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 7/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ottoman (IRE)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 6/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Tropical Talent (GB)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 33/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ottoman (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 7/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Moonlightinthepark (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 9/2

31 Oct 26 Ayr Halftheworldaway (IRE)J: Toby Wynne Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 7/2

31 Oct 26 Wetherby Kahavari (FR)J: Harry Cobden Position Payout At Bet365 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 6/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Keep Under Wraps (GB)J: Jack Tudor Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Bravethewaves (GB)J: Toby Wynne Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran PU 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 1) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero's strike rate?: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero has won 254 of 1,915 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero do best at?: Doncaster by strike rate: 15 wins from 82 runners (18.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero?: Henry Brooke, with 551 runners since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 101 (18.3%).
Is Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 13.3% since 2022.
What is Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 1,912 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.