What is John & Thady Gosden's strike rate?

John & Thady Gosden has won 619 of 2,841 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 21.8% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John & Thady Gosden do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 38 wins from 105 runners (36.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John & Thady Gosden?

Robert Havlin, with 863 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 183 (21.2%).

Is John & Thady Gosden in form?

In the last 14 days: 27 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 14.8%. That is below the baseline of 21.8% since 2022.

What is John & Thady Gosden's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 2,825 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John & Thady Gosden

2,841 runners in the last 5 seasons · 594 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.8% of 533 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 24 Oct 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

619–2,841

Wins / Runs

21.8%

Strike rate

n=2,841

1,288 (45%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=2,825 · 0.92 incl. margin

−309.60

£1 level stake

n=2,841 at SP · −10.9%

£32.8m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

24.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 570 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 22% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06). With a claiming rider up the record reads 24% (129 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,841 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec Fresh horses: 23.9% 43.1% when favourite Robert Havlin: 21.2% from 863 Claiming riders: 24% Sends off the favourite in 25% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (36.2%, n=105) and Chelmsford City (AW) (34%, n=94) — all clear of the yard's 21.8% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (12.6% over 269 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 14.6% (n=226, Fair A/E 0.90). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 4 from 27 runners in the last 14 days (14.8%, 7pts below the 21.8% baseline). Robert Havlin rides 30% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (21.2%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in Class 5 (29.9%, n=626). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 13.9% over 244 runners, 7.9pts below the baseline. 148 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Juddmonte International Stakes at York (Aug 2025, £748,218). The stable star of the record: Trawlerman (IRE) — 11 wins from 19 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 21.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

23.9%+2.1

n=594 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −97.55

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−21.8

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Debutants · first career start

18.6%−3.2

n=505 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −6.37

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.6%−7.2

n=226 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −67.73

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

19.2%−2.6

n=26 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −12.91

When favourite

43.1%

n=708 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −93.02

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

24%+2.2

n=129 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −23.34

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.2%−5.6

n=764 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −149.01

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 21.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newcastle (AW) 36.2% vs 21.8% · n=105

At Chelmsford City (AW) 34% vs 21.8% · n=94

In Class 5 29.9% vs 21.8% · n=626

At Ascot 12.6% vs 21.8% · n=269

At Newmarket 12.7% vs 21.8% · n=267

On Soft going 13.9% vs 21.8% · n=244

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 861 234 27.2% −70.75

Good 711 142 20% −39.98

Good to Firm 682 151 22.1% −71.68

Good to Soft 294 48 16.3% −53.89

Soft 244 34 13.9% −69.04

Heavy 48 10 20.8% −3.26

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 322 68 21.1% −47.93

Ascot 269 34 12.6% −89.02

Newmarket 267 34 12.7% −80.98

Newmarket 160 36 22.5% +19.86

Newbury 146 22 15.1% −50.05

Sandown 140 29 20.7% +21.72

Goodwood 139 20 14.4% −43.59

Yarmouth 135 35 25.9% +11.90

Doncaster 128 28 21.9% +4.92

Lingfield (AW) 117 36 30.8% −11.12

York 117 22 18.8% −21.72

Southwell (AW) 114 31 27.2% −23.40

Wolverhampton (AW) 109 29 26.6% +2.73

Newcastle (AW) 105 38 36.2% −3.39

Chelmsford City (AW) 94 32 34% +12.36

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 764 124 16.2% −149.01

Class 4 685 148 21.6% −93.46

Class 5 626 187 29.9% +13.01

Class 2 449 83 18.5% −61.61

Class 3 303 73 24.1% −26.69

Class 6 14 4 28.6% +8.16

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 777 322 41.4% 1.04 −97.42

2nd–3rd fav 1,053 216 20.5% 1.08 −88.88

4th–6th fav 740 70 9.5% 1.11 −70.30

7th+ in betting 271 11 4.1% 1.10 −53.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sweet William (IRE) 24 7 21 18 Jun 26

Audience (GB)then David O'Meara 21 4 11 10 Oct 25

Running Lion (GB) 20 6 11 17 Sep 25

Fifth Column (IRE) 17 5 8 17 Oct 26

Trawlerman (IRE)from John Gosden 17 10 15 28 Jul 26

Danielle (GB) 16 3 9 17 Oct 26

Nashwa (GB) 15 5 9 19 Oct 24

Israr (GB) 15 4 9 21 Aug 24

French Master (IRE) 14 4 6 3 Oct 26

Lion's Pride (GB) 14 3 5 23 Sep 26

Spiritual (IRE) 14 3 5 4 Oct 25

Orne (IRE)then Antony Brittain 14 2 6 3 May 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 594 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

4 from 27 14.8% · −7.0pts vs baseline

Last 14 days14.8%

5-season base21.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

132317232319271919222331

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Havlin

30% of all rides
21.2% SR · A/E 1.02

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Havlin 863 183 21.2% −108.24

Kieran Shoemark 403 78 19.4% −59.66

Benoit De La Sayette 234 48 20.5% −45.63

William Buick 210 56 26.7% +21.96

Frankie Dettori 182 45 24.7% +1.61

Oisin Murphy 166 41 24.7% −24.28

James Doyle 122 29 23.8% −14.08

Kieran O'Neill 93 13 14% −41.02

Jim Crowley 77 20 26% +0.09

Ryan Moore 57 16 28.1% −2.35

Hollie Doyle 50 13 26% −5.08

Tyler Heard 48 10 20.8% +0.21

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

755

Archived wins

148

Pattern / graded wins

£37.9m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 138 wins

Ombudsman (IRE) — Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2025 · Group 1

£748,218

Ombudsman (IRE) — Qatar Racing Champion Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2026 · Group 1

£737,230

Ombudsman (IRE) — Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2025 · Group 1

£599,708

Notable horses

Trawlerman (IRE) Ombudsman (IRE) Inspiral (GB) Mostahdaf (IRE) Sweet William (IRE) Running Lion (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Frankel (GB) 23.8% · 87–365

Progeny have won 18% of 7,509 runs since 2008 (876 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.6% from 326. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.3% from 268.

Kingman (GB) 24.1% · 88–365

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,478 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 960. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Dubawi (IRE) 24.2% · 66–273

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,943 runs since 2008 (1,524 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 20.5% · 34–166

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,945 runs since 2008 (1,112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 455. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Too Darn Hot (GB) 19.6% · 21–107

Progeny have won 14.1% of 2,326 runs since 2008 (321 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.

Roaring Lion (USA) 24.2% · 24–99

Progeny have won 12.5% of 1,027 runs since 2008 (83 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.5% from 117.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,501 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,501 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2021 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Manitoba (GB)J: Robert Havlin British Stallion Studs Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 10/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Entrust (GB)J: Colin Keane British Stallion Studs Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 3/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Guildmaster (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 2nd 100/30

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Farasan (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 9th 6/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lady's Grace (GB)J: Robert Havlin Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 1/1F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Wootton King (GB)J: Robert Havlin Unibet Interactive "confined" Maiden Stakes (For Horses Which Have Run No More Than Once) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 5 ran 3rd 30/100F

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Henrik Ibsen (IRE)J: James Doyle Copybet Proudly Backs Uk Horse Racing Maiden Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) I'm The One (GB)J: Billy Loughnane bettingsites.co.uk For Fast Withdrawals Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 1/2F

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Morris Dancer (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Race And Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 8.5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 5/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lancaster Tower (GB)J: Billy Loughnane bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 4/9F

17 Oct 26 Ascot Gavriel (GB)J: Robert Havlin Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 8th 11/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Fifth Column (IRE)J: William Buick Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 1st 22/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Devil's Advocate (GB)J: Robert Havlin Qatar Racing Champion Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 6th 80/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Ombudsman (IRE)J: William Buick Qatar Racing Champion Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/4F

17 Oct 26 Ascot Danielle (GB)J: James Doyle Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Good · 12 ran PU 22/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Symbol Of Majesty (GB)J: William Buick Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 6th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Gregory (GB)J: James Doyle Qatar Racing British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 1)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 4th 100/30

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Ida (GB)J: Robert Havlin Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 7/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) You're Sensational (GB)J: Robert Havlin Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 6th 3/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Algaihabane (GB)J: Robert Havlin Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 6th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John & Thady Gosden's strike rate?: John & Thady Gosden has won 619 of 2,841 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 21.8% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John & Thady Gosden do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 38 wins from 105 runners (36.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John & Thady Gosden?: Robert Havlin, with 863 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 183 (21.2%).
Is John & Thady Gosden in form?: In the last 14 days: 27 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 14.8%. That is below the baseline of 21.8% since 2022.
What is John & Thady Gosden's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 2,825 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.