6:30 Windsor
The Weatherbys August Stakes is a Listed race over 1m3f99y at Windsor on good to firm ground, featuring a compact field of nine smart performers. The KTB Fit ratings identify a clear top four, headed by Silawi on 71, with White Birch, Warrant Holder and Tenability closely grouped behind on 67, 59 and 57 respectively. Course form and trainer records at Windsor are significant factors according to the KTB numbers, while several runners face fresh questions about trip or conditions.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, and Silawi is the one clear front-runner with little to pressure him from the draw. He should be allowed an uncontested lead that could prove hard for the numerous held-up types to peg back in the straight. The race therefore poses the question of whether any of the closers possess the necessary finishing speed to overcome the uncontested advantage up front.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Silawi KTB Selection71/100Silawi is a smart performer with a strong record here, having won both previous starts at Windsor.
- 2White Birch67/100Smart performer who has mixed form since finishing second in a Group 3 at the Curragh last summer.
- 3Warrant Holder59/100Smart performer who looked the part when landing a good race at Sandown in May before finishing down the field in the Group 3 at Royal Ascot.
- 4Tenability57/100Smart performer who has won four of his ten starts including a course success here last season.
- 5Ghostwriter55/100Smart performer who has shown useful form in Group company and holds solid ratings.
- 6Sea Scout55/100Smart performer who has been consistent at a high level, finishing no worse than third in four of his last five starts and showing clear ability on his most rec…
- 7Respond47/100Smart performer who has been in and out of form this year with a recent sequence of 213129.
- 8Ambiente Friendly43/100Useful performer who has won over today's trip but looks out of sorts on recent evidence with form of 846-86.
- 9Muddy Mooy42/100Useful performer who has been below his best this season and now tries a new trip for the first time.
The contenders
Silawi KTB Fit 71/100
Silawi arrives with a KTB Fit score of 71 and is the clear selection. A smart performer, he boasts a strong record at Windsor having won both previous starts here. He acts on good to firm ground, recording two wins from five runs and three places overall on the surface. The trainer has a 67% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 4.56 from three runs, while the jockey operates at 17% with an A/E of 0.94 from 505 rides. As a front-runner he tends to make the running or race prominently, which aligns perfectly with the lone-leader pace shape that gives him every chance of an uncontested lead. Stepping up in trip for the first time in a while does raise a fresh question after his recent efforts over shorter distances.
White Birch KTB Fit 67/100
White Birch is rated with a KTB Fit of 67. A smart performer, he has mixed form since finishing second in a Group 3 at the Curragh last summer. He drops back in trip today having last run over 1m4f, which asks a fresh question, while this is also his first run at Windsor. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.98 from 345 runs and the jockey is on 9% with an A/E of 0.7 from 200 rides. Usually held up, he produces his effort late. He has been placed on both starts on good to firm ground without winning.
Warrant Holder KTB Fit 59/100
Warrant Holder carries a KTB Fit score of 59 and is stepping up in class. A smart performer, he looked the part when landing a good race at Sandown in May before finishing down the field in the Group 3 at Royal Ascot. He steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question while the yard’s strong 31% strike-rate at Windsor from 89 runs gives plenty of encouragement. The jockey is operating at a solid 17% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.81 from 117 rides. Usually held up with high confidence in that run-style, he has placed once from two runs on good to firm ground without winning.
Tenability KTB Fit 57/100
Tenability is next on 57. A smart performer who has won four of his ten starts, he includes a course success here last season. He has solid form on good to firm ground with two wins from three runs and two places. The yard holds a 20% strike rate at Windsor with an A/E of 0.88 from 461 runs while the jockey is on 15% with an A/E of 0.87 from 713 rides at the track. Usually held up, he produces his effort late. Dropping back in trip today asks a fresh question.
The rest of the field
GhostwriterKTB Fit 55/100
Ghostwriter has a KTB Fit of 55. A smart performer who has shown useful form in Group company and holds solid ratings, he drops back in trip today having last run over 1m4f which asks a fresh question while this will be his first run at Windsor. The trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates here from decent-sized samples. Usually held up with high confidence, he has two wins from six runs on good to firm and four places.
Sea ScoutKTB Fit 55/100
Sea Scout also sits on 55. A smart performer who has been consistent at a high level, finishing no worse than third in four of his last five starts and showing clear ability on his most recent outing, he steps up in trip for the first time today which asks a fresh question. His record on good to firm ground is modest with no win or place from two runs. The yard has a solid 22% strike rate at Windsor from 99 runs and the jockey adds an 11% record from 71 rides here. Usually held up with high confidence.
RespondKTB Fit 47/100
Respond is rated 47 and is stepping up in class. A smart performer who has been in and out of form this year with a recent sequence of 213129, he steps up in trip for the first time today having already placed over this distance without winning. Connections are established at Windsor with a solid 15% trainer strike rate from a big sample, though the jockey record here is weaker at 5% from 187 rides. He has only been placed once in two runs on good to firm ground. Usually held up with high confidence.
Ambiente FriendlyKTB Fit 43/100
Ambiente Friendly has a KTB Fit of 43 and is stepping up in class. A useful performer who has won over today's trip but looks out of sorts on recent evidence with form of 846-86, he has never placed on good to firm ground from five attempts and steps up in distance having last run over 1m1f. The trainer records a 14% strike rate at Windsor from 44 runs while the jockey is on 7% from 124 rides here. Usually held up.
Muddy MooyKTB Fit 42/100
Muddy Mooy is the lowest rated on 42 and is stepping up in class. A useful performer who has been below his best this season and now tries a new trip for the first time, this is also his first run at Windsor and he sports first-time headgear which adds further unknowns. The trainer has yet to register a win from 12 runs here. The jockey holds an 8% strike rate from 177 rides at the track. He has placed once from two runs on good to firm without winning and is usually held up.
KTB verdict
Silawi stands out as the KTB Selection. His strong course record of two wins from two starts, proven ability on good to firm ground and the trainer’s exceptional 67% strike rate at Windsor from a small but telling sample all point to another bold showing. The uncontested lead he is likely to be granted in a race with a lone-leader pace shape further strengthens his position. The main dangers are headed by White Birch, who brings smart Group-race form but must overcome the lack of course experience and the drop back in trip, while Warrant Holder and Tenability both possess course and trainer positives of their own that cannot be ignored.
KTB Selection Silawi
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:03 UTC, 29 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Silawi | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| White Birch | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Warrant Holder | 7/2 | William Hill |
| Tenability | 10/3 | William Hill |
| Ghostwriter | 9/2 | 7Bet |
| Sea Scout | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Respond | 10/1 | Virgin Bet |
| Ambiente Friendly | 40/1 | William Hill |
| Muddy Mooy | 80/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 6:30 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Windsor results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most suited to the expected uncontested lead?
Silawi, as the clear front-runner with a run-style that tends to make the running or race on the pace in a lone-leader pace shape.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Windsor for the selection Silawi?
67% with an A/E of 4.56 from three runs.
Which principals are making their first appearance at Windsor?
White Birch and Warrant Holder have no course form on record.
How many of the field are stepping up in trip for the first time?
Silawi, Warrant Holder, Sea Scout, Respond and Muddy Mooy are all stepping up in trip for the first time.
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Muddy Mooy.
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