What is Christian Williams's strike rate?

Christian Williams has won 106 of 1,149 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Christian Williams do best at?

Southwell by strike rate: 14 wins from 67 runners (20.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Christian Williams?

Jack Tudor, with 626 runners since 2022 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 68 (10.9%).

Is Christian Williams in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Christian Williams's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 1,148 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Christian Williams

1,149 runners in the last 5 seasons · 172 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.8% of 260 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 23 Oct 2026.

Last runner 5 days ago 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

106–1,149

Wins / Runs

9.2%

Strike rate

n=1,149

248 (22%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=1,148 · 0.81 incl. margin

−394.21

£1 level stake

n=1,149 at SP · −34.3%

£1.92m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 230 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 23% (39 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,149 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Jun 32.7% when favourite Jack Tudor: 10.9% from 626 Headgear returns: 12.3% Claiming riders: 10.1% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (20.9%, n=67), clear of the yard's 9.2% baseline. It is weakest at Chepstow (1.2% over 83 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 23.1% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.89), but debutants struggle at 1.2% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.26). Jack Tudor rides 54% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.9%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (15%, n=514). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 50 runners, 9.2pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase at Ayr (Apr 2023, £112,540). The stable star of the record: Uno Mas (GB) — 13 wins from 52 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.5%−0.7

n=270 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −55.37

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.3%−3.9

n=57 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −20.00

Debutants · first career start

1.2%−8.0

n=81 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −68.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

23.1%+13.9

n=39 · A/E 1.89 · £1 +25.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.3%+3.1

n=57 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −4.75

When favourite

32.7%

n=113 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −3.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.1%+0.9

n=207 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −87.69

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.3%+4.1

n=15 · A/E 1.61 · £1 +0.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With first-time headgear 23.1% vs 9.2% · n=39

At Southwell 20.9% vs 9.2% · n=67

On last-time-out winners 17.3% vs 9.2% · n=98

In Chase races 15% vs 9.2% · n=514

In NH Flat races 0% vs 9.2% · n=50

At Chepstow 1.2% vs 9.2% · n=83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 567 29 5.1% −260.12

Chase 514 77 15% −66.09

NH Flat 50 0 0% −50.00

Flat 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 541 53 9.8% −201.33

Good to Soft 291 25 8.6% −143.26

Soft 223 20 9% +7.34

Heavy 53 4 7.5% −32.37

Good to Firm 38 4 10.5% −21.59

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chepstow 83 1 1.2% −80.90

Ffos Las 77 4 5.2% −54.62

Newton Abbot 76 7 9.2% −48.92

Worcester 73 2 2.7% −61.50

Southwell 67 14 20.9% +43.63

Uttoxeter 66 5 7.6% −39.12

Taunton 54 3 5.6% −27.59

Fakenham 46 5 10.9% −18.70

Hereford 46 6 13% −17.92

Warwick 45 8 17.8% +52.49

Stratford 41 3 7.3% +2.00

Wincanton 33 0 0% −33.00

Exeter 32 1 3.1% −3.00

Kempton 31 3 9.7% −14.50

Fontwell 30 4 13.3% −10.92

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 469 30 6.4% −227.52

Class 5 420 54 12.9% −104.56

Class 3 135 10 7.4% −39.13

Class 2 74 5 6.8% −42.25

Class 1 43 7 16.3% +27.25

Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 125 40 32% 1.08 +1.74

2nd–3rd fav 221 38 17.2% 1.00 −37.95

4th–6th fav 370 20 5.4% 0.74 −167.00

7th+ in betting 433 8 1.8% 0.67 −191.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.5% completed · 1,081 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 514 82.9% 15 5 66 1 1

Hurdle 567 85.9% 8 2 67 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Faded Fantasy (IRE)from G M Lyons 41 4 9 17 Oct 26

Cap Du Nord (FR) 37 4 9 21 Jun 25

Jony Max (IRE) 34 4 15 18 Aug 25

Unspeakable (IRE) 33 3 7 18 Sep 26

Always Busy (IRE) 32 3 9 10 Jul 26

Prince Cleni (FR) 31 4 8 24 May 26

Planned Paradise (IRE) 31 4 11 4 May 26

Fever Dream (IRE) 27 5 11 18 Oct 26

Illogical Logic (FR)then David Thompson 26 1 6 20 Aug 26

Kitty's Light (GB) 25 3 6 4 May 26

Fortunefavorsdbold (IRE)from Paul Nolan 25 3 9 13 Apr 26

Catboy (FR) 25 1 3 25 Feb 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 172 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P M J Doyle (3) and Dan Skelton (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Venetia Williams (2); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 14

Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

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A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Tudor

54% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Tudor 626 68 10.9% −121.42

Nick Scholfield 160 11 6.9% −67.85

Ellis Collier 85 4 4.7% −54.00

Adam Wedge 40 4 10% −16.00

Mr J J Murphy-Knight 35 0 0% −35.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

198

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.13m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 32 wins

Kitty's Light (GB) — Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2023 · Class 1

£112,540

Kitty's Light (GB) — bet365 Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Sandown · Apr 2023 · Class 1

£90,032

Cap Du Nord (FR) — Coral Trophy Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Kempton · Feb 2022 · Grade 3

£85,425

Notable horses

Uno Mas (GB) Cap Du Nord (FR) Kitty's Light (GB) Win My Wings (IRE) Strictlyadancer (IRE) Jony Max (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mahler (GB) 14.7% · 11–75

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,840 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Sholokhov (IRE) 13.4% · 9–67

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,260 runs since 2008 (420 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 7.7% · 5–65

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,821 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Westerner (GB) 10.9% · 7–64

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,830 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Court Cave (IRE) 18.4% · 9–49

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,929 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.

Getaway (GER) 7% · 3–43

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,921 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.5% from 132.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,084 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,084 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 April 2017 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Williethebuilder (IRE)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Download The www.betvickers.com App Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 1st 9/1

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Fever Dream (IRE)J: Adam Wedge Bet Vickers Durham National Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 29f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 9/1

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Royal Time (IRE)J: Troy Walsh Celebrating 40 Years Of Vickers Bookmakers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 1st 7/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Top Coeur (FR)J: Jack Tudor 1st Office Print And It Solutions Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 22/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Faded Fantasy (IRE)J: Mr J J Murphy-Knight 1st Office Print And It Solutions Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 13/2

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Itsjustthewayiam (IRE)J: Jack Tudor British Stallion Studs Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 4th 20/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Barafundle Bay (GB)J: Adam Wedge tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 8/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Esther Spring (FR)J: Adam Wedge Betting.Bet Free Racing Tips Mares' 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 16/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Deep Cave (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 20/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Pappariche (GB)J: Jack Tudor Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 25/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow On Subs (FR)J: Jack Tudor Dragonbet / Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 250/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Ker D'oudairies (FR)J: Jack Tudor Dragonbet Daily Extra Place Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 16/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Faded Fantasy (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 11th 22/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Fromjago'stomilan (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Dragonbet Backing Welsh Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 100/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Beau Quali (FR)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell LSL Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 22/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Top Coeur (FR)J: Jack Tudor LSL Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 125/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Simonsberg (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Good Intents Marquee Hire Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 40/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Clever Relation (GB)J: Jack Tudor 2026/2027 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 5/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Esther Spring (FR)J: Jack Tudor Book 2026/27 Hospitality At Huntingdon Racecourse Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 80/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Royal Time (IRE)J: Mr J J Murphy-Knight Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Christian Williams's strike rate?: Christian Williams has won 106 of 1,149 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Christian Williams do best at?: Southwell by strike rate: 14 wins from 67 runners (20.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Christian Williams?: Jack Tudor, with 626 runners since 2022 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 68 (10.9%).
Is Christian Williams in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Christian Williams's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 1,148 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.